CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Chinggis Warriors vs TYLOO (BO3) - Asia Championships Closed Qualifier Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8fd4e11dec7c5e137aab9613720a6d62f0785683a081d4ae6e9b59e813ea3b7f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- TYLOOof Chinggis Warriors, TYLOO
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,097
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,097 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Chinggis Warriors | 1c | 3,847$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.79 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Chinggis Warriors | 18c | 2,446$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.28 | 424 | 40.3%171 W · 253 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18bb…e5cdbacked Chinggis Warriors | 20c | 2,173$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.48 | 307 | 26.4%81 W · 226 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Chinggis Warriors | 17c | 1,403$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.51 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Chinggis Warriors | 20c | 1,260$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.61 | 249 | 39.8%99 W · 150 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Chinggis Warriors | 17c | 1,053$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.05 | 1,411 | 33.7%475 W · 936 L | +42.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed TYLOO | 78c | 1,053$825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.37 | 854 | 46.4%396 W · 458 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d58…9a15backed Chinggis Warriors | 13c | 937.75$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.67 | 144 | 41.7%60 W · 84 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Chinggis Warriors | 20c | 888.88$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.78 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Chinggis Warriors | 20c | 864.33$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.71 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Chinggis Warriors | 24c | 759.99$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.3 | 534 | 44.9%240 W · 294 L | +11.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f12…3e35backed TYLOO | 76c | 732.77$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.79 | 316 | 42.1%133 W · 183 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Chinggis Warriors | 21c | 728.24$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.44 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c64…89babacked TYLOO | 79c | 720.31$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 345 | 42.3%146 W · 199 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf13…ed3dbacked Chinggis Warriors | 4c | 575$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 86 | 33.7%29 W · 57 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f54…c5e4backed Chinggis Warriors | 11c | 507.81$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Chinggis Warriors | 21c | 434.62$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.48 | 456 | 39.3%179 W · 277 L | -29.2wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Chinggis Warriors | 3c | 433.45$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.42 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Chinggis Warriors | 21c | 300$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 540 | 32.4%175 W · 365 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked Chinggis Warriors | 19c | 299.99$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 498 | 49.6%247 W · 251 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b17…cb13backed TYLOO | 80c | 262.5$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0122…f1aabacked TYLOO | 79c | 251.75$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.87 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.15per pick | 64cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba0d…9a6ebacked TYLOO | 77c | 240$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.86 | 68 | 58.8%40 W · 28 L | +6.3wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc4de…0da4backed TYLOO | 80c | 198.5$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.7 | 339 | 60.8%206 W · 133 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1de6…7b51backed TYLOO | 78c | 171.28$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.58 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -27%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Chinggis Warriors | 12c | 145.37$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.03 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecaa…a779backed TYLOO | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +4.5wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7a91…4e55backed TYLOO | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Chinggis Warriors | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 1,262 | 46.9%592 W · 670 L | -34.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked Chinggis Warriors | 21c | 99.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 700 | 38.9%272 W · 428 L | -29.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf139…390abacked Chinggis Warriors | 21c | 96.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb452…d901backed Chinggis Warriors | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Chinggis Warriors | 21c | 74.08$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x0e53…5c9dbacked TYLOO | 80c | 72.9$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.68 | 79 | 67.1%53 W · 26 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfccb…249ebacked Chinggis Warriors | 21c | 72.62$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69fa…e259backed Chinggis Warriors | 24c | 65.37$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.7 | 609 | 54%329 W · 280 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Chinggis Warriors | 22c | 65.28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.12 | 459 | 56.9%261 W · 198 L | +20.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Chinggis Warriors | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 246 | 33.3%82 W · 164 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5ec…681ebacked TYLOO | 80c | 34.95$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.99 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ba…1349backed TYLOO | 80c | 34.7$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.94 | 32 | 81.3%26 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 76cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe93f…6769backed TYLOO | 80c | 31.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.25 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x218e…e49dbacked TYLOO | 79c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 354 | 54.2%192 W · 162 L | -20.1wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed TYLOO | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 799 | 51.7%413 W · 386 L | +25.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26f7…3ea6backed TYLOO | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.9wins | +0.19per pick | 54cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf6…b779backed TYLOO | 76c | 19.32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.64 | 57 | 36.8%21 W · 36 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed TYLOO | 80c | 19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.8 | 739 | 48.4%358 W · 381 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Chinggis Warriors vs TYLOO (BO3) - Asia Championships Closed Qualifier Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: Chinggis Warriors vs TYLOO - Map 2 WinnerTYLOO won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.