Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will PFK Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad win on 2026-07-30?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xabca0a7314e2e98dc5676f3dcb885daa72de8dd6208e547acb9dd2b3e551dd16
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,377
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,835
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,377 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 69c | 10,360$7,099 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,261.12 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes | 29c | 8,251$2,387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,387.38 | 558 | 45%251 W · 307 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed No | 49c | 2,418$1,183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,234.55 | 75 | 65.3%49 W · 26 L | +11.0wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x65c1…2988backed Yes | 53c | 1,486$788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$787.57 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes | 12c | 1,019$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.73 | 112 | 26.8%30 W · 82 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12dc…f3dfbacked Yes | 52c | 769.23$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5234…c3febacked Yes | 52c | 718.8$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.51 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -18%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d0…a1c5backed Yes | 31c | 620.25$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb4…45d4backed Yes | 75c | 615.81$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.46 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28ff…d56cbacked Yes | 55c | 545.45$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed No | 48c | 519.99$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.4 | 381 | 44.1%168 W · 213 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 54c | 421$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.69 | 973 | 46%448 W · 525 L | -4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf353…692abacked Yes | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 60c | 379.72$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.64 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 47c | 359.23$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.39 | 969 | 47.5%460 W · 509 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60b1…8e7dbacked No | 46c | 324.29$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.12 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked No | 46c | 250$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 184 | 44.6%82 W · 102 L | +7.0wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57ee…7b80backed Yes | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…ff77backed Yes | 56c | 197$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.32 | 318 | 42.1%134 W · 184 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 274 | 37.2%102 W · 172 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 54c | 193.25$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.79 | 1,114 | 35.8%399 W · 715 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 51c | 181.56$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.25 | 769 | 41.9%322 W · 447 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 46c | 155.26$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.68 | 694 | 48.8%339 W · 355 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed No | 45c | 133.7$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.53 | 370 | 43.8%162 W · 208 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 71c | 117.45$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.54 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Yes | 52c | 108.44$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.39 | 655 | 49.8%326 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed No | 55c | 100.27$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.63 | 318 | 56%178 W · 140 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked No | 21c | 100$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79 | 158 | 28.5%45 W · 113 L | -18.5wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…c544backed No | 71c | 96.43$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.13 | 64 | 59.4%38 W · 26 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd629…1e72backed Yes | 24c | 90$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 55c | 88$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.4 | 270 | 39.3%106 W · 164 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…dba8backed Yes | 55c | 87.25$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.99 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 47c | 80.49$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.68 | 1,039 | 50%520 W · 519 L | +26.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0464…67dabacked No | 44c | 80.08$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.11 | 363 | 56.5%205 W · 158 L | +17.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce5e…c0fabacked No | 44c | 77.23$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.49 | 82 | 45.1%37 W · 45 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57d1…dc9fbacked Yes | 26c | 72.46$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54ae…dc21backed No | 26c | 65.73$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.64 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +3.1wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +46%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked No | 41c | 62.85$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.2 | 182 | 44.5%81 W · 101 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 47c | 58.1$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.77 | 919 | 50.9%468 W · 451 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed No | 45c | 53.33$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.33 | 236 | 53%125 W · 111 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x155e…c2b5backed Yes | 54c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 45c | 42$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.1 | 1,033 | 46.1%476 W · 557 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed No | 71c | 40.56$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.76 | 134 | 67.9%91 W · 43 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xced7…b7b5backed No | 46c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.7 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 27c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.85 | 380 | 47.4%180 W · 200 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed No | 44c | 39.8$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.3 | 555 | 45.8%254 W · 301 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 46c | 38.99$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.13 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3443…64e9backed No | 72c | 37$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.36 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 76cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed No | 49c | 33.31$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.99 | 97 | 53.6%52 W · 45 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Yes | 75c | 32$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.91 | 78 | 55.1%43 W · 35 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 54c | 31.74$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.04 | 116 | 50.9%59 W · 57 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c70…edf3backed Yes | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked No | 47c | 22.93$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.08 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked No | 55c | 21.13$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.58 | 389 | 52.7%205 W · 184 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked No | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 239 | 50.2%120 W · 119 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 61c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 359 | 44.8%161 W · 198 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd93…56c0backed No | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 116 | 74.1%86 W · 30 L | +18.9wins | +0.16per pick | 58cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x2568…ef92backed Yes | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 108 | 63.9%69 W · 39 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 74c | 17.32$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 2,167 | 37.6%815 W · 1,352 L | +5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will PFK Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad win on 2026-07-30?this page
- Will MH Hapoel Tel Aviv win on 2026-07-30?No won
- Will PFK Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad vs. MH Hapoel Tel Aviv end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.