Asian League · resolved market
Yunnan Yukun FC vs. Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x65836561c41ab629b87fbd080438be9f992885a45d60d5a705bdd4568a2a17e4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,762
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,374
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,762 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd9dd…b525backed No | 13c | 1,030$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.85 | 81 | 32.1%26 W · 55 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 34c | 592.55$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.33 | 5,910 | 46.2%2,730 W · 3,180 L | +50.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes | 63c | 487.63$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.68 | 229 | 49.8%114 W · 115 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 38c | 368$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.74 | 1,617 | 36.3%587 W · 1,030 L | -34.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57cc…0fa7backed Yes | 68c | 290$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.8 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 32c | 204.59$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.53 | 1,959 | 54.6%1,069 W · 890 L | +36.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5258…534ebacked Yes | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed No | 33c | 146.48$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.34 | 149 | 48.3%72 W · 77 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0faf…fd5ebacked Yes | 68c | 146.36$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.36 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3b…28bdbacked Yes | 69c | 142.03$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.03 | 140 | 47.1%66 W · 74 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Yes | 68c | 100$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 421 | 51.3%216 W · 205 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39b2…9460backed No | 32c | 78.12$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 33 | 21.2%7 W · 26 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c31…5380backed Yes | 68c | 71.03$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.73 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -4.2wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 69c | 62.39$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.55 | 1,434 | 35.2%505 W · 929 L | -36.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed Yes | 68c | 44.3$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.18 | 153 | 52.9%81 W · 72 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Yes | 67c | 35.07$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.57 | 363 | 52.9%192 W · 171 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Yes | 68c | 22.02$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.05 | 539 | 46.9%253 W · 286 L | -14.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12c8…20d5backed Yes | 69c | 17.39$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.39 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 70cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6209…6767backed Yes | 67c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.95 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 70cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Yunnan Yukun FC vs. Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Spread: Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC (-1.5)Yunnan Yukun FC won
- Spread: Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC (-2.5)Yunnan Yukun FC won
- Spread: Yunnan Yukun FC (-1.5)Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC won
- Spread: Yunnan Yukun FC (-2.5)Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC won
- Yunnan Yukun FC vs. Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Yunnan Yukun FC vs. Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Yunnan Yukun FC vs. Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC: 1st Half O/U 2.5Over won
- Yunnan Yukun FC vs. Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Yunnan Yukun FC vs. Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Yunnan Yukun FC vs. Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Yunnan Yukun FC vs. Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC: O/U 4.5Over won
- Yunnan Yukun FC vs. Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC: O/U 5.5Over won
- Yunnan Yukun FC vs. Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC: Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.