Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will MH Hapoel Tel Aviv win on 2026-07-30?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb5341066ec2e1daea8af14dd7fb718f3bc44f7ba6752a7d0f3d4b02dc03c22b1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,708
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,876
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,708 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes | 24c | 3,456$829 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$828.83 | 112 | 26.8%30 W · 82 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked No | 40c | 3,442$1,379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,063.32 | 558 | 45%251 W · 307 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 76c | 2,550$1,938 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612 | 1,604 | 38.9%624 W · 980 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 51c | 2,504$1,277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,277.27 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d0…a1c5backed No | 51c | 922.7$467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.83 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 77c | 796.4$617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.86 | 694 | 48.8%339 W · 355 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 76c | 639.99$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.6 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 48c | 588.16$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.06 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e26…adcebacked Yes | 24c | 541.04$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.17per pick | 23cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 39c | 484.64$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.19 | 2,167 | 37.6%815 W · 1,352 L | +5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 59c | 298.93$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.52 | 814 | 40.5%330 W · 484 L | -21.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f0d…5de2backed Yes | 59c | 237$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.97 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f45…e6a7backed Yes | 22c | 227.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 48c | 181.61$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.9 | 769 | 41.9%322 W · 447 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0464…67dabacked Yes | 23c | 148.32$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.74 | 363 | 56.5%205 W · 158 L | +17.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 52c | 141$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.04 | 380 | 47.4%180 W · 200 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed No | 76c | 127$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.37 | 370 | 43.8%162 W · 208 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04b3…ad8dbacked Yes | 22c | 113.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Yes | 62c | 100$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 158 | 28.5%45 W · 113 L | -18.5wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x57d1…dc9fbacked Yes | 12c | 93.18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 79c | 92$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.32 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…c544backed Yes | 38c | 90.01$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 64 | 59.4%38 W · 26 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa807…cc2ebacked Yes | 25c | 81$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.25 | 138 | 39.1%54 W · 84 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 77c | 72.25$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.34 | 793 | 54.2%430 W · 363 L | +17.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd93…56c0backed No | 73c | 70.03$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.11 | 116 | 74.1%86 W · 30 L | +18.9wins | +0.16per pick | 58cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x1262…2fc9backed Yes | 31c | 69.25$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 49 | 67.3%33 W · 16 L | +6.5wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x312c…ceecbacked No | 77c | 69.12$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.65 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecbb…84c1backed Yes | 31c | 65.49$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed No | 78c | 64.86$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.27 | 299 | 59.5%178 W · 121 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Yes | 51c | 64$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.68 | 78 | 55.1%43 W · 35 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Yes | 32c | 53.05$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.22 | 389 | 52.7%205 W · 184 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4eef…5275backed No | 78c | 51.3$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.29 | 30 | 90%27 W · 3 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 79cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e8e…0cc4backed Yes | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 47 | 10.6%5 W · 42 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 17cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed No | 51c | 49.88$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 296 | 54.1%160 W · 136 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb4…45d4backed Yes | 54c | 46.2$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 77c | 43.48$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 741 | 55.9%414 W · 327 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Yes | 60c | 41.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 293 | 37.9%111 W · 182 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x083e…81a1backed No | 78c | 38.4$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.52 | 16 | 93.8%15 W · 1 L | +2.7wins | +0.17per pick | 77cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2654…b45fbacked No | 64c | 38$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.63 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e45…4b13backed No | 80c | 37.69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.69 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 67cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a7…ace4backed No | 51c | 33.75$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.45 | 170 | 59.4%101 W · 69 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 79c | 33.33$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 919 | 50.9%468 W · 451 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 47c | 29$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.58 | 136 | 66.2%90 W · 46 L | +12.2wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x968d…7537backed No | 77c | 26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.98 | 21 | 90.5%19 W · 2 L | +2.7wins | +0.13per pick | 78cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe29c…a31dbacked No | 53c | 24$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.28 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +4.0wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Yes | 56c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 198 | 48%95 W · 103 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed No | 77c | 18.46$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.19 | 655 | 49.8%326 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed No | 75c | 17.45$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.31 | 202 | 44.6%90 W · 112 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 70c | 17.16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.22 | 453 | 48.3%219 W · 234 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc8…a0e4backed No | 77c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.45 | 83 | 66.3%55 W · 28 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2568…ef92backed No | 77c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.39 | 108 | 63.9%69 W · 39 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed No | 77c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.45 | 111 | 68.5%76 W · 35 L | +10.6wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6209…6767backed No | 75c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 74cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ec…a9c4backed No | 79c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.94 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will MH Hapoel Tel Aviv win on 2026-07-30?this page
- Will PFK Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad vs. MH Hapoel Tel Aviv end in a draw?Yes won
- Will PFK Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad win on 2026-07-30?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.