TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

National Bank Open: Casper Ruud vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Casper Ruudof Casper Ruud, Juan Manuel Cerundolo
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$58,554
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$60,411

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $58,554 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 88 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2073…385bbacked Juan Manuel Cerundolo11c11,816$1,328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,328.128042.5%34 W · 46 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Casper Ruud70c7,693$5,385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,308.014,24152.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L+65.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Juan Manuel Cerundolo28c6,595$1,846 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,846.472,37551.1%1,213 W · 1,162 L+8.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa804…2a75backed Casper Ruud71c5,573$3,957 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,616.2856651.8%293 W · 273 L+11.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Casper Ruud72c5,000$3,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,40037450%187 W · 187 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Juan Manuel Cerundolo27c2,941$795 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$795.28,50542.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L-166.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd422…7e43backed Casper Ruud71c2,817$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$816.92560%15 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x33c9…6f9abacked Casper Ruud72c2,783$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$783.4193055.8%519 W · 411 L+23.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+1.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Juan Manuel Cerundolo29c2,419$701 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$701.411,67948.1%808 W · 871 L+36.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Juan Manuel Cerundolo29c1,826$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$525.311,72948.9%845 W · 884 L+53.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f26…c83bbacked Juan Manuel Cerundolo12c1,750$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.510234.3%35 W · 67 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0cdf…ec9ebacked Casper Ruud71c1,408$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$408.4517556.6%99 W · 76 L-6.4wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-6.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9807…157bbacked Juan Manuel Cerundolo30c1,395$418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$417.5233438.6%129 W · 205 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeb77…ef9ebacked Casper Ruud72c1,389$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$388.9694068.1%640 W · 300 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick67cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb3ac…1ce0backed Casper Ruud72c1,389$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$388.8912467.7%84 W · 40 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick67cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed Juan Manuel Cerundolo26c1,095$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286.283,60542.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L-43.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d47…64eebacked Juan Manuel Cerundolo29c700$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2037728.6%22 W · 55 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4dd2…9014backed Juan Manuel Cerundolo29c689.66$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010954.1%59 W · 50 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+9.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7547…d158backed Juan Manuel Cerundolo29c600$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1747,04939.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L-20.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x50b9…4467backed Juan Manuel Cerundolo14c571.43$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8038033.9%129 W · 251 L+0.1wins0.00per pick34cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Juan Manuel Cerundolo5c562.96$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.478,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda03…fa78backed Casper Ruud72c500$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1404946.9%23 W · 26 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x03f4…7e44backed Juan Manuel Cerundolo29c499.99$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14535938.2%137 W · 222 L+7.5wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfdae…6ad2backed Casper Ruud72c416.67$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.6715856.3%89 W · 69 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-10.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1a89…bb33backed Juan Manuel Cerundolo30c333.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004926.5%13 W · 36 L-5.2wins-0.11per pick37cpaid-35.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed Juan Manuel Cerundolo28c320$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.851,62449.8%809 W · 815 L-9.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfeb9…95c9backed Juan Manuel Cerundolo30c320$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9614039.3%55 W · 85 L-4.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-10.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9c3c…e8c9backed Casper Ruud71c319.78$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.7313053.1%69 W · 61 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+7.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Juan Manuel Cerundolo17c317.3$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.692,04946.8%958 W · 1,091 L+19.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe27c…79e0backed Casper Ruud79c300.11$237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.0218158.6%106 W · 75 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6796…453fbacked Juan Manuel Cerundolo20c300$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.494447.7%450 W · 494 L+34.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+2.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Juan Manuel Cerundolo28c300$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$842,24742.7%960 W · 1,287 L+33.4wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x473f…06dbbacked Casper Ruud69c289.86$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.86560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick46cpaid-3.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x191f…4a8dbacked Juan Manuel Cerundolo31c264.86$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.1132333.7%109 W · 214 L-8.5wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x398f…30f2backed Juan Manuel Cerundolo26c235.49$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.4816941.4%70 W · 99 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-25.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x796f…00f6backed Casper Ruud78c220$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.215545.2%70 W · 85 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6797…e0e5backed Casper Ruud72c214.58$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.0826263%165 W · 97 L+8.5wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd034…eecebacked Juan Manuel Cerundolo28c199.99$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$562,73534%931 W · 1,804 L-13.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x323e…1ddabacked Juan Manuel Cerundolo30c179.99$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.463537.6%239 W · 396 L+20.7wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x04a7…164bbacked Juan Manuel Cerundolo29c170$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.315244.1%67 W · 85 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0599…3c6abacked Casper Ruud71c164.65$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.7558359.2%345 W · 238 L-8.3wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Juan Manuel Cerundolo30c164.21$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.977,13949.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L+109.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7616…5bedbacked Casper Ruud71c154.99$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.951080%8 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick70cpaid+17.