Tennis · resolved market
Antalya 3: Polina Kudermetova vs Guiomar Maristany
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd04222135b966a53eb8c964b2f35eb90a296b880b13e3117a2d9f4b34dce6cbe
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Polina Kudermetovaof Polina Kudermetova, Guiomar Maristany
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $58,091
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $58,091 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6aee…fad4backed Polina Kudermetova | 78c | 10,198$8,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,198.11 | 245 | 57.6%141 W · 104 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Guiomar Maristany | 21c | 5,326$1,094 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,093.66 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Guiomar Maristany | 23c | 1,915$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.15 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4173…d3edbacked Guiomar Maristany | 30c | 1,672$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 556 | 46.4%258 W · 298 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabb9…6da4backed Polina Kudermetova | 74c | 1,630$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.57 | 33 | 75.8%25 W · 8 L | +3.1wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Polina Kudermetova | 76c | 1,629$1,239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.38 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cfb…0628backed Guiomar Maristany | 33c | 1,606$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528 | 302 | 41.7%126 W · 176 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6aad…20aebacked Polina Kudermetova | 62c | 1,294$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.45 | 524 | 60.9%319 W · 205 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Guiomar Maristany | 44c | 1,038$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.71 | 1,161 | 37.6%437 W · 724 L | -27.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Guiomar Maristany | 21c | 944.43$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.33 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf74d…9930backed Polina Kudermetova | 58c | 770.55$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.55 | 261 | 58.2%152 W · 109 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd6…5f62backed Guiomar Maristany | 38c | 758.44$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.58 | 454 | 57.9%263 W · 191 L | -14.2wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Guiomar Maristany | 41c | 637.49$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.81 | 1,265 | 29.2%370 W · 895 L | -13.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Guiomar Maristany | 28c | 632.09$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.09 | 1,923 | 55.4%1,066 W · 857 L | -44.9wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3a…d09bbacked Polina Kudermetova | 78c | 613.27$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.27 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b66…336abacked Polina Kudermetova | 56c | 535.71$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.71 | 268 | 53.7%144 W · 124 L | +18.6wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Polina Kudermetova | 68c | 487.3$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.64 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecfa…3c6fbacked Guiomar Maristany | 37c | 453.45$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.24 | 469 | 32%150 W · 319 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Guiomar Maristany | 41c | 340.25$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.36 | 254 | 33.5%85 W · 169 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…b906backed Guiomar Maristany | 37c | 300$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 1,026 | 46.8%480 W · 546 L | +14.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08c1…7fbebacked Polina Kudermetova | 67c | 295$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.4 | 282 | 47.9%135 W · 147 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Polina Kudermetova | 62c | 218.68$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.65 | 305 | 42.6%130 W · 175 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Guiomar Maristany | 39c | 217.77$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.93 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Guiomar Maristany | 37c | 200$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6236…6881backed Polina Kudermetova | 56c | 180$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.2 | 161 | 46.6%75 W · 86 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f95…b08bbacked Polina Kudermetova | 59c | 161.73$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.31 | 110 | 45.5%50 W · 60 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Polina Kudermetova | 71c | 155.35$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.65 | 381 | 47%179 W · 202 L | +9.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Guiomar Maristany | 39c | 149.67$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.37 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Guiomar Maristany | 35c | 143.38$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.56 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d0…39f3backed Polina Kudermetova | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +13%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Polina Kudermetova | 68c | 104$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.17 | 970 | 46.6%452 W · 518 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Polina Kudermetova | 57c | 100.61$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.82 | 1,809 | 43.8%793 W · 1,016 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Polina Kudermetova | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.5 | 1,831 | 53%971 W · 860 L | -45.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Guiomar Maristany | 41c | 97.56$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2,418 | 51.7%1,249 W · 1,169 L | +10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Guiomar Maristany | 32c | 96.21$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.59 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Guiomar Maristany | 23c | 94.42$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.85 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef5c…26f2backed Guiomar Maristany | 31c | 80.65$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +3.3wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Polina Kudermetova | 71c | 78.39$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.81 | 572 | 52.3%299 W · 273 L | +17.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Polina Kudermetova | 64c | 70$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.43 | 1,008 | 46%464 W · 544 L | -19.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Guiomar Maristany | 30c | 67.94$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.05 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x3578…f163backed Polina Kudermetova | 62c | 64.52$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.52 | 398 | 72.4%288 W · 110 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Guiomar Maristany | 44c | 61.96$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.26 | 602 | 40.5%244 W · 358 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Polina Kudermetova | 74c | 53.3$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.89 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…13c0backed Guiomar Maristany | 39c | 53.23$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.76 | 55 | 70.9%39 W · 16 L | +6.6wins | +0.12per pick | 59cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Guiomar Maristany | 43c | 49.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 1,212 | 33.1%401 W · 811 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa528…2499backed Polina Kudermetova | 77c | 49.73$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.44 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f3…999fbacked Guiomar Maristany | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 957 | 42.1%403 W · 554 L | -24.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Polina Kudermetova | 56c | 47$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.68 | 990 | 44.8%444 W · 546 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27cb…66e6backed Polina Kudermetova | 58c | 43.46$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.7wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x28a3…c711backed Guiomar Maristany | 43c | 42.83$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.57 | 31 | 22.6%7 W · 24 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Polina Kudermetova | 58c | 38.6$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.15 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf7d…5655backed Guiomar Maristany | 29c | 35.8$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89cd…57a4backed Polina Kudermetova | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -4.9wins | -0.12per pick | 61cpaid | -15%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0642…8c68backed Polina Kudermetova | 57c | 35$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 643 | 58.8%378 W · 265 L | +13.4wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Polina Kudermetova | 57c | 34.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.86 | 1,444 | 38%548 W · 896 L | -46.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Guiomar Maristany | 38c | 34$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.92 | 968 | 44.4%430 W · 538 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x277c…e529backed Guiomar Maristany | 42c | 23.81$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b9…948abacked Polina Kudermetova | 70c | 18.53$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.56 | 423 | 58.6%248 W · 175 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…d603backed Polina Kudermetova | 67c | 14.93$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.93 | 324 | 50.9%165 W · 159 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18b6…988dbacked Polina Kudermetova | 74c | 14.86$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.86 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 72cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.