Bundesliga · resolved market
Will SC Freiburg vs. 1. FC Union Berlin end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x88f239745dfa8c16f4b63391b195bdb3671b65d3625eff382db18fe23936b710
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $298,389
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $298,389 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 134 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x72b4…7d67backed No | 74c | 49,385$36,376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,008.55 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -4.7wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 26c | 45,233$11,940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,940.41 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 26c | 32,381$8,543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,543.24 | 698 | 51.9%362 W · 336 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c1…9fe2backed No | 73c | 29,911$21,965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,945.34 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 48c | 28,515$13,749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,749.32 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac47…d234backed No | 74c | 19,965$14,774 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,190.9 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +27%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes | 26c | 16,781$4,406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,405.77 | 166 | 52.4%87 W · 79 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 61c | 13,331$8,091 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,239.9 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes | 26c | 10,421$2,710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,709.57 | 341 | 44.6%152 W · 189 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 49c | 9,104$4,494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,609.81 | 751 | 42.5%319 W · 432 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x702b…dedebacked Yes | 27c | 5,000$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,350 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +3.6wins | +0.17per pick | 26cpaid | +68.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Yes | 26c | 2,884$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749.84 | 72 | 54.2%39 W · 33 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Yes | 26c | 2,729$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$709.59 | 172 | 51.7%89 W · 83 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49ed…a2fbbacked Yes | 26c | 2,381$619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$618.93 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc699…7961backed Yes | 28c | 1,769$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Yes | 27c | 1,471$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.17 | 300 | 54%162 W · 138 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0df…8f41backed No | 69c | 1,442$994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.19 | 61 | 67.2%41 W · 20 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 38c | 1,095$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680.88 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Yes | 65c | 1,000$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -42%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked Yes | 14c | 999.99$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 104 | 45.2%47 W · 57 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecb5…c553backed Yes | 41c | 803$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Yes | 5c | 713.01$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.65 | 143 | 15.4%22 W · 121 L | -8.0wins | -0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed Yes | 26c | 700$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182 | 311 | 45%140 W · 171 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b93…e941backed No | 71c | 634.08$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.88 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Yes | 26c | 600$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62fb…b277backed Yes | 65c | 585$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74bb…1759backed Yes | 15c | 388.33$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.2 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 26cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc367…a0b4backed Yes | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 60 | 30%18 W · 42 L | -6.6wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Yes | 53c | 342.14$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.44 | 306 | 47.1%144 W · 162 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4c5…50cdbacked Yes | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 27c | 300$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 330 | 47.3%156 W · 174 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x005c…a987backed Yes | 27c | 300$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 113 | 54.9%62 W · 51 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Yes | 43c | 292.18$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.98 | 147 | 34.7%51 W · 96 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 27c | 255$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.85 | 569 | 51.8%295 W · 274 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Yes | 27c | 249.11$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.26 | 183 | 53%97 W · 86 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29b0…3f3cbacked Yes | 26c | 239.6$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.3 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 70c | 220.01$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 481 | 46.4%223 W · 258 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Yes | 27c | 212$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.24 | 109 | 43.1%47 W · 62 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 27c | 200$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 420 | 46.4%195 W · 225 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c8f…d581backed Yes | 27c | 200$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 73 | 38.4%28 W · 45 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Yes | 26c | 193.76$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.38 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Yes | 28c | 178.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 373 | 44.5%166 W · 207 L | -15.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 61c | 159.3$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.12 | 245 | 41.6%102 W · 143 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 57c | 159.02$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.1 | 398 | 57.5%229 W · 169 L | +20.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 26c | 158.22$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.14 | 550 | 58.7%323 W · 227 L | +23.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Yes | 44c | 155.82$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.56 | 70 | 50%35 W · 35 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2778…8547backed Yes | 27c | 151.91$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.67 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed Yes | 27c | 146.48$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.55 | 71 | 45.1%32 W · 39 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e72…54f0backed No | 35c | 142.86$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.86 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c17…525dbacked Yes | 71c | 141.48$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.16 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 48c | 141.08$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.63 | 536 | 45.9%246 W · 290 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef88…29a3backed No | 71c | 138.7$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.64 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c09…4418backed Yes | 26c | 120.11$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.23 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed Yes | 26c | 114.7$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.82 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e86…8a92backed No | 45c | 110$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +120.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4512…5d41backed Yes | 29c | 109.41$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.73 | 64 | 43.8%28 W · 36 L | +7.1wins | +0.11per pick | 33cpaid | +44.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 36c | 108.85$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.4 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc2d…8668backed Yes | 28c | 107.14$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b2c…5e10backed Yes | 29c | 103.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 112 | 50.9%57 W · 55 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Yes | 13c | 102$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.26 | 73 | 35.6%26 W · 47 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x011c…f943backed No | 29c | 100.69$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.49 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Yes | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 163 | 43.6%71 W · 92 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a2b…d4e9backed Yes | 65c | 100$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 388 | 45.6%177 W · 211 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc049…7cf6backed Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c4c…dc70backed Yes | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 40c | 98.5$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.59 | 817 | 32.8%268 W · 549 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 31c | 97.73$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.67 | 222 | 21.6%48 W · 174 L | -34.2wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x43d4…5834backed Yes | 51c | 97.53$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5df7…780dbacked Yes | 29c | 96.55$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +79.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc85e…5d37backed Yes | 49c | 91.1$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…d370backed Yes | 27c | 90.04$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x087f…2ebfbacked No | 54c | 86.25$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.68 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 72c | 76.25$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 624 | 52.6%328 W · 296 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Yes | 26c | 74.84$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.69 | 121 | 57.9%70 W · 51 L | +8.9wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 60c | 73.24$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.29 | 275 | 54.9%151 W · 124 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfa8…541dbacked Yes | 28c | 72.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…267abacked Yes | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56a7…9f37backed No | 74c | 66.86$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.38 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +3.8wins | +0.27per pick | 51cpaid | +49.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf2…7279backed Yes | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb691…b39dbacked Yes | 40c | 65.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.64 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8405…2163backed Yes | 29c | 65.52$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 181 | 40.3%73 W · 108 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefbb…d067backed Yes | 47c | 63.54$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd3…bd7fbacked No | 74c | 63.52$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.52 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 75cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fb…74f3backed Yes | 32c | 63.34$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c89…526abacked Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a77…150dbacked Yes | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x106e…28e5backed No | 37c | 62.26$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.25 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.15per pick | 69cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa53d…b9edbacked Yes | 49c | 57.14$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 57cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5565…4b3bbacked Yes | 50c | 56.91$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.29 | 201 | 53.7%108 W · 93 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x843e…e477backed Yes | 27c | 56.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.27 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +2.5wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ece…2340backed Yes | 46c | 54.35$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd03…df4abacked Yes | 29c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | +3.9wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x56e6…45e9backed Yes | 29c | 48.43$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.04 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed Yes | 26c | 48$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 210 | 51.4%108 W · 102 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Yes | 26c | 47.96$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.47 | 258 | 50.4%130 W · 128 L | +6.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf026…8df7backed No | 44c | 46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.6 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 27c | 45$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.15 | 1,083 | 50.8%550 W · 533 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…ff77backed Yes | 29c | 44.3$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.73 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will SC Freiburg vs. 1. FC Union Berlin end in a draw?this page
- Will 1. FC Union Berlin win on 2026-03-15?Yes won
- Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-03-15?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.