South American Leagues · resolved market
Club León FC vs. CF Pachuca: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf792dcb9840d01c41a274e6db3784c84be75c884ee12e8e4a0e5908e02cedc3c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,456
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,914
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,456 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 62c | 4,839$3,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,012.42 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 34c | 4,264$1,448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,816.32 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 36c | 2,907$1,041 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,866.38 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over | 65c | 1,443$934 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$934.46 | 752 | 40.8%307 W · 445 L | -17.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked Over | 50c | 733.01$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.76 | 194 | 47.9%93 W · 101 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdeda…8e35backed Under | 54c | 581.66$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.54 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.6wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0464…67dabacked Under | 27c | 434.33$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.06 | 138 | 56.5%78 W · 60 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb70d…5925backed Over | 77c | 296.49$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.18 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 73c | 271.3$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.05 | 723 | 50.5%365 W · 358 L | -24.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2476…7eeebacked Over | 75c | 266.55$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 51 | 64.7%33 W · 18 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 70cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 40c | 263.93$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.96 | 256 | 35.9%92 W · 164 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d1c…3347backed Over | 29c | 231.02$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.75 | 215 | 38.1%82 W · 133 L | +9.9wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61d4…3593backed Over | 23c | 228.42$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.59 | 290 | 37.9%110 W · 180 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e7…4697backed Under | 45c | 222.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.56 | 106 | 48.1%51 W · 55 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 65c | 213.2$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.1 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Under | 35c | 203.36$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.92 | 331 | 52.6%174 W · 157 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed Under | 48c | 203.33$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.81 | 352 | 40.3%142 W · 210 L | -28.0wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf22b…8f84backed Under | 22c | 176.05$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.32 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Over | 47c | 168.19$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.05 | 221 | 45.7%101 W · 120 L | +10.2wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Under | 61c | 161.27$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.2 | 519 | 45.7%237 W · 282 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Over | 73c | 155.66$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.63 | 292 | 45.2%132 W · 160 L | -24.0wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 32c | 153.99$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.31 | 1,038 | 49.4%513 W · 525 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 74c | 148.99$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 769 | 51.5%396 W · 373 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 76c | 116.25$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.35 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 33c | 113.22$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.71 | 896 | 45.4%407 W · 489 L | -23.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 41c | 106.83$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.06 | 951 | 55.8%531 W · 420 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Under | 41c | 106.82$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.05 | 601 | 56.2%338 W · 263 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd147…ecbdbacked Over | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 186 | 31.2%58 W · 128 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Under | 39c | 95.89$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.71 | 464 | 49.6%230 W · 234 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Under | 67c | 89.65$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.82 | 352 | 46.9%165 W · 187 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked Under | 40c | 84.82$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.55 | 184 | 46.2%85 W · 99 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81e4…f356backed Under | 55c | 78.45$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.3 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 45c | 76.87$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.59 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x005b…3c81backed Over | 68c | 69.99$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.6 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Under | 45c | 69.05$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.86 | 506 | 56.3%285 W · 221 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Under | 67c | 61$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.96 | 485 | 47.6%231 W · 254 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Under | 39c | 60.63$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.87 | 694 | 53.5%371 W · 323 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9d6…730abacked Over | 57c | 59.65$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf79d…0289backed Over | 74c | 57.91$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 74 | 67.6%50 W · 24 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 70cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Over | 75c | 51$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.25 | 720 | 58.8%423 W · 297 L | +29.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66bf…07e8backed Over | 57c | 50.81$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.86 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +3.5wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x41f6…bc0dbacked Over | 48c | 49.61$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 46c | 44.53$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.45 | 517 | 50.7%262 W · 255 L | +28.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Under | 31c | 43.89$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.16 | 97 | 40.2%39 W · 58 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Under | 64c | 42.77$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.21 | 506 | 43.9%222 W · 284 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55a3…fd93backed Under | 25c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 32c | 36.65$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.92 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e08…19cabacked Over | 74c | 33.78$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x733c…521bbacked Under | 39c | 30.05$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.48 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +3.9wins | +0.14per pick | 45cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Under | 36c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 190 | 50.5%96 W · 94 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Under | 78c | 29$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.35 | 350 | 46.3%162 W · 188 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…965abacked Over | 55c | 28.57$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.58 | 90 | 26.7%24 W · 66 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked Under | 62c | 28.25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 49 | 65.3%32 W · 17 L | +4.2wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 77c | 24.54$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.87 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Over | 66c | 24.25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 675 | 48%324 W · 351 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under | 68c | 22.51$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 184 | 26.1%48 W · 136 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf504…0111backed Under | 77c | 21.93$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.13 | 61 | 68.9%42 W · 19 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfeef…4b1fbacked Over | 75c | 20.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.31 | 264 | 65.9%174 W · 90 L | +13.6wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e1…b1aebacked Over | 66c | 19.71$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.09 | 49 | 71.4%35 W · 14 L | +7.7wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +26%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc1…eebebacked Over | 65c | 16.38$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.65 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6209…6767backed Over | 75c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -2.4wins | -0.41per pick | 74cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1c6d…e91cbacked Over | 73c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.95 | 41 | 73.2%30 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 69cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb9…c170backed Over | 80c | 12.52$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.02 | 60 | 78.3%47 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 80cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Club León FC vs. CF Pachuca: O/U 1.5this page
- Club León FC vs. CF Pachuca: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Club León FC vs. CF Pachuca: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Club León FC vs. CF Pachuca: CF Pachuca O/U 2.5Under won
- Club León FC vs. CF Pachuca: O/U 0.5Over won
- Club León FC vs. CF Pachuca: O/U 2.5Under won
- Club León FC vs. CF Pachuca: O/U 3.5Under won
- Club León FC vs. CF Pachuca: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: CF Pachuca (-1.5)Club León FC won
- Spread: Club León FC (-1.5)CF Pachuca won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.