TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Middlesbrough FC vs. Millwall FC end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$119,593
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$119,722

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $119,593 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 139 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2005…75eabacked No60c11,974$7,138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,836.064,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ad3…fb0fbacked Yes65c9,538$6,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,200.430%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5db5…1a50backed Yes18c5,684$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0006230.6%19 W · 43 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick32cpaid+18.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9902…34b3backed Yes19c4,330$817 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$817.269113.2%12 W · 79 L-9.5wins-0.10per pick24cpaid-44.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x46e6…d4cdbacked Yes72c4,000$2,865 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,865.381471.4%10 W · 4 L+3.2wins+0.23per pick49cpaid+126.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No36c3,234$1,158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,076.142,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc7fa…f6dfbacked Yes10c2,262$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.611735.3%6 W · 11 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-22.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6006…13afbacked Yes25c2,026$506 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506.43825%2 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-51.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed Yes34c1,623$547 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$547.215030.7%46 W · 104 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-22.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed No39c1,619$627 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$992.5726548.3%128 W · 137 L+7.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Yes16c1,410$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.623632.2%76 W · 160 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a22…2929backed Yes3c1,273$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.97922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick29cpaid-39.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc55a…7281backed Yes1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.28per pick39cpaid+18.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbf9c…3648backed Yes17c894.24$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.222955.2%16 W · 13 L+2.4wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+30.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes14c880.33$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.6441344.8%185 W · 228 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x141d…7ea0backed Yes15c847.35$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.120%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb881…20a1backed Yes12c833.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006547.7%31 W · 34 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe35b…d8d0backed Yes25c831.85$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.681637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No78c706.84$552 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.176,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes40c668.95$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266.211,40944.5%627 W · 782 L-6.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Yes29c644.25$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.1740821.8%89 W · 319 L-53.7wins-0.13per pick35cpaid-49.3%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Yes55c582.97$322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321.8745142.6%192 W · 259 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4cf4…ed22backed Yes19c500$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.24per pick41cpaid-78.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes43c497.33$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.672,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0b71…4e79backed Yes42c476.19$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004734%16 W · 31 L-0.2wins0.00per pick34cpaid+4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes51c455.91$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.4853344.8%239 W · 294 L-13.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x30db…44e1backed Yes26c447.37$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.549058.9%53 W · 37 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed No58c433.74$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.6436462.9%229 W · 135 L+32.1wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+33.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7479…e171backed No75c411.16$309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.49246.7%43 W · 49 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x40f6…7bd7backed Yes25c400$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001931.6%6 W · 13 L-3.0wins-0.16per pick47cpaid-48.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1c86…15c0backed No44c394.46$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.926344.9%118 W · 145 L-10.9wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No59c378.98$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.6876842.6%327 W · 441 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x57a6…44edbacked No60c378.05$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.223363.6%21 W · 12 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+26.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1dfe…d2d0backed Yes17c335.55$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.781723.5%4 W · 13 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick27cpaid+31.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef5c…6ababacked Yes13c325.43$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.992642.3%11 W · 15 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-23.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Yes12c312.1$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3625225%63 W · 189 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-23.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a15…52d6backed No61c300.79$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.319857.1%56 W · 42 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-12.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4283…fbd4backed Yes54c300$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.24146.3%19 W · 22 L-6.0wins-0.15per pick61cpaid-25.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xd523…032dbacked Yes53c283.22$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick31cpaid+100.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x02fd…c162backed Yes61c278.49$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.08633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.31per pick64cpaid-52.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No57c246$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.7896645.4%439 W · 527 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Yes21c233.24$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.9151516.1%83 W · 432 L-49.9wins-0.10per pick26cpaid-38.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x8549…41f8backed Yes20c221.94$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.3227227.9%76 W · 196 L-1.2wins0.00per pick28cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0866…a1d5backed No48c213.33$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.939156%51 W · 40 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick52cpaid0%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaa29…9ce5backed Yes25c202.6$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.991338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid+20.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc85f…15f8backed Yes57c200$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11411557.4%66 W · 49 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9579…44d4backed Yes25c200$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-52.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf4d3…c4f6backed Yes11c190$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.9333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick18cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No75c186.12$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.031,27250.4%641 W · 631 L-53.9wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7d29…c9eebacked No63c182.48$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.245060%30 W · 20 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+5.