Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will Paide Linnameeskond vs. Zirə FK end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc7814780e788736d7861273e5db5cbe3b7f15c5408aa778d6d813cb17885d3cf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,130
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,179
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,130 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes | 25c | 3,151$802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$802.37 | 112 | 26.8%30 W · 82 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked No | 65c | 1,439$935 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.33 | 558 | 45%251 W · 307 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 53c | 1,264$669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$595.39 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 21c | 1,000$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 1,039 | 50%520 W · 519 L | +26.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked No | 37c | 728.34$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.09 | 314 | 30.3%95 W · 219 L | -15.9wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 18c | 720$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.22 | 172 | 33.7%58 W · 114 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 24c | 696$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.9 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 79c | 599.99$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 200 | 50%100 W · 100 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 54c | 573.17$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.25 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e64…336dbacked Yes | 19c | 493$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.67 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +3.2wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 72c | 428.29$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.98 | 1,604 | 38.9%624 W · 980 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68f0…c32dbacked Yes | 75c | 400.53$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed No | 47c | 319.05$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.1 | 293 | 37.9%111 W · 182 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 30c | 310.71$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.21 | 973 | 46%448 W · 525 L | -4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3740…a935backed Yes | 70c | 300$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209 | 127 | 70.9%90 W · 37 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yes | 61c | 243.7$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.12 | 239 | 50.2%120 W · 119 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 63c | 242.74$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.81 | 814 | 40.5%330 W · 484 L | -21.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6868…24f0backed Yes | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 207 | 40.1%83 W · 124 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 80c | 179.63$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.93 | 1,316 | 50.8%668 W · 648 L | +33.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 60c | 172.88$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.4 | 160 | 45%72 W · 88 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes | 63c | 159.8$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.06 | 334 | 46.7%156 W · 178 L | -14.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3e…3c4cbacked No | 60c | 108$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.64 | 107 | 68.2%73 W · 34 L | +15.2wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x23b5…97e1backed Yes | 40c | 108$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.64 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed No | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 87 | 47.1%41 W · 46 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48fe…825cbacked Yes | 30c | 83.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed No | 71c | 69.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.23 | 299 | 59.5%178 W · 121 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea80…41afbacked No | 48c | 53.63$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.63 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Yes | 43c | 46.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 83 | 31.3%26 W · 57 L | -9.2wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -30%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3b…07c9backed Yes | 61c | 43.22$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.54 | 78 | 38.5%30 W · 48 L | -8.0wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Yes | 57c | 35.8$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.25 | 852 | 60.9%519 W · 333 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e9f…3988backed No | 79c | 23.42$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.92 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Yes | 57c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 535 | 64.7%346 W · 189 L | +29.1wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Paide Linnameeskond vs. Zirə FK end in a draw?this page
- Will Paide Linnameeskond win on 2026-07-23?Yes won
- Will Zirə FK win on 2026-07-23?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.