Tennis · resolved market
Hersonissos: Harry Wendelken vs Toby Samuel
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3a9ccc24de56f38df42370aa1cacc246da11c52d096a0ec794e0fa79207cdddf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Toby Samuelof Harry Wendelken, Toby Samuel
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $54,907
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $54,907 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Harry Wendelken | 12c | 3,295$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 1,130 | 27.9%315 W · 815 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b96…b053backed Toby Samuel | 72c | 2,517$1,811 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$705.17 | 225 | 53.8%121 W · 104 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Toby Samuel | 76c | 2,147$1,637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.47 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Harry Wendelken | 17c | 2,068$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.48 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a4d…71c6backed Harry Wendelken | 10c | 1,581$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 78 | 59%46 W · 32 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6de0…f7f1backed Toby Samuel | 71c | 1,454$1,039 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.25 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x336b…695abacked Toby Samuel | 75c | 1,193$895 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.2 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Harry Wendelken | 28c | 1,051$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.25 | 289 | 33.2%96 W · 193 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a0…92dfbacked Harry Wendelken | 31c | 648.3$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 296 | 37.5%111 W · 185 L | -15.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda22…6d2abacked Harry Wendelken | 31c | 648.07$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 353 | 44.8%158 W · 195 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Toby Samuel | 64c | 641.89$411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.08 | 813 | 49.1%399 W · 414 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Harry Wendelken | 29c | 628.8$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.35 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Harry Wendelken | 28c | 627.61$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.46 | 430 | 42.8%184 W · 246 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd2b…4090backed Toby Samuel | 72c | 602.83$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.29 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc8…f45bbacked Harry Wendelken | 17c | 438.51$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.3 | 283 | 22.3%63 W · 220 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabb9…6da4backed Toby Samuel | 71c | 419.96$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.96 | 33 | 75.8%25 W · 8 L | +3.1wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…bf4bbacked Toby Samuel | 74c | 408.09$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.09 | 632 | 47.6%301 W · 331 L | -15.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Harry Wendelken | 28c | 363.38$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.63 | 1,809 | 43.8%793 W · 1,016 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Harry Wendelken | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,768 | 43.2%764 W · 1,004 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x093a…1b3fbacked Toby Samuel | 71c | 349.5$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.5 | 275 | 66.5%183 W · 92 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Toby Samuel | 72c | 346.97$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.97 | 316 | 43%136 W · 180 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Harry Wendelken | 5c | 336$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 255 | 0.8%2 W · 253 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9086…4d46backed Harry Wendelken | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,841 | 48.5%892 W · 949 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Harry Wendelken | 29c | 300$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 1,882 | 35.5%669 W · 1,213 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Harry Wendelken | 28c | 290.67$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.04 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc470…c792backed Harry Wendelken | 15c | 261.78$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1,504 | 35.1%528 W · 976 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb691…b39dbacked Harry Wendelken | 35c | 239.43$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.65 | 439 | 51.9%228 W · 211 L | +17.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb31…7b95backed Harry Wendelken | 30c | 230$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 680 | 26.2%178 W · 502 L | -24.5wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58f4…764ebacked Toby Samuel | 76c | 221.89$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.82 | 287 | 26.8%77 W · 210 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x796c…49dbbacked Toby Samuel | 80c | 200.69$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.14 | 84 | 48.8%41 W · 43 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84c7…bea7backed Harry Wendelken | 26c | 192.3$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 664 | 52.3%347 W · 317 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe496…4d8bbacked Harry Wendelken | 29c | 184.67$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.56 | 182 | 33.5%61 W · 121 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6153…75b6backed Harry Wendelken | 6c | 176.67$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2818…04a2backed Toby Samuel | 71c | 169.01$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.01 | 84 | 65.5%55 W · 29 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Harry Wendelken | 30c | 156.25$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.64 | 1,265 | 29.2%370 W · 895 L | -13.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9694…b7adbacked Toby Samuel | 70c | 142.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.85 | 2,058 | 59.5%1,225 W · 833 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9548…1226backed Toby Samuel | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 78 | 75.6%59 W · 19 L | +8.5wins | +0.11per pick | 65cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdb69…c3e5backed Toby Samuel | 69c | 139.99$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.4 | 1,076 | 55.5%597 W · 479 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa56d…3053backed Harry Wendelken | 12c | 139.37$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.61 | 217 | 65.9%143 W · 74 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf479…c8d4backed Toby Samuel | 74c | 131.24$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 28 | 78.6%22 W · 6 L | +2.9wins | +0.10per pick | 68cpaid | +15%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c7e…be0cbacked Toby Samuel | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc2d…8668backed Harry Wendelken | 31c | 129.52$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Harry Wendelken | 30c | 127.78$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.71 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd88a…1eefbacked Harry Wendelken | 29c | 121$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.72 | 544 | 34.2%186 W · 358 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7f…e826backed Toby Samuel | 55c | 110.91$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.91 | 693 | 50.5%350 W · 343 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Toby Samuel | 78c | 110.29$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.3 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Toby Samuel | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.85 | 779 | 67.8%528 W · 251 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Harry Wendelken | 40c | 96.4$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.97 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd866…55e0backed Harry Wendelken | 20c | 78.19$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 384 | 60.4%232 W · 152 L | +29.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…fb49backed Harry Wendelken | 28c | 72.66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.08 | 66 | 34.8%23 W · 43 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31dd…7159backed Harry Wendelken | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 903 | 40.2%363 W · 540 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53c5…cb95backed Harry Wendelken | 34c | 53.6$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.22 | 242 | 44.6%108 W · 134 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Harry Wendelken | 30c | 52.46$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.69 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd9…a643backed Toby Samuel | 65c | 50.56$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.7 | 175 | 52.6%92 W · 83 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Toby Samuel | 70c | 49.99$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 1,831 | 53%971 W · 860 L | -45.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Toby Samuel | 71c | 49.84$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.6 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Harry Wendelken | 29c | 49.84$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.45 | 1,245 | 33.9%422 W · 823 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Harry Wendelken | 26c | 47.48$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe16…d380backed Toby Samuel | 72c | 45.83$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.83 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Harry Wendelken | 28c | 43$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.04 | 968 | 44.4%430 W · 538 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e6a…d38abacked Harry Wendelken | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x537a…7447backed Toby Samuel | 51c | 39.12$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.12 | 303 | 51.8%157 W · 146 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Harry Wendelken | 49c | 35$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.25 | 1,258 | 50%629 W · 629 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5db0…73f1backed Harry Wendelken | 29c | 34.22$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 165 | 58.8%97 W · 68 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x989a…afbcbacked Harry Wendelken | 31c | 34.18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 145 | 41.4%60 W · 85 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cff…83c4backed Toby Samuel | 70c | 28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 276 | 64.1%177 W · 99 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbcc…edc9backed Toby Samuel | 72c | 27.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.64 | 172 | 62.8%108 W · 64 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Harry Wendelken | 49c | 23.87$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3457…0161backed Toby Samuel | 73c | 23.18$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.18 | 51 | 62.7%32 W · 19 L | +5.2wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7c0e…8177backed Toby Samuel | 72c | 20.83$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.83 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ee…8067backed Toby Samuel | 71c | 20.42$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.92 | 499 | 55.1%275 W · 224 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6982…5831backed Toby Samuel | 71c | 15.53$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Toby Samuel | 72c | 14$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.92 | 1,794 | 60.2%1,080 W · 714 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Hersonissos: Harry Wendelken vs Toby Samuelthis page
- Harry Wendelken vs. Toby Samuel: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
- Set 1 Winner: Wendelken vs SamuelSamuel won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.