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1044…d67abacked Juan Manuel Cerundolo21c150$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.56936.2%25 W · 44 L-4.7wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-29.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x06a9…1a49backed Casper Ruud72c138.89$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.8971857.7%414 W · 304 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc470…c792backed Juan Manuel Cerundolo29c137.93$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401,50435.1%528 W · 976 L+12.5wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd619…c461backed Juan Manuel Cerundolo28c125.78$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.226536.9%24 W · 41 L-5.2wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-26.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xcfaa…28f7backed Juan Manuel Cerundolo30c100$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3093945.5%427 W · 512 L+20.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0e…4f01backed Juan Manuel Cerundolo30c100$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.51,25044.7%559 W · 691 L-6.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3cf2…ac54backed Juan Manuel Cerundolo30c100$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3019347.2%91 W · 102 L-0.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Casper Ruud71c100$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291,95548%939 W · 1,016 L+16.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x402a…624fbacked Juan Manuel Cerundolo29c98$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.2725048.8%122 W · 128 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Casper Ruud71c97.06$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.151,65849.9%828 W · 830 L+7.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x39dc…fc23backed Juan Manuel Cerundolo16c90$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.11,86144.4%827 W · 1,034 L-15.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x64e8…7819backed Juan Manuel Cerundolo30c80$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241,88235.5%669 W · 1,213 L+26.8wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a60…7b81backed Casper Ruud72c78$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.8418356.3%103 W · 80 L+7.1wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1cba…b694backed Juan Manuel Cerundolo14c74.54$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.551,42944.2%631 W · 798 L-23.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-24.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf8e4…3b32backed Juan Manuel Cerundolo27c73.43$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.642946.4%199 W · 230 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf40e…9addbacked Casper Ruud70c71.69$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.6938664%247 W · 139 L+8.2wins+0.02per pick62cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b25…10aabacked Juan Manuel Cerundolo14c71.43$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1027239%106 W · 166 L-6.6wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed Casper Ruud71c70.42$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.421,22652%637 W · 589 L+44.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+2.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x77cf…3b56backed Casper Ruud71c70.42$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.421650%8 W · 8 L-2.7wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-27%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x93b4…d95fbacked Casper Ruud72c69.44$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.44580%4 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick76cpaid+5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x57b4…da40backed Juan Manuel Cerundolo29c68.97$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2034359.5%204 W · 139 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x237f…362ebacked Juan Manuel Cerundolo29c66.28$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.227440.5%30 W · 44 L-4.6wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-14.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe660…514fbacked Juan Manuel Cerundolo29c62.07$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1810233.3%34 W · 68 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-19.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Juan Manuel Cerundolo32c56.81$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.183,87445.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L-39.6wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x186b…9bbabacked Casper Ruud68c56.81$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.18650%3 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde36…f41cbacked Casper Ruud72c48.61$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.6115846.8%74 W · 84 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc73a…ba42backed Juan Manuel Cerundolo29c47.98$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.917554.7%41 W · 34 L-0.3wins0.00per pick55cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x089c…33dabacked Casper Ruud72c41.67$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.6710140.6%41 W · 60 L-4.6wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-14.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa0f1…5b7fbacked Casper Ruud72c40$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.22965.5%19 W · 10 L+3.2wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+29.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xaa52…3607backed Juan Manuel Cerundolo28c40$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.26460.9%39 W · 25 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb4bf…60f8backed Juan Manuel Cerundolo29c38$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.0269047%324 W · 366 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ee3…2e6abacked Juan Manuel Cerundolo30c36.67$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1129945.8%137 W · 162 L+20.6wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+21.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2a7e…9dc6backed Juan Manuel Cerundolo29c36.41$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.568942.7%38 W · 51 L-5.5wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-22.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa6db…3155backed Juan Manuel Cerundolo29c36.1$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.4755347.6%263 W · 290 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x767e…98cabacked Casper Ruud70c35.71$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.7140861.3%250 W · 158 L-12.6wins-0.03per pick64cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x10ff…ff77backed Casper Ruud68c35$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.296755.3%535 W · 432 L+3.4wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf970…f7f6backed Juan Manuel Cerundolo29c35$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.152,48535.9%893 W · 1,592 L-28.5wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa187…aa65backed Casper Ruud72c34.72$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.725354.7%29 W · 24 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x87b9…b193backed Casper Ruud72c27.78$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.7825862.4%161 W · 97 L-7.3wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9755…ab85backed Casper Ruud70c21.1$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.3335851.7%185 W · 173 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x713d…15d0backed Casper Ruud71c19.32$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.65070%35 W · 15 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick68cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba00…527bbacked Casper Ruud78c17.58$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.8721563.3%136 W · 79 L+18.0wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+12.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5ac2…4fd8backed Casper Ruud68c17.18$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.55860.3%35 W · 23 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-1.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x624b…d3dbbacked Casper Ruud72c15.21$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.269950.5%50 W · 49 L-0.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6209…6767backed Casper Ruud69c14.99$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.659366.7%62 W · 31 L-5.4wins-0.06per pick73cpaid-8.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.