Champions League · resolved market
Will KF Víkingur win on 2026-07-29?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe28e4f9d39ec53dbd3e6af0bfffedc780b86464ab8386acf9bc99187ad049f14
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $61,059
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $64,449
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $61,059 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed No | 79c | 6,500$5,135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,365 | 104 | 43.3%45 W · 59 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 24c | 4,487$1,087 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,086.68 | 881 | 37.7%332 W · 549 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 17c | 3,397$577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$577.49 | 127 | 36.2%46 W · 81 L | -7.3wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes | 25c | 3,250$813 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$812.5 | 144 | 31.9%46 W · 98 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 79c | 3,231$2,542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$688.32 | 310 | 47.4%147 W · 163 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46cd…6b95backed Yes | 21c | 3,171$666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$666 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked No | 78c | 2,301$1,787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$513.8 | 164 | 40.9%67 W · 97 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 78c | 2,050$1,609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.45 | 614 | 47.2%290 W · 324 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x937a…dbc8backed Yes | 25c | 1,600$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 22c | 1,402$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.43 | 450 | 42%189 W · 261 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 79c | 1,313$1,033 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 520 | 46.7%243 W · 277 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 77c | 1,182$906 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.25 | 704 | 35.8%252 W · 452 L | -27.1wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 22c | 960.15$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.15 | 243 | 40.7%99 W · 144 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 21c | 932.39$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.53 | 875 | 31.1%272 W · 603 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 79c | 868.89$687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.47 | 329 | 44.7%147 W · 182 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 5c | 801.61$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.73 | 1,959 | 44.1%863 W · 1,096 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4126…e68bbacked Yes | 23c | 783$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.56 | 142 | 38%54 W · 88 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x422c…9840backed Yes | 20c | 750$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | +4.3wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x676e…28c5backed Yes | 18c | 616.37$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Yes | 21c | 607.55$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.58 | 415 | 53%220 W · 195 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 76c | 572.34$436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.3 | 1,487 | 40.3%599 W · 888 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7bd…1d7cbacked Yes | 24c | 416.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a86…0079backed Yes | 6c | 412.72$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.57 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 77c | 401.25$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.6 | 594 | 41.8%248 W · 346 L | -18.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Yes | 21c | 390$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.9 | 122 | 50.8%62 W · 60 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab2e…c7cfbacked No | 77c | 376.89$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.89 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 79c | 298.65$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.54 | 394 | 43.1%170 W · 224 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 18c | 258$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.78 | 117 | 36.8%43 W · 74 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f6…4892backed Yes | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1901…31cebacked Yes | 19c | 247.36$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | +62%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6bf…16b9backed Yes | 21c | 240.96$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 26c | 226.5$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.44 | 272 | 36.4%99 W · 173 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked No | 75c | 200$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 53 | 66%35 W · 18 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked No | 79c | 200$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.6 | 367 | 42.8%157 W · 210 L | -22.6wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Yes | 23c | 199.06$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.38 | 73 | 39.7%29 W · 44 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf81a…719abacked Yes | 24c | 198.75$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.7 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | -3.0wins | -0.15per pick | 29cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x579a…b0a7backed Yes | 28c | 178.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 72c | 173.57$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.6 | 994 | 35%348 W · 646 L | -10.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 78c | 168.36$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.04 | 80 | 60%48 W · 32 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9c4…0d5bbacked Yes | 18c | 166.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd868…7f60backed Yes | 19c | 152.63$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 76c | 150$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.5 | 142 | 55.6%79 W · 63 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +13%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked No | 78c | 144.24$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.47 | 99 | 46.5%46 W · 53 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x587c…9c4ebacked Yes | 22c | 136.36$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed No | 76c | 130.84$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.4 | 107 | 52.3%56 W · 51 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6139…d481backed Yes | 25c | 120$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb730…e9c2backed Yes | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +74.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d13…e9dcbacked Yes | 24c | 104.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f41…8f27backed Yes | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 73 | 49.3%36 W · 37 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed No | 80c | 80$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.4 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…7ec7backed Yes | 25c | 76.36$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.09 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Yes | 17c | 72.07$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 179 | 7.8%14 W · 165 L | -8.2wins | -0.05per pick | 12cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3a…9993backed No | 76c | 63.82$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.32 | 83 | 59%49 W · 34 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed No | 75c | 63.41$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.61 | 143 | 53.8%77 W · 66 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked No | 74c | 54$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.01 | 233 | 52.8%123 W · 110 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed No | 76c | 53.19$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.77 | 294 | 45.9%135 W · 159 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed No | 75c | 49.72$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.31 | 153 | 54.2%83 W · 70 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ce1…f476backed Yes | 27c | 44.44$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70f2…3d6fbacked Yes | 25c | 42.08$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.52 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed No | 75c | 41.99$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.35 | 80 | 53.8%43 W · 37 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3555…208ebacked No | 76c | 39.47$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.47 | 33 | 69.7%23 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x083e…81a1backed No | 79c | 37.9$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.96 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1230…c70bbacked No | 79c | 35.43$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.44 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb18e…8038backed No | 77c | 32.47$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.47 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.16per pick | 57cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed No | 77c | 26.31$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.08 | 126 | 68.3%86 W · 40 L | +9.7wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e1…b1aebacked No | 78c | 23.4$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.26 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.17per pick | 45cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8543…ff1bbacked No | 76c | 21.75$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.28 | 82 | 50%41 W · 41 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed No | 75c | 15.88$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.01 | 125 | 51.2%64 W · 61 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6209…6767backed No | 75c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 75cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e90…4f65backed No | 77c | 13.97$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.28 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd819…2d80backed No | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -3.0wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will KF Víkingur win on 2026-07-29?this page
- Will MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva vs. KF Víkingur end in a draw?No won
- Will MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva win on 2026-07-29?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.