Other European Leagues · resolved market
Gil Vicente FC vs. AVS Futebol: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6fbe0fc2c3e3bf75fc38dd59a5e20f4091c5b4c6e556d9f13eaf6c0cab7c2dad
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,482
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,603
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,482 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe02…dababacked Under | 46c | 1,264$582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$682.78 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 42c | 1,158$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.36 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d39…a4fbbacked Under | 48c | 699.78$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.89 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | -4.0wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xed26…6282backed Under | 75c | 395.05$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.9 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -2.6wins | -0.14per pick | 66cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…720fbacked Under | 75c | 287.62$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.03 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.33per pick | 58cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Over | 25c | 272.85$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.21 | 89 | 28.1%25 W · 64 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9902…34b3backed Over | 33c | 222.38$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.69 | 26 | 11.5%3 W · 23 L | -2.9wins | -0.11per pick | 23cpaid | -73.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x88ba…b99abacked Under | 46c | 210.49$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.73 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5c4…9a90backed Over | 50c | 195.77$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 57c | 195.73$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.02 | 1,098 | 50.5%554 W · 544 L | -36.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6598…5f36backed Under | 52c | 186.77$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.65 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +71.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Over | 35c | 170.49$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.59 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34e8…100fbacked Under | 66c | 168.79$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x95ef…ff92backed Over | 53c | 127.7$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.04 | 58 | 17.2%10 W · 48 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 52c | 111.91$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.43 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 28c | 92.63$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.94 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d54…81a1backed Over | 31c | 77.77$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.11 | 114 | 49.1%56 W · 58 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49ca…5944backed Under | 72c | 68.28$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.12 | 113 | 59.3%67 W · 46 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9e…4c57backed Over | 21c | 68.04$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.29 | 77 | 23.4%18 W · 59 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 26c | 62.48$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.25 | 478 | 42.9%205 W · 273 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe29c…a31dbacked Over | 34c | 60.76$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.44 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | +9.1wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f3…999fbacked Over | 29c | 57.44$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.66 | 182 | 41.8%76 W · 106 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf137…9341backed Under | 78c | 44.64$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.04 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 62cpaid | -57%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffea…5f0abacked Over | 32c | 43.26$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.82 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Under | 71c | 42.92$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.45 | 100 | 52%52 W · 48 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f02…12f5backed Under | 63c | 30.84$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.27 | 80 | 55%44 W · 36 L | +6.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf676…b039backed Over | 38c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -3.1wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7479…e171backed Over | 42c | 27.74$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.57 | 67 | 43.3%29 W · 38 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a8c…880abacked Under | 72c | 27.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.65 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.26per pick | 64cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd4c7…bb75backed Over | 55c | 23.94$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.16 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 62cpaid | +38%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadb9…ef55backed Under | 80c | 13.93$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.79 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x907b…ba6abacked Under | 77c | 13.3$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Gil Vicente FC vs. AVS Futebol: O/U 3.5this page
- Gil Vicente FC vs. AVS Futebol: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Gil Vicente FC vs. AVS Futebol: O/U 1.5Over won
- Gil Vicente FC vs. AVS Futebol: O/U 2.5Over won
- Gil Vicente FC vs. AVS Futebol: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: AVS Futebol (-1.5)Gil Vicente FC won
- Spread: AVS Futebol (-2.5)Gil Vicente FC won
- Spread: Gil Vicente FC (-1.5)Gil Vicente FC won
- Spread: Gil Vicente FC (-2.5)Gil Vicente FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.