Other European Leagues · resolved market
Gil Vicente FC vs. AVS Futebol: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfd2d698bc41d83afdc57de7558a1d5967f9311ec0096d9f0720afebf0fee95f3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,290
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,465
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,290 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 70c | 1,336$941 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.99 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 35c | 1,249$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.96 | 582 | 29.2%170 W · 412 L | -19.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 66c | 1,152$762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.79 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Yes | 22c | 1,091$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.35 | 89 | 28.1%25 W · 64 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Yes | 39c | 699.81$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.93 | 275 | 42.5%117 W · 158 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1e…7ee3backed No | 80c | 276.96$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.63 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8900…a444backed No | 64c | 228.93$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.42 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…49f8backed Yes | 46c | 147.24$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.73 | 266 | 53.4%142 W · 124 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9902…34b3backed Yes | 23c | 145.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.52 | 26 | 11.5%3 W · 23 L | -2.9wins | -0.11per pick | 23cpaid | -73.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 54c | 132.2$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.81 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc0…6872backed Yes | 45c | 105$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.25 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…eeb1backed Yes | 22c | 86.65$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.06 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -2.6wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed No | 72c | 85.68$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.22 | 103 | 60.2%62 W · 41 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed No | 57c | 61.53$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.46 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1dfe…d2d0backed Yes | 22c | 58.89$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.96 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Yes | 35c | 50.8$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.67 | 280 | 49.6%139 W · 141 L | -8.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4fc…e772backed No | 80c | 49.4$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.88 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf69b…a6ddbacked No | 71c | 46.71$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.55 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +3.6wins | +0.24per pick | 50cpaid | +56.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9f28…d173backed No | 66c | 41.76$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.09 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5470…7685backed No | 78c | 36.93$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.12 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +50.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked No | 56c | 34.77$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 258 | 59.7%154 W · 104 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88ff…5102backed Yes | 34c | 33.3$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.26 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -3.4wins | -0.16per pick | 35cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 44c | 30.71$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.51 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed No | 58c | 26.82$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.21 | 260 | 60.8%158 W · 102 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked No | 58c | 26.81$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.2 | 105 | 60%63 W · 42 L | +6.5wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed No | 56c | 25.09$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.04 | 145 | 60%87 W · 58 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked No | 56c | 25.09$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.04 | 151 | 57.6%87 W · 64 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed No | 56c | 25.09$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.04 | 209 | 53.1%111 W · 98 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x231f…254bbacked No | 56c | 25.09$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.04 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Gil Vicente FC vs. AVS Futebol: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Gil Vicente FC vs. AVS Futebol: O/U 1.5Over won
- Gil Vicente FC vs. AVS Futebol: O/U 2.5Over won
- Gil Vicente FC vs. AVS Futebol: O/U 3.5Under won
- Gil Vicente FC vs. AVS Futebol: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: AVS Futebol (-1.5)Gil Vicente FC won
- Spread: AVS Futebol (-2.5)Gil Vicente FC won
- Spread: Gil Vicente FC (-1.5)Gil Vicente FC won
- Spread: Gil Vicente FC (-2.5)Gil Vicente FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.