Asian League · resolved market
Yunnan Yukun FC vs. Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x82b155c076aa242ceaa228d01afbec37e083f919c6189ddb61e3ec6efca79255
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $37,913
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $41,284
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,913 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe6ee…b3aabacked Under | 50c | 4,177$2,094 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,094.39 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0b…3790backed Under | 1c | 3,589$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.89 | 66 | 34.8%23 W · 43 L | +13.5wins | +0.20per pick | 14cpaid | +156.5%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 57c | 2,600$1,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,129.85 | 5,910 | 46.2%2,730 W · 3,180 L | +50.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 47c | 1,868$869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$869 | 2,467 | 40.3%993 W · 1,474 L | -15.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Over | 51c | 1,692$856 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$836.43 | 108 | 37%40 W · 68 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -25%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8944…da4bbacked Over | 47c | 1,653$785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$867.91 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x73c5…2f80backed Over | 63c | 1,615$1,019 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$595.83 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd273…17eabacked Over | 57c | 1,596$902 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$693.79 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.45per pick | 30cpaid | +215.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over | 45c | 1,442$655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$787.18 | 229 | 49.8%114 W · 115 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34a1…7622backed Under | 30c | 1,259$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.88 | 121 | 39.7%48 W · 73 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c2…73bfbacked Under | 37c | 1,081$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 116 | 31%36 W · 80 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e78…067ebacked Over | 54c | 955.92$516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.34 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07ea…a6babacked Over | 53c | 943.4$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.4 | 88 | 43.2%38 W · 50 L | -6.1wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 69c | 674.99$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.74 | 1,707 | 50.6%863 W · 844 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0dc…586cbacked Under | 51c | 666.67$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 140 | 37.1%52 W · 88 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba1d…d326backed Over | 63c | 636.2$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.92 | 66 | 63.6%42 W · 24 L | +9.3wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed Under | 43c | 585.03$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.03 | 131 | 40.5%53 W · 78 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 41c | 527.14$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.78 | 1,022 | 41.5%424 W · 598 L | -33.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 62c | 513.79$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.55 | 1,214 | 50.2%610 W · 604 L | +12.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31d8…a9cebacked Over | 31c | 500$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -3.5wins | -0.17per pick | 32cpaid | -62.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2983…4eb2backed Under | 47c | 422.22$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | -5.5wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 49c | 412.9$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.32 | 471 | 55.8%263 W · 208 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8152…5b51backed Under | 48c | 357.17$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.39 | 87 | 41.4%36 W · 51 L | -8.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 62c | 316.02$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.51 | 2,499 | 42.3%1,057 W · 1,442 L | +52.8wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6945…729cbacked Under | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f39…311abacked Over | 50c | 299.99$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +80%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ff…8a60backed Under | 48c | 297.91$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…5513backed Over | 30c | 270$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189 | 118 | 12.7%15 W · 103 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad31…c93abacked Under | 28c | 267.36$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.53 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +6.5wins | +0.16per pick | 39cpaid | +119.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee7…f36ebacked Under | 65c | 234.91$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.57 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 41c | 229$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.4 | 720 | 44.2%318 W · 402 L | -28.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bf…f0ccbacked Over | 63c | 227.11$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.92 | 123 | 62.6%77 W · 46 L | +17.0wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c6…7b39backed Over | 31c | 217.1$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.8 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a4d…be6fbacked Under | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec5…fd53backed Under | 24c | 194.66$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.21 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 36c | 189.74$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.66 | 582 | 43%250 W · 332 L | -26.2wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Over | 51c | 156.88$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.87 | 104 | 54.8%57 W · 47 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b24…11efbacked Over | 65c | 149.97$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.49 | 37 | 73%27 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 69cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…3335backed Over | 75c | 135$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.75 | 120 | 74.2%89 W · 31 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 72cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 50c | 120.56$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.89 | 1,354 | 45.4%615 W · 739 L | +14.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc23d…82c8backed Over | 60c | 115.36$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.82 | 81 | 55.6%45 W · 36 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd0e…cdf0backed Under | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 26 | 19.2%5 W · 21 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb428…74c8backed Under | 32c | 98.91$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 118 | 39.8%47 W · 71 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 69c | 83.79$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.85 | 206 | 51.5%106 W · 100 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Over | 55c | 81.97$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.96 | 192 | 61.5%118 W · 74 L | +17.1wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3b…28bdbacked Over | 30c | 80$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 140 | 47.1%66 W · 74 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb76b…d1f0backed Under | 18c | 78.15$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.07 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2918…fe4abacked Over | 80c | 78$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 23c | 72$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.83 | 434 | 52.1%226 W · 208 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Under | 70c | 70.7$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.49 | 149 | 48.3%72 W · 77 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Over | 46c | 68.86$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 261 | 48.7%127 W · 134 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 49c | 66.42$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.72 | 1,053 | 41.9%441 W · 612 L | -13.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc243…5e94backed Over | 49c | 62$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.62 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed Under | 47c | 55.32$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 257 | 42%108 W · 149 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Over | 57c | 53.66$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.1 | 371 | 53.9%200 W · 171 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0fb…8092backed Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +3.8wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4d1d…01acbacked Under | 45c | 49.07$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.08 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.26per pick | 48cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4438…f659backed Over | 31c | 48.39$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.39 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +3.7wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Over | 30c | 47.14$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 363 | 52.9%192 W · 171 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Under | 40c | 47$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 344 | 47.4%163 W · 181 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d1c…8408backed Under | 47c | 44.68$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.8wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e50…c665backed Under | 34c | 43.68$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Over | 74c | 41.13$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.87 | 374 | 59.1%221 W · 153 L | +11.5wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 31c | 41$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.29 | 1,959 | 54.6%1,069 W · 890 L | +36.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ed6…2322backed Under | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ec…a9c4backed Over | 62c | 33.67$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.68 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +3.2wins | +0.13per pick | 59cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…c3d9backed Over | 59c | 26.07$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.69 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Over | 51c | 26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.74 | 217 | 54.4%118 W · 99 L | +10.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 65c | 25.18$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.77 | 1,306 | 56.9%743 W · 563 L | +67.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb476…6eacbacked Over | 68c | 21.81$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.95 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Yunnan Yukun FC vs. Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC: O/U 4.5this page
- Spread: Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC (-1.5)Yunnan Yukun FC won
- Spread: Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC (-2.5)Yunnan Yukun FC won
- Spread: Yunnan Yukun FC (-1.5)Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC won
- Spread: Yunnan Yukun FC (-2.5)Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC won
- Yunnan Yukun FC vs. Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Yunnan Yukun FC vs. Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Yunnan Yukun FC vs. Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC: 1st Half O/U 2.5Over won
- Yunnan Yukun FC vs. Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Yunnan Yukun FC vs. Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Yunnan Yukun FC vs. Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Yunnan Yukun FC vs. Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Yunnan Yukun FC vs. Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC: O/U 5.5Over won
- Yunnan Yukun FC vs. Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC: Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.