Champions League · resolved market
Will MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva vs. KF Víkingur end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0b3c2f89112d2bfdc12962d18d012a5cb6fd8e41195cf3124d5a3efc4f5a4ff5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,963
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,613
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,963 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4408…1b6abacked Yes | 26c | 8,152$2,119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,119.4 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4cc…3a42backed Yes | 22c | 5,509$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 74c | 4,814$3,557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,257.13 | 1,511 | 40.2%608 W · 903 L | -6.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes | 24c | 3,345$803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$802.77 | 145 | 32.4%47 W · 98 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 77c | 2,590$1,982 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$608.26 | 318 | 47.5%151 W · 167 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 77c | 2,555$1,956 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$598.62 | 1,994 | 43.9%875 W · 1,119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 74c | 1,864$1,379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.64 | 915 | 37.6%344 W · 571 L | +30.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked No | 74c | 1,164$864 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.97 | 164 | 40.9%67 W · 97 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1402…4853backed Yes | 18c | 1,099$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 49 | 18.4%9 W · 40 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 76c | 987$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.88 | 432 | 52.3%226 W · 206 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked No | 68c | 899.71$615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.32 | 100 | 46%46 W · 54 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 78c | 588.46$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.04 | 397 | 43.3%172 W · 225 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Yes | 38c | 527.55$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.73 | 73 | 39.7%29 W · 44 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 77c | 446.48$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.45 | 338 | 44.7%151 W · 187 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 76c | 445.99$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.9 | 520 | 46.7%243 W · 277 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed No | 74c | 402.57$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.67 | 107 | 52.3%56 W · 51 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x225b…9a83backed No | 77c | 366.96$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.42 | 54 | 29.6%16 W · 38 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 23c | 339.52$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.09 | 886 | 31.7%281 W · 605 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 23c | 338.05$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.85 | 243 | 40.7%99 W · 144 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 75c | 332.05$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.97 | 723 | 35.5%257 W · 466 L | -28.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c2…73bfbacked Yes | 36c | 300$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 74c | 233.37$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.4 | 467 | 41.5%194 W · 273 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x579a…b0a7backed Yes | 18c | 222.22$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed No | 74c | 154.43$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.92 | 125 | 51.2%64 W · 61 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 74c | 148.38$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.58 | 440 | 33.9%149 W · 291 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -38%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4126…e68bbacked Yes | 25c | 120$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.82 | 142 | 38%54 W · 88 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 79c | 118.33$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.95 | 382 | 53.9%206 W · 176 L | +21.7wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked No | 79c | 107$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.68 | 242 | 52.5%127 W · 115 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d23…251cbacked No | 76c | 101.28$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.31 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Yes | 15c | 99.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.11 | 105 | 39%41 W · 64 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -33%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8859…89d6backed No | 74c | 94.59$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.59 | 32 | 71.9%23 W · 9 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 286 | 39.9%114 W · 172 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3555…208ebacked No | 74c | 81.08$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.08 | 33 | 69.7%23 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed No | 78c | 78.79$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.03 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed No | 79c | 76.64$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.75 | 159 | 54.7%87 W · 72 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed No | 80c | 75.47$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.28 | 143 | 53.8%77 W · 66 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a61…68f9backed Yes | 23c | 60.87$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked No | 77c | 60$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 381 | 42.8%163 W · 218 L | -22.9wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0977…53ccbacked No | 74c | 56.19$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.61 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…02ccbacked No | 76c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc8…a0e4backed No | 77c | 45$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed No | 79c | 34.16$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.33 | 135 | 67.4%91 W · 44 L | +9.8wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed No | 78c | 30.12$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.72 | 54 | 75.9%41 W · 13 L | +10.4wins | +0.19per pick | 57cpaid | +34%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed No | 77c | 25.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.87 | 222 | 45%100 W · 122 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked No | 69c | 24.94$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.73 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked No | 70c | 22.9$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.96 | 89 | 71.9%64 W · 25 L | +12.4wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 73c | 21.96$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.93 | 1,021 | 35.3%360 W · 661 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 74c | 20.02$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.21 | 306 | 56.9%174 W · 132 L | +13.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed No | 74c | 18.44$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.79 | 297 | 46.5%138 W · 159 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 73c | 18.03$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.84 | 154 | 42.9%66 W · 88 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x998a…802bbacked No | 78c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.3 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 69cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva vs. KF Víkingur end in a draw?this page
- Will KF Víkingur win on 2026-07-29?No won
- Will MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva win on 2026-07-29?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.