TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Millwall FC win on 2026-04-03?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$322,484
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$337,828

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $322,484 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 104 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7d29…c9eebacked No1c31,132$319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$318.925060%30 W · 20 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+5.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xaa0f…574cbacked No1c30,826$355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$354.795147.1%24 W · 27 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-24.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7770…f99bbacked No0c20,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201758.8%10 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick53cpaid-6.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xef5c…6ababacked No1c15,608$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.992642.3%11 W · 15 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-23.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No45c14,002$6,287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,286.594,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc55a…7281backed No0c10,001$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.98666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.28per pick39cpaid+18.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xadb9…ef55backed No5c6,867$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$317.744254.8%23 W · 19 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5db5…1a50backed Yes8c6,484$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,983.696230.6%19 W · 43 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick32cpaid+18.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked No23c5,906$1,387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,387.4841344.8%185 W · 228 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed No9c5,360$504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504.1923556.2%132 W · 103 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed No5c5,071$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.779752.6%51 W · 46 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed No5c5,066$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.3816757.5%96 W · 71 L+7.1wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed No4c5,032$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.9816753.3%89 W · 78 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked No2c4,904$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.6511055.5%61 W · 49 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed No2c4,901$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.3728859.7%172 W · 116 L+19.6wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+13%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe6a3…04bebacked No2c4,901$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.3710861.1%66 W · 42 L+5.1wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+6.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0198…37e6backed No1c4,851$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.792060%12 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x26dd…0249backed No1c4,841$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.2710547.6%50 W · 55 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x06e7…3acabacked No1c4,820$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.7911164%71 W · 40 L+7.4wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+15.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xef88…29a3backed Yes10c2,962$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,663.013275%24 W · 8 L+7.4wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+71.6%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x8a22…2929backed No1c2,941$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.44922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick29cpaid-39.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes18c2,808$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,307.822,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No14c2,538$343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$343.4953344.8%239 W · 294 L-13.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No56c2,475$1,377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,377.291,40944.5%627 W · 782 L-6.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9902…34b3backed No11c2,271$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.519113.2%12 W · 79 L-9.5wins-0.10per pick24cpaid-44.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes19c2,027$376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,650.92,55047.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed Yes21c2,010$422 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,587.953134.5%183 W · 348 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a15…52d6backed No11c1,648$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.289857.1%56 W · 42 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-12.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7333…ca16backed No1c1,365$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.65303.3%1 W · 29 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick8cpaid-93.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7409…65a6backed Yes12c1,210$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,059.5510579%83 W · 22 L+22.7wins+0.22per pick57cpaid+54.1%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes35c1,146$396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$750.036,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xbf2d…8452backed Yes18c1,118$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$918.035933.9%20 W · 39 L-4.3wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-12.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes17c1,014$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$842.2928824.7%71 W · 217 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf9c…3648backed Yes13c855.73$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$745.192955.2%16 W · 13 L+2.4wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+30.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7705…a442backed Yes20c702.03$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$561.6219632.7%64 W · 132 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+10.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x30db…44e1backed Yes14c693.02$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$593.29058.9%53 W · 37 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes14c667.78$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$573.941,66234.9%580 W · 1,082 L-32.0wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked No80c632.87$506 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506.131,20450.7%610 W · 594 L+1.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Yes20c625$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50032037.2%119 W · 201 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1dfe…d2d0backed Yes9c518.23$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$473.441723.5%4 W · 13 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick27cpaid+31.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Yes20c500$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40023632.2%76 W · 160 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed Yes13c491$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$426.1915030.7%46 W · 104 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-22.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8577…199abacked Yes47c408.65$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.6211100%11 W · 0 L+5.0wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+127.8%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed Yes19c349.17$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.8340953.3%218 W · 191 L+11.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf829…5ee1backed Yes20c327.63$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.632321.7%5 W · 18 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick19cpaid+15.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Yes17c295.86$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.8625225%63 W · 189 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-23.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed No80c261.98$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.5875850%379 W · 379 L+20.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x04eb…f50dbacked No80c240$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1924645.7%21 W · 25 L-3.8wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-13.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed No17c240$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$424744.7%21 W · 26 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-11.