Tennis · resolved market
ITF Wetzlar: Vincent Marysko vs Geoffrey Blancaneaux
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x67fd2321cf16b9d63b3e2dd36f47b4a13b25418352929642dbec4b8440c980c8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Geoffrey Blancaneauxof Vincent Marysko, Geoffrey Blancaneaux
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,639
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,014
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,639 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Geoffrey Blancaneaux | 76c | 4,574$3,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,103.81 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Vincent Marysko | 16c | 2,922$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.41 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf3b…9035backed Vincent Marysko | 19c | 526.32$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 307 | 55%169 W · 138 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Vincent Marysko | 61c | 500$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Vincent Marysko | 22c | 306.26$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.67 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22b2…ed8fbacked Geoffrey Blancaneaux | 78c | 295.3$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.3 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4b6…5858backed Vincent Marysko | 9c | 247.22$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 230 | 30.4%70 W · 160 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9455…7defbacked Vincent Marysko | 32c | 156.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 960 | 49.5%475 W · 485 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb41e…db27backed Vincent Marysko | 34c | 147.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 130 | 50.8%66 W · 64 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x655b…ec8bbacked Vincent Marysko | 19c | 140.58$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.09 | 56 | 66.1%37 W · 19 L | +5.3wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x46bb…0e9fbacked Vincent Marysko | 38c | 138.87$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.77 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Geoffrey Blancaneaux | 79c | 107.4$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Vincent Marysko | 60c | 101.19$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.18 | 1,234 | 46.3%571 W · 663 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Vincent Marysko | 62c | 100.29$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.18 | 394 | 46.7%184 W · 210 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe70…7533backed Vincent Marysko | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 81 | 49.4%40 W · 41 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…c544backed Vincent Marysko | 11c | 98.67$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.15 | 431 | 44.8%193 W · 238 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b36ebacked Vincent Marysko | 26c | 89.36$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.47 | 509 | 46.6%237 W · 272 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Vincent Marysko | 14c | 85.48$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.22 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2326…b627backed Vincent Marysko | 60c | 71.5$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.9 | 1,256 | 65.4%821 W · 435 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d10…b3d0backed Geoffrey Blancaneaux | 75c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 821 | 59.4%488 W · 333 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed Vincent Marysko | 62c | 50$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.86 | 561 | 53.7%301 W · 260 L | +14.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Geoffrey Blancaneaux | 80c | 46.71$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.52 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Geoffrey Blancaneaux | 75c | 44$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Geoffrey Blancaneaux | 46c | 43.8$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.8 | 601 | 41.1%247 W · 354 L | -11.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Geoffrey Blancaneaux | 78c | 31.38$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4936…38a6backed Geoffrey Blancaneaux | 74c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.9 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | -5.1wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x70fc…ab12backed Vincent Marysko | 58c | 24.41$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.16 | 423 | 50.8%215 W · 208 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe999…ec00backed Geoffrey Blancaneaux | 55c | 22.06$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.89 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Geoffrey Blancaneaux | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 2,082 | 52.3%1,088 W · 994 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Geoffrey Blancaneaux | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 1,175 | 52.9%622 W · 553 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Geoffrey Blancaneaux | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 1,767 | 52.1%920 W · 847 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9755…ab85backed Geoffrey Blancaneaux | 75c | 19.75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.94 | 358 | 51.7%185 W · 173 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Vincent Marysko | 55c | 18.03$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 743 | 46.3%344 W · 399 L | -28.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Vincent Marysko | 62c | 17.21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.67 | 753 | 50.5%380 W · 373 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19e5…dd71backed Vincent Marysko | 61c | 16.66$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.16 | 551 | 49.7%274 W · 277 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6209…6767backed Geoffrey Blancaneaux | 80c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3 | 93 | 66.7%62 W · 31 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 73cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Geoffrey Blancaneaux | 79c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.12 | 690 | 47%324 W · 366 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf9…8292backed Geoffrey Blancaneaux | 75c | 14.71$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.68 | 588 | 57.7%339 W · 249 L | +20.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.