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes31c180.05$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.211,66234.9%580 W · 1,082 L-32.0wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe33d…9512backed Yes27c178.88$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.094637%17 W · 29 L0.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes18c165.08$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3054340.5%220 W · 323 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3334…69b0backed Yes22c152.05$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.45650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-16.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0b41…764cbacked Yes65c145.89$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.731520%3 W · 12 L-4.8wins-0.32per pick52cpaid-54.7%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xc9b7…93ebbacked No71c133.96$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.264562.2%28 W · 17 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick57cpaid-2.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5465…ba43backed No77c129.94$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.9410971.6%78 W · 31 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick69cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No75c129.79$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.4584549%414 W · 431 L-9.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4512…5d41backed Yes25c129.52$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.387524%18 W · 57 L-6.5wins-0.09per pick33cpaid-26.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x77b5…9170backed No80c124.57$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.0418459.2%109 W · 75 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd208…cbcdbacked Yes50c124.18$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.483262.5%20 W · 12 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick60cpaid-5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8584…6b7dbacked No60c121.3$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.172871.4%20 W · 8 L+2.1wins+0.08per pick64cpaid+6.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed No75c121.15$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.2926444.7%118 W · 146 L-11.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-2.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf69b…a6ddbacked Yes43c119.26$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.472751.9%14 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No75c114.79$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.769851.1%357 W · 341 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x46dc…92c3backed Yes16c109.88$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.581931.6%6 W · 13 L-2.8wins-0.15per pick46cpaid-44.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6c0c…62b3backed Yes11c101.73$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.1920%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4fc…e772backed No79c101.41$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.416253.2%33 W · 29 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaa0f…574cbacked Yes24c100.57$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.485147.1%24 W · 27 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-24.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x47a5…6834backed Yes65c98.46$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64520%1 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.15per pick35cpaid-58.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No79c90.93$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.551,00751.5%519 W · 488 L+4.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfce1…4f4cbacked Yes52c86.51$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.165457.4%31 W · 23 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e10…78f7backed No76c83.12$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.611070%7 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick63cpaid+8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xadb9…ef55backed Yes24c82.91$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.684254.8%23 W · 19 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Yes48c81.87$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.469752.6%51 W · 46 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5ce5…af2ebacked Yes16c81.38$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.021266.7%8 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Yes49c80.82$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.323556.2%132 W · 103 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Yes49c80.82$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.316757.5%96 W · 71 L+7.1wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked Yes49c80.82$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.311055.5%61 W · 49 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1b8f…f31bbacked Yes41c76.58$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.171850%9 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21d5…e458backed Yes16c76.41$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.22333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick55cpaid-53.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked Yes43c73.6$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.596946.4%32 W · 37 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-21.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x04a4…7d4bbacked No60c71.67$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.723100%3 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+227.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8900…a444backed Yes52c71.59$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.553056.7%17 W · 13 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed No72c62.65$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.3632345.2%146 W · 177 L-1.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf421…2e3abacked Yes41c61.36$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x539a…e49abacked Yes24c61.33$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15540%2 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick32cpaid+35.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b80…8b39backed Yes25c60$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151250%6 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+42.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x56e9…9f69backed Yes42c57.14$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-54.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4488…579cbacked No76c56$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.443865.8%25 W · 13 L+4.3wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+14.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe29c…a31dbacked No40c54.98$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.996346%29 W · 34 L+5.5wins+0.09per pick37cpaid+30.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcb71…288ebacked No56c53.57$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.571471.4%10 W · 4 L+2.5wins+0.18per pick53cpaid+23.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb1cc…1958backed No67c53.09$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.392871.4%20 W · 8 L+3.0wins+0.11per pick61cpaid+19.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xef2c…227dbacked Yes57c52.72$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302347.8%11 W · 12 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+59.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e6d…2671backed Yes72c50.67$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.2711251.8%58 W · 54 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x50e9…5efebacked Yes42c50$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2127846.4%129 W · 149 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf30a…61fbbacked Yes44c49.74$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.855349.1%26 W · 27 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-19%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes51c49.49$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.4196443.7%421 W · 543 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51f0…186cbacked Yes24c45.83$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113119.4%6 W · 25 L-2.8wins-0.09per pick28cpaid-33.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3e9f…5403backed No65c43.29$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.293458.8%20 W · 14 L+2.7wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+27.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.