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf4d3…c4f6backed Yes19c230$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.3333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick18cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No80c220.23$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.0169851.1%357 W · 341 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4192…d6aabacked No79c210$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.92450%12 W · 12 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa46d…d8e5backed No79c210$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.92055%11 W · 9 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+14.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x539a…e49abacked Yes21c205.81$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.34540%2 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick32cpaid+35.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes70c204.68$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.741,27250.4%641 W · 631 L-53.9wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1ec4…defabacked Yes20c200$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1607746.8%36 W · 41 L+4.3wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+19.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8549…41f8backed Yes20c200$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16027227.9%76 W · 196 L-1.2wins0.00per pick28cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes5c200$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19054340.5%220 W · 323 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeab4…3d2dbacked Yes5c200$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190450%2 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.37per pick13cpaid+495.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x57a6…44edbacked Yes16c191.81$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.123363.6%21 W · 12 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+26.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3e9f…5403backed No53c191.36$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.523458.8%20 W · 14 L+2.7wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+27.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x783f…8f90backed Yes20c188.49$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.18250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick25cpaid+146%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd810…2eb8backed No79c185$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.155068%34 W · 16 L+8.2wins+0.16per pick52cpaid+36.5%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x1bd5…a3ccbacked Yes21c175.76$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.47534.7%26 W · 49 L+4.8wins+0.06per pick28cpaid+26%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3a6f…0c8bbacked Yes20c170$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136580%4 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.37per pick43cpaid+95.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No60c156.29$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.3957150.4%288 W · 283 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes18c146.34$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12033124.2%80 W · 251 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf30a…61fbbacked No64c145.95$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.955349.1%26 W · 27 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-19%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4488…579cbacked Yes66c143.98$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.643865.8%25 W · 13 L+4.3wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+14.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6826…d188backed No11c136.34$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.1740%0 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe33d…9512backed Yes37c130.44$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.974637%17 W · 29 L0.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4155…fa41backed Yes51c128.83$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.463482.4%28 W · 6 L+7.1wins+0.21per pick61cpaid+44%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xce27…8a7dbacked Yes20c125$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1003129%9 W · 22 L0.0wins0.00per pick29cpaid-18.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f6d…3070backed Yes9c121.13$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.073537.1%13 W · 22 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+24.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf133…4811backed Yes19c113$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.969331.2%29 W · 64 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick30cpaid+13.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1aab…773bbacked Yes17c105$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.15825%2 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick18cpaid+12.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9f5…0688backed Yes19c103.99$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.235642.9%24 W · 32 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x42df…bb2fbacked Yes14c100$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.13716.2%6 W · 31 L-3.8wins-0.10per pick27cpaid-31.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No80c94.57$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.5380953.6%434 W · 375 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3d12…cc43backed Yes15c93.96$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.963033.3%10 W · 20 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-5.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed Yes15c90.83$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.9436462.9%229 W · 135 L+32.1wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+33.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Yes20c90$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.620956%117 W · 92 L+15.9wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+24.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x05f8…d87fbacked Yes50c87.1$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.551181.8%9 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.16per pick66cpaid+20.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2488…ff0ebacked No16c81.31$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.01955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.15per pick40cpaid+17%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No21c77.45$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.3777336.4%281 W · 492 L-10.3wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No79c75.74$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.141,00751.5%519 W · 488 L+4.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x92b5…2defbacked No15c70.43$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.6813542.2%57 W · 78 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+9.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6be…b977backed Yes19c65.17$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.7912139.7%48 W · 73 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes18c61.41$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.5784549%414 W · 431 L-9.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed No17c60.36$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.243241.9%181 W · 251 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-16.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x912c…f468backed No69c59.3$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.081241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-20%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6404…2a20backed No69c59.3$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.082941.4%12 W · 17 L-2.5wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-22.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Yes31c59.12$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.971,26433.7%426 W · 838 L+13.1wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9bd9…084fbacked Yes45c56.3$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.8910054%54 W · 46 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc49d…91a8backed No72c56$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.241233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.4wins-0.20per pick54cpaid-46.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed No36c52.74$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.0640821.8%89 W · 319 L-53.7wins-0.13per pick35cpaid-49.3%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0x3452…6010backed Yes20c50$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$401050%5 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+37.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8943…6c65backed Yes61c43.78$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.913672.2%26 W · 10 L+4.3wins+0.12per pick60cpaid+21.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdf66…066dbacked Yes79c26.58$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.58862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick66cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea58…b635backed Yes53c26$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.333680.6%29 W · 7 L+5.0wins+0.14per pick67cpaid+18.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.