Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will Zirə FK win on 2026-07-23?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd6df30720280e963b4294c71f0ab72b85c1426bfdacdc3223d2a64002308efca
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,839
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,295
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,839 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes | 10c | 4,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.99 | 112 | 26.8%30 W · 82 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes | 43c | 3,955$1,690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,690 | 558 | 45%251 W · 307 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 59c | 3,039$1,787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,252.45 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 38c | 2,304$873 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,430.61 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 32c | 2,272$728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,543.67 | 1,039 | 50%520 W · 519 L | +26.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfe4…3cbdbacked Yes | 2c | 1,699$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.98 | 27 | 7.4%2 W · 25 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 5cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1713…1986backed Yes | 70c | 1,427$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 66cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 36c | 772.51$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493.73 | 1,316 | 50.8%668 W · 648 L | +33.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 67c | 707.87$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.28 | 694 | 48.8%339 W · 355 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed No | 34c | 702.72$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.8 | 169 | 40.2%68 W · 101 L | -11.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 59c | 677.1$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.35 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed Yes | 71c | 600$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426 | 200 | 50%100 W · 100 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 53c | 509.23$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.86 | 1,604 | 38.9%624 W · 980 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Yes | 41c | 400.02$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.19 | 293 | 37.9%111 W · 182 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked No | 42c | 399.93$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.96 | 184 | 44.6%82 W · 102 L | +7.0wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…ff77backed No | 26c | 399.91$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.93 | 318 | 42.1%134 W · 184 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed No | 76c | 396.92$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.58 | 334 | 46.7%156 W · 178 L | -14.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1c8…023abacked Yes | 59c | 358.05$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 66c | 348.5$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.01 | 2,167 | 37.6%815 W · 1,352 L | +5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8492…f17cbacked Yes | 61c | 327.87$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce5e…c0fabacked Yes | 63c | 286$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.18 | 82 | 45.1%37 W · 45 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 66c | 265.94$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.7 | 568 | 49.6%282 W · 286 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd147…ecbdbacked Yes | 60c | 250$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.9 | 94 | 31.9%30 W · 64 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6868…24f0backed Yes | 69c | 200$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 207 | 40.1%83 W · 124 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked No | 43c | 172.54$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.59 | 314 | 30.3%95 W · 219 L | -15.9wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked No | 61c | 168$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.22 | 239 | 50.2%120 W · 119 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed No | 63c | 151.03$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.94 | 852 | 60.9%519 W · 333 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 59c | 141$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.19 | 1,033 | 46.1%476 W · 557 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 74c | 132.86$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.32 | 116 | 50.9%59 W · 57 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Yes | 61c | 123.51$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.93 | 299 | 59.5%178 W · 121 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f38…39f2backed Yes | 58c | 117.64$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.23 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -3.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 72c | 104.74$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.55 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x129b…190abacked Yes | 57c | 104.73$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -3.1wins | -0.17per pick | 45cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 28c | 100$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 778 | 55%428 W · 350 L | +23.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 34c | 100$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 793 | 54.2%430 W · 363 L | +17.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Yes | 58c | 94.83$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 118 | 33.9%40 W · 78 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3b…07c9backed No | 67c | 91$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.03 | 78 | 38.5%30 W · 48 L | -8.0wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 30c | 88.6$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.97 | 661 | 50.5%334 W · 327 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked No | 28c | 86.68$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.41 | 973 | 46%448 W · 525 L | -4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0464…67dabacked Yes | 63c | 84.84$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.45 | 363 | 56.5%205 W · 158 L | +17.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes | 60c | 82.94$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.08 | 814 | 40.5%330 W · 484 L | -21.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Yes | 71c | 60.34$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.02 | 655 | 49.8%326 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Yes | 20c | 57.51$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.33 | 453 | 48.3%219 W · 234 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 70c | 54.15$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.08 | 1,114 | 35.8%399 W · 715 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked No | 67c | 53.4$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.55 | 535 | 64.7%346 W · 189 L | +29.1wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x86d0…904ebacked Yes | 71c | 50$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.5 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3b…28bdbacked No | 36c | 47.22$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.22 | 122 | 42.6%52 W · 70 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 67c | 47$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.49 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f14…b567backed Yes | 66c | 45.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 67cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked No | 31c | 40$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.6 | 87 | 47.1%41 W · 46 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabfe…dba6backed Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 60 | 35%21 W · 39 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…d282backed No | 51c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 44 | 79.5%35 W · 9 L | +8.0wins | +0.18per pick | 61cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa8eb…0acbbacked Yes | 65c | 38.46$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 109 | 48.6%53 W · 56 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f75…ce35backed Yes | 60c | 35$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f15…a670backed Yes | 74c | 33.78$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8987…02f3backed Yes | 63c | 33.73$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.25 | 94 | 51.1%48 W · 46 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8fc…b543backed Yes | 67c | 32.32$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.65 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab95…6c79backed Yes | 62c | 31.43$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.33 | 45 | 64.4%29 W · 16 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x308f…8607backed Yes | 74c | 28.15$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.83 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 74cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2077…8161backed Yes | 74c | 26.35$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 60c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.95 | 380 | 47.4%180 W · 200 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc378…5e4cbacked No | 73c | 23.29$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.29 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x237f…e76ebacked Yes | 71c | 21.47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.32 | 82 | 56.1%46 W · 36 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf24f…15b2backed Yes | 74c | 20.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 67 | 34.3%23 W · 44 L | -7.7wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x03dc…64fdbacked Yes | 69c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 57 | 66.7%38 W · 19 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf587…de7fbacked Yes | 74c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ed1…908cbacked Yes | 70c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9409…5b36backed Yes | 57c | 18.77$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.7 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa2fc…b1b4backed Yes | 71c | 16.53$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.74 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6209…6767backed Yes | 67c | 15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 74cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa370…c920backed Yes | 72c | 14.17$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 71cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Zirə FK win on 2026-07-23?this page
- Will Paide Linnameeskond vs. Zirə FK end in a draw?No won
- Will Paide Linnameeskond win on 2026-07-23?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.