TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Asian League · resolved market

Yunnan Yukun FC vs. Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$107,635
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$115,207

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $107,635 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Asian League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2117…5c26backed Under51c37,594$19,084 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,084.283644.4%16 W · 20 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-14%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9f15…bdb3backed Over49c14,296$7,005 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,290.846845.6%31 W · 37 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-11.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under49c6,793$3,329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,328.734847.4%165 W · 183 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd331…733cbacked Under52c6,784$3,528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,527.693240.6%13 W · 19 L-2.6wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-22.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over48c6,166$2,953 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,212.525,94646.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L+50.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over51c5,000$2,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,4504755.3%26 W · 21 L+2.9wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+11.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over48c4,939$2,370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,568.031,22150.2%613 W · 608 L+12.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x379a…5122backed Over49c4,684$2,295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,388.672951.7%15 W · 14 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x80ba…2e78backed Over49c4,640$2,292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,348.292250%11 W · 11 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8987…02f3backed Over49c4,008$1,964 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,043.915250%26 W · 26 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-3.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe6bf…8380backed Over48c3,945$1,893 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,051.253855.3%21 W · 17 L+2.8wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+15.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over50c3,407$1,712 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,695.782,49140%997 W · 1,494 L-18.8wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d2e…896dbacked Over49c2,743$1,344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,398.741250%6 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under49c2,025$992 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$992.251,72550.6%873 W · 852 L+28.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa2d4…23e8backed Under51c2,000$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0202236.4%8 W · 14 L-2.9wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-28.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x53de…409abacked Over50c1,988$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$987.681100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+98.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x800a…0b4dbacked Over52c1,902$989 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$913.19344.1%41 W · 52 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over51c1,454$748 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$706.141,44335.3%509 W · 934 L-36.4wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-11.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb2e2…4e99backed Over48c1,000$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5207837.2%29 W · 49 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf636…5465backed Over49c925$453 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$471.751625%4 W · 12 L-3.6wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-53.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over45c921.08$418 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$503.522949.8%114 W · 115 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6945…729cbacked Under11c818.26$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.815752.6%30 W · 27 L+4.0wins+0.07per pick46cpaid-2.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over75c622.29$464 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.0477056.2%433 W · 337 L+40.8wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0458…92e9backed Under43c581.63$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2501250%6 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x34a1…7622backed Under41c552.54$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.8112639.7%50 W · 76 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4818…fde0backed Under51c512.55$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.41216.7%2 W · 10 L-4.0wins-0.33per pick50cpaid-70.5%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xb476…6eacbacked Over75c473.75$355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.395242.3%22 W · 30 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-28.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x31d8…a9cebacked Over51c450$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.52015%3 W · 17 L-3.5wins-0.17per pick32cpaid-62.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x789c…0d10backed Over49c436.57$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.6514948.3%72 W · 77 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2983…4eb2backed Under51c389.85$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2006238.7%24 W · 38 L-5.5wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-18.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1346…0448backed Under24c387.86$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.8813140.5%53 W · 78 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-9.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc7ff…8a60backed Under50c310$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1551540%6 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-20.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1f3f…959bbacked Under15c299.73$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.9612535.2%44 W · 81 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca89…7bc4backed Over50c288$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.4415349.7%76 W · 77 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-8.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Over49c286$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.8616454.3%89 W · 75 L+5.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Over49c280.22$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.3239649.7%197 W · 199 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc522…7f28backed Under50c280$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+54.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3d3b…28bdbacked Over49c224.49$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.4914047.1%66 W · 74 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Under17c189.05$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.141,06342%446 W · 617 L-12.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa804…2a75backed Over48c174.89$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.944057.5%23 W · 17 L+2.5wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+15.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe84f…b777backed Over48c164.7$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.0423859.7%142 W · 96 L+16.2wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+11.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Over49c157.12$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.271,97054.4%1,071 W · 899 L+32.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Over49c150$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.542351.3%217 W · 206 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Under16c150$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2492835%325 W · 603 L-22.9wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-33.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Over48c145.47$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.831960.2%192 W · 127 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick60cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcedf…0155backed Over42c130$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb70d…5925backed Over50c129.4$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.73756.8%21 W · 16 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1010…d793backed Over49c120$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.214752.4%77 W · 70 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Over49c119.59$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.9936352.9%192 W · 171 L-1.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Under50c118.76$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.8435751%182 W · 175 L+9.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Over49c114.05$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.1747155.8%263 W · 208 L+12.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a64…683ebacked Over49c100$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$516246.8%29 W · 33 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-8.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaedd…ad5bbacked Over49c80.63$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.127263.9%46 W · 26 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under51c72.37$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.912,52242.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L+54.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a60…7b81backed Under52c68.85$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.65955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+54%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b27…0b98backed Over52c67.31$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.312962.1%18 W · 11 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick66cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed Under49c63.78$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.2528253.5%151 W · 131 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Over50c62$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.3154354.9%298 W · 245 L-12.9wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-4.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under38c58.36$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.131,35645.5%617 W · 739 L+15.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-13.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x40d0…4415backed Over50c54$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2716856%94 W · 74 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over50c51.08$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.541,30956.8%743 W · 566 L+66.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+14.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Over49c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.513956.1%78 W · 61 L+0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b6e…f544backed Under50c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2512542.4%53 W · 72 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x352b…abd8backed Under50c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253941%16 W · 23 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-10.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x15cf…4d9bbacked Under49c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.5520%1 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.37per pick57cpaid-67.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2892…e9d7backed Over48c45$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.49851%50 W · 48 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x24ae…d35bbacked Under50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205244.2%23 W · 29 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ed3…0a22backed Over49c36$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.3616154.7%88 W · 73 L+0.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e4b…0a04backed Under49c33.31$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.322661.5%16 W · 10 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb7f2…131dbacked Over51c31.37$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.373839.5%15 W · 23 L-4.8wins-0.13per pick52cpaid-25.6%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x69ee…6e35backed Over49c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.343571.4%25 W · 10 L+5.8wins+0.17per pick55cpaid+34.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Over49c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.3814446.5%67 W · 77 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce80…c5efbacked Under49c26.92$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.191127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x234b…f36dbacked Over49c26.33$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.439458.5%55 W · 39 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f53…d5abbacked Under50c25$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.5650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-21.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Over48c25$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1344152.4%231 W · 210 L+1.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Over49c24.99$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.7156445.4%256 W · 308 L-25.0wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-18.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0d5f…1171backed Over49c24.96$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.6216659.6%99 W · 67 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x29d4…5d18backed Over44c23.7$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.272770.4%19 W · 8 L+3.1wins+0.11per pick59cpaid+22%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8543…ff1bbacked Under50c21.6$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.86547.7%31 W · 34 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick50cpaid+8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1573…a727backed Under50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-16.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.