Other European Leagues · resolved market
Gil Vicente FC vs. AVS Futebol: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x87eaf55257481fa9ad8c35619a3f7d6a5e858971bc549cf3f24cfca80c2925e3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,393
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,369
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,393 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 79 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe02…dababacked Under | 32c | 4,828$1,542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,542.03 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 52c | 2,296$1,193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,102.9 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2148…ae1dbacked Under | 48c | 1,666$799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.45 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 41c | 1,254$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510.85 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Under | 22c | 1,250$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.64 | 89 | 28.1%25 W · 64 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf658…655ebacked Under | 64c | 1,230$783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$782.53 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | -7.5wins | -0.10per pick | 61cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…154cbacked Over | 63c | 1,159$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.91 | 117 | 46.2%54 W · 63 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 39c | 852.46$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.89 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 64c | 808$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.18 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9902…34b3backed Under | 36c | 565.25$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.12 | 26 | 11.5%3 W · 23 L | -2.9wins | -0.11per pick | 23cpaid | -73.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6323…9feebacked Under | 48c | 559.83$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.72 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.33per pick | 47cpaid | +70.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1dfe…d2d0backed Under | 9c | 530.1$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.09 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef88…29a3backed Over | 41c | 470$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.3 | 23 | 87%20 W · 3 L | +5.6wins | +0.24per pick | 63cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6394…9749backed Over | 49c | 395.81$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.93 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +6.0wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +38%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3622…083dbacked Over | 55c | 390.97$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.94 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe56…593abacked Over | 16c | 370.78$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.45 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88ff…5102backed Over | 51c | 342.56$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.86 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -3.4wins | -0.16per pick | 35cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 66c | 326.53$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.02 | 316 | 61.7%195 W · 121 L | +11.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…4806backed Over | 63c | 232.81$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.14 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Under | 44c | 203.66$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.87 | 167 | 56.3%94 W · 73 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1650…42f6backed Under | 24c | 202.07$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.17 | 119 | 41.2%49 W · 70 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 45c | 195.74$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.86 | 1,098 | 50.5%554 W · 544 L | -36.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5c4…9a90backed Over | 49c | 193.88$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe761…8a64backed Under | 49c | 185.33$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.81 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Over | 55c | 175.09$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.56 | 212 | 54.7%116 W · 96 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x134c…eeefbacked Over | 51c | 171.28$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.93 | 63 | 42.9%27 W · 36 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60c7…de4bbacked Over | 64c | 170.32$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 48c | 140.02$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.17 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0f…574cbacked Over | 59c | 137.07$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.68 | 28 | 89.3%25 W · 3 L | +6.7wins | +0.24per pick | 65cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 47c | 130.86$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.5 | 1,107 | 47.7%528 W · 579 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…49f8backed Over | 53c | 128.35$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.32 | 266 | 53.4%142 W · 124 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1792…118abacked Over | 59c | 126.8$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.79 | 192 | 65.1%125 W · 67 L | +13.8wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe689…b81abacked Under | 49c | 118.7$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d29…c9eebacked Over | 56c | 114.53$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.14 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.13per pick | 61cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Under | 43c | 114.27$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.4 | 260 | 60.8%158 W · 102 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…907ebacked Under | 9c | 113.89$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.44 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Over | 53c | 113.34$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.07 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…720fbacked Under | 51c | 104.05$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.06 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.33per pick | 58cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed Over | 52c | 103.09$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.48 | 79 | 57%45 W · 34 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1966…da9ebacked Over | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 109 | 44%48 W · 61 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3482…fa0ebacked Over | 35c | 100$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.42per pick | 38cpaid | +120.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x53eb…90ebbacked Under | 49c | 98.92$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.47 | 64 | 32.8%21 W · 43 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4c…9907backed Over | 71c | 94.62$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4fc…e772backed Under | 41c | 94.11$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.58 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed Under | 43c | 80.41$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.4 | 103 | 60.2%62 W · 41 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e3d…bd04backed Under | 41c | 76.56$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02fd…c162backed Over | 51c | 75.27$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a53…074abacked Over | 59c | 70.39$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.59 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf137…9341backed Under | 44c | 64.56$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.41 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 62cpaid | -57%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf69b…a6ddbacked Under | 48c | 62.36$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.95 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +3.6wins | +0.24per pick | 50cpaid | +56.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Over | 70c | 61.53$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 280 | 49.6%139 W · 141 L | -8.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 64c | 50.45$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.16 | 478 | 42.9%205 W · 273 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aad…4d6ebacked Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 103 | 45.6%47 W · 56 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72ee…a848backed Over | 65c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 167 | 50.9%85 W · 82 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf676…b039backed Over | 48c | 49.99$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.99 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -3.1wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9f28…d173backed Over | 70c | 44.95$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2fd…4df6backed Under | 50c | 43.48$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed Under | 51c | 38.06$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.41 | 113 | 54.9%62 W · 51 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Under | 51c | 38.06$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.41 | 111 | 55.9%62 W · 49 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0d…bea7backed Under | 38c | 38.01$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0095…42c1backed Over | 52c | 37.35$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.93 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f57…770ebacked Under | 49c | 36.36$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.64 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -3.8wins | -0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8943…6c65backed Under | 41c | 36.08$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.83 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -3.8wins | -0.17per pick | 58cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed Over | 52c | 35.99$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.37 | 132 | 58.3%77 W · 55 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9eae…98a5backed Over | 75c | 35$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.75 | 87 | 82.8%72 W · 15 L | +10.5wins | +0.12per pick | 71cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed Under | 48c | 33.37$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.02 | 89 | 55.1%49 W · 40 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6859…f7c2backed Over | 63c | 31.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.49 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc57…ce71backed Under | 49c | 29.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d54…81a1backed Over | 49c | 29.7$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.14 | 114 | 49.1%56 W · 58 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8900…a444backed Under | 49c | 26.12$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.92 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Over | 51c | 21.45$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.51 | 773 | 50.2%388 W · 385 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe777…c734backed Over | 60c | 20.64$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5470…7685backed Over | 58c | 20.28$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.52 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +50.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Over | 52c | 19.83$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.52 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…cbcdbacked Over | 57c | 19.72$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.47 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7479…e171backed Over | 55c | 19.62$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.91 | 67 | 43.3%29 W · 38 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadb9…ef55backed Under | 52c | 19.43$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6404…2a20backed Over | 65c | 17.59$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.23 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x912c…f468backed Over | 68c | 17.22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Gil Vicente FC vs. AVS Futebol: O/U 2.5this page
- Gil Vicente FC vs. AVS Futebol: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Gil Vicente FC vs. AVS Futebol: O/U 1.5Over won
- Gil Vicente FC vs. AVS Futebol: O/U 3.5Under won
- Gil Vicente FC vs. AVS Futebol: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: AVS Futebol (-1.5)Gil Vicente FC won
- Spread: AVS Futebol (-2.5)Gil Vicente FC won
- Spread: Gil Vicente FC (-1.5)Gil Vicente FC won
- Spread: Gil Vicente FC (-2.5)Gil Vicente FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.