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Tennis · resolved market

Santiago: Santiago Rodriguez Taverna vs Henrique Rocha

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Henrique Rochaof Santiago Rodriguez Taverna, Henrique Rocha
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$99,712

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $99,712 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4ffe…9f71backed Santiago Rodriguez Taverna0c8,160$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.472,3317.9%183 W · 2,148 L-56.9wins-0.02per pick10cpaid-60.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Santiago Rodriguez Taverna17c7,865$1,312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,312.212,74630.8%846 W · 1,900 L-67.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ffb…e82abacked Santiago Rodriguez Taverna7c6,160$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$450.0144038.4%169 W · 271 L-27.2wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-29%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9db1…d726backed Santiago Rodriguez Taverna17c5,378$898 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$898.1711832.2%38 W · 80 L+5.3wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+17.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Santiago Rodriguez Taverna17c2,849$474 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$473.92,86544.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L+6.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa1a9…e22ebacked Santiago Rodriguez Taverna22c2,643$576 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$575.731,28439.2%503 W · 781 L-12.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6aee…fad4backed Santiago Rodriguez Taverna14c2,529$355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$355.3824557.6%141 W · 104 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa349…81ecbacked Santiago Rodriguez Taverna16c2,166$341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$341.062030%6 W · 14 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-17.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0336…4bb0backed Henrique Rocha78c2,040$1,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$440.044753.2%25 W · 22 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Santiago Rodriguez Taverna16c1,513$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.298,24145.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L+166.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed Santiago Rodriguez Taverna20c1,276$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25072132%231 W · 490 L-17.8wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-19.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f13…daaebacked Santiago Rodriguez Taverna16c1,254$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.0924634.1%84 W · 162 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x713b…ee60backed Santiago Rodriguez Taverna24c1,067$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.085628.6%16 W · 40 L-4.4wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-29.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Santiago Rodriguez Taverna19c1,058$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.113,88435%1,358 W · 2,526 L+92.8wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1064…f153backed Santiago Rodriguez Taverna19c999.99$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1901827.8%5 W · 13 L-2.7wins-0.15per pick43cpaid-46.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x903f…de5fbacked Santiago Rodriguez Taverna19c867$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.9916830.4%51 W · 117 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Santiago Rodriguez Taverna22c819.18$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.841,80943.8%793 W · 1,016 L-2.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4fab…708bbacked Santiago Rodriguez Taverna13c724.11$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.21,27630.4%388 W · 888 L-11.5wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x44b6…98b4backed Santiago Rodriguez Taverna5c714.61$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.5618548.6%90 W · 95 L-7.2wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-3.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6f19…b9ffbacked Santiago Rodriguez Taverna19c405$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.9514540.7%59 W · 86 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x400d…e759backed Henrique Rocha79c399.99$316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8460856.6%344 W · 264 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cff…3984backed Henrique Rocha76c394.74$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.7418858%109 W · 79 L+8.4wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+12.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x05e0…e2cbbacked Henrique Rocha76c394.74$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.744332.6%14 W · 29 L-8.8wins-0.21per pick53cpaid-42.4%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x8df8…59ddbacked Henrique Rocha79c379.75$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.7524438.9%95 W · 149 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-13.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6be…b977backed Santiago Rodriguez Taverna18c374.4$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.791,76843.2%764 W · 1,004 L+2.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f41…5c9fbacked Santiago Rodriguez Taverna20c300$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6015848.7%77 W · 81 L+7.1wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5baf…3e56backed Santiago Rodriguez Taverna19c284.01$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5365840.9%269 W · 389 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e38…1b52backed Santiago Rodriguez Taverna19c240$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.7961924.4%151 W · 468 L-8.2wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-14.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3969…6e2cbacked Santiago Rodriguez Taverna16c224.76$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.65944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x70ac…0c7dbacked Santiago Rodriguez Taverna17c222.12$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.182,53753.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L+61.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xda4f…77e9backed Santiago Rodriguez Taverna19c210.47$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.833231.3%10 W · 22 L-2.7wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-42.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x866a…de80backed Santiago Rodriguez Taverna13c205.54$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2713113.7%18 W · 113 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick17cpaid-28.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Santiago Rodriguez Taverna15c203.65$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.496,65250.7%3,373 W · 3,279 L+263.6wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Santiago Rodriguez Taverna21c156.83$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.764,28840.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L-139.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfbb5…2b6abacked Santiago Rodriguez Taverna14c144.86$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2028724.4%70 W · 217 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick26cpaid-22%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd4ac…5e19backed Santiago Rodriguez Taverna16c131.88$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2121957.1%125 W · 94 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeb76…7ffebacked Henrique Rocha76c131$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.4497644.6%435 W · 541 L-2.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Santiago Rodriguez Taverna18c131$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.671,26529.2%370 W · 895 L-13.3wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Santiago Rodriguez Taverna18c122$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.1497046.6%452 W · 518 L-8.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-17.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb69…c3e5backed Henrique Rocha80c120$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241,07655.5%597 W · 479 L+8.5wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Santiago Rodriguez Taverna17c115.9$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.363,27013.8%450 W · 2,820 L-549.1wins-0.17per pick31cpaid-57.4%equal weight31-0.17 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Santiago Rodriguez Taverna18c112$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.673745.2%333 W · 404 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x94bb…77eebacked Santiago Rodriguez Taverna18c111.11$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2081933.1%271 W · 548 L-30.1wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-21.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x14b7…a035backed Santiago Rodriguez Taverna18c111.11$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2023554.5%128 W · 107 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2097…8b03backed Santiago Rodriguez Taverna16c100$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162321.7%5 W · 18 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick24cpaid-16%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed Santiago Rodriguez Taverna24c99.96$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.991,83253%971 W · 861 L-45.6wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Santiago Rodriguez Taverna19c95.09$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.721,44438%548 W · 896 L-46.0wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Santiago Rodriguez Taverna16c91$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.567,75347.8%3,703 W · 4,050 L+39.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe324…9189backed Henrique Rocha79c88.61$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.6120664.1%132 W · 74 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdfba…9398backed Henrique Rocha79c80.07$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.81333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-57.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Santiago Rodriguez Taverna24c77.54$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.481,24533.9%422 W · 823 L-5.6wins0.00per pick34cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51ec…a7b9backed Santiago Rodriguez Taverna16c69.99$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.210822.2%24 W · 84 L+6.1wins+0.06per pick17cpaid+22.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcd35…5b98backed Henrique Rocha77c67.97$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.97366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick69cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb8f6…4f7fbacked Santiago Rodriguez Taverna18c65.74$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.6634648.3%167 W · 179 L-6.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4bf2…d280backed Henrique Rocha79c63.42$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.3265949.3%325 W · 334 L+8.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c16…4b37backed Henrique Rocha78c51.04$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.233852.6%20 W · 18 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb0f…b652backed Henrique Rocha50c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.15927.1%16 W · 43 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-34%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc74d…9690backed Henrique Rocha51c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.729039.3%114 W · 176 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Henrique Rocha78c27$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.917,18349.7%3,568 W · 3,615 L+112.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfc8f…3782backed Henrique Rocha76c20.66$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.9631434.4%108 W · 206 L-25.2wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-32.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5ca6…3841backed Henrique Rocha76c20.39$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.897441.9%31 W · 43 L-4.9wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-21.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Henrique Rocha76c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.86,84048.8%3,341 W · 3,499 L+58.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3ae1…92f2backed Henrique Rocha68c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.53100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+46.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc5ea…42e8backed Henrique Rocha79c18$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.7890459.5%538 W · 366 L+0.9wins0.00per pick59cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfacd…d470backed Henrique Rocha80c15$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$321072.4%152 W · 58 L+0.8wins0.00per pick72cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ef1…5acabacked Henrique Rocha76c15$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.61,79460.2%1,080 W · 714 L+6.8wins0.00per pick60cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.