TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: GamerLegion vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Team Yandexof GamerLegion, Team Yandex
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$47,301

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,301 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9ae8…c2a8backed GamerLegion27c12,219$3,319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,318.8213045.4%59 W · 71 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed Team Yandex73c4,510$3,292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,217.7632854.9%180 W · 148 L+11.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcdf3…1bb5backed GamerLegion27c3,326$911 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$910.7228341%116 W · 167 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked Team Yandex72c3,000$2,145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8551,15547.8%552 W · 603 L+29.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-8.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x18bb…e5cdbacked GamerLegion28c2,912$805 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$804.7813020%26 W · 104 L-6.3wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-33.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Team Yandex72c2,040$1,466 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$573.61,82145%820 W · 1,001 L+33.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Team Yandex74c1,988$1,481 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$507.5786949%426 W · 443 L-3.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed GamerLegion27c1,829$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$490.3781029.4%238 W · 572 L-23.5wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbfeb…763ebