TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Club León FC vs. CF Pachuca: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$124,428
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$130,150

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $124,428 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 103 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x04d5…66d8backed Under49c43,882$21,502 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,379.775650%28 W · 28 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x162c…6c47backed Over50c20,347$10,098 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,097.618763.2%55 W · 32 L+9.0wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+21%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under50c9,059$4,537 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,521.431,29042.8%552 W · 738 L-2.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a66…ae5ebacked Over51c6,000$3,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0604047.5%19 W · 21 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over35c5,372$1,905 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,905.375240.8%307 W · 445 L-17.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1aa2…30ccbacked Over51c5,000$2,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5507556%42 W · 33 L+3.9wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+11%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked Under50c4,752$2,376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,376.1219952.8%105 W · 94 L+11.9wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+17.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe6ee…b3aabacked Under55c4,307$2,363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,944.567950.6%40 W · 39 L-0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4c9…617dbacked Over51c4,000$2,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0401656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+13.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd9dd…b525backed Under52c3,990$2,093 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,896.595851.7%30 W · 28 L+5.6wins+0.10per pick42cpaid+7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over50c3,763$1,889 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,889.051,94451.3%998 W · 946 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f15…bdb3backed Over51c3,674$1,873 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,873.512755.1%70 W · 57 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa1f3…d99cbacked Over51c3,125$1,593 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,593.55850%29 W · 29 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Under49c3,000$1,470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,53031643%136 W · 180 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under69c2,767$1,902 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$864.752,28134.3%782 W · 1,499 L-30.5wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-16.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Under49c2,695$1,323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,372.6634747.6%165 W · 182 L+17.7wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+13.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Over51c2,500$1,267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,266.671,28253.7%689 W · 593 L+5.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd871…6bbabacked Over42c2,419$1,023 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,02312940.3%52 W · 77 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid+2.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over23c2,313$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$529.525,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under51c2,253$1,146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,107.611,30250.2%653 W · 649 L-13.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa804…2a75backed Over50c2,160$1,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0806553.8%35 W · 30 L+5.3wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+32.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Over51c2,038$1,033 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,032.571,23153.9%663 W · 568 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over51c1,868$944 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$944.031,35549.7%674 W · 681 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Over51c1,868$944 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$944.031,65150.6%836 W · 815 L-4.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over51c1,868$952 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$951.852,33551.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L+2.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over46c1,866$864 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$864.353,74938.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L-33.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over45c1,791$797 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$796.988,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over51c1,778$907 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$906.978756.3%49 W · 38 L+7.7wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+21%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb8ef…2864backed Over49c1,155$563 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$562.7315045.3%68 W · 82 L+7.0wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+20.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe337…4ad6backed Over47c1,101$517 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$517.4919155.5%106 W · 85 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-2.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x168c…f24bbacked Under59c911.86$538 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$373.865457.4%31 W · 23 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-3.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x191f…4a8dbacked Over36c722.54$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.0619447.9%93 W · 101 L+0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad0b…a514backed Over49c708$347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$346.924346.5%20 W · 23 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe2d…da35backed Over50c500$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.893050%15 W · 15 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2eed…85a9backed Over51c485$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.35250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb07…e2ccbacked Under49c400$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2046243.5%27 W · 35 L-5.8wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-18.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xac1a…813ebacked Over50c380.13$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.54333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-47.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6bf…8380backed Over50c363.16$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.582441.7%10 W · 14 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Over51c310.4$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.6531039.7%123 W · 187 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d1c…3347backed Over4c250$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1021538.1%82 W · 133 L+9.9wins+0.05per pick34cpaid+4.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x19d8…965abacked Over10c242.68$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259026.7%24 W · 66 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick23cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xda6f…1e46backed Over45c222.22$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005056%28 W · 22 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Over51c203.53$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.866837.1%248 W · 420 L+0.8wins0.00per pick37cpaid+4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd147…ecbdbacked Over10c200$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2018631.2%58 W · 128 L-0.5wins0.00per pick31cpaid-10.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6407…d360backed Over51c196.07$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010146.5%47 W · 54 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x789c…0d10backed Over49c191.9$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.155250.2%277 W · 275 L+1.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b6e…f544backed Over44c170.43$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.9964633.1%214 W · 432 L-24.8wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-19.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked Under50c159$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.519630.6%60 W · 136 L-0.9wins0.00per pick31cpaid+11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d67…3667backed Over46c147.05$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.3746449.6%230 W · 234 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-12.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1230…c70bbacked Under49c139.92$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.364362.8%27 W · 16 L+2.5wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+12.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3555…208ebacked Over51c137.25$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$707463.5%47 W · 27 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84d4…77a9backed Over46c136.43$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.833152.6%174 W · 157 L+8.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf9d6…730abacked Over45c111.11$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick57cpaid-6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Under49c100$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5142462.3%264 W · 160 L+24.4wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+10.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2bb8…7017backed Over51c94.34$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.114858.3%28 W · 20 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdf15…a1febacked Over51c94.34$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.119860.2%59 W · 39 L+4.6wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3443…64e9backed Under76c84.62$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.982382.6%19 W · 4 L+2.4wins+0.11per pick72cpaid+17.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over35c76.69$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.81,25356.2%704 W · 549 L+73.3wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe84f…b777backed Over46c76.57$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.8469453.5%371 W · 323 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Under50c73.38$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.6927855.4%154 W · 124 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x149d…0ecfbacked Over52c70.67$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.751442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-17%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbbdd…bd60backed Under49c67.34$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.347741.6%32 W · 45 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9028…8608backed Under67c67.02$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.9960156.2%338 W · 263 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Under67c67.01$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.9895155.8%531 W · 420 L+31.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9714…5152backed Over50c61.5$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.752751.9%14 W · 13 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Over45c60$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.172058.8%423 W · 297 L+29.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb4bf…60f8backed Over48c57.78$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.6750656.3%285 W · 221 L+9.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0009…5497backed Under76c56.28$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.519740.2%39 W · 58 L-4.5wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x55e7…4fb9backed Under49c53$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.036541.5%27 W · 38 L-9.0wins-0.14per pick55cpaid-24.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x5f03…8a0dbacked Under49c50.99$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.012962.1%18 W · 11 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Over50c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2578756.4%444 W · 343 L+23.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd819…2d80backed Under50c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2514563.4%92 W · 53 L+5.9wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over51c46$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.462,17043.7%948 W · 1,222 L-53.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Over41c44.25$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.1267548%324 W · 351 L-18.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Over51c44$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.552,61154.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L+25.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a8d…7688backed Under50c42.7$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.35944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-17.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under58c40.69$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.9825635.9%92 W · 164 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-23.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b44…6e8dbacked Under51c39.22$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.224862.5%30 W · 18 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+11%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed Under51c38.29$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.9434155.1%188 W · 153 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe904…44e9backed Over51c36.37$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.5518247.8%87 W · 95 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x056b…5a03backed Over51c33.6$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.133256.3%18 W · 14 L+4.4wins+0.14per pick42cpaid+29.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x657c…66a3backed Under49c33$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.832365.2%15 W · 8 L+1.8wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+15.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Under67c33$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.7889645.4%407 W · 489 L-23.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-19.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x91e7…6716backed Under48c30.04$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.626065%39 W · 21 L+5.4wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+22.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa6db…3155backed Over50c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.123253%123 W · 109 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+16.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2568…ef92backed Over50c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.096762.7%42 W · 25 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick62cpaid+6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x97d4…7b65backed Over51c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.3450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+11.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d10…780bbacked Over51c29.41$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151442.9%6 W · 8 L-2.0wins-0.14per pick57cpaid-23%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked Over51c27.45$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1427549.1%135 W · 140 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x557a…9b21backed Over52c26.54$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.8616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.30per pick47cpaid-68.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc353…30a8backed Over49c26.24$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.869936.4%36 W · 63 L-4.0wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-6.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed Over51c25.49$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1327349.5%135 W · 138 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7dae…7199backed Over42c24.15$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.149350.5%47 W · 46 L-4.6wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-5.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Under66c24$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.1619150.3%96 W · 95 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba2c…fddabacked Over50c24$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.9210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a0e…cdedbacked Over51c22.8$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.581947.4%9 W · 10 L-2.3wins-0.12per pick59cpaid-14.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x29d4…5d18backed Under72c22.52$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.2415364.1%98 W · 55 L+14.4wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+18.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x360a…1098backed Under49c22$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.221770.6%12 W · 5 L+2.5wins+0.15per pick56cpaid+31.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under71c20.56$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61,03849.4%513 W · 525 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf30a…61fbbacked Under51c20.26$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.9318446.2%85 W · 99 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-17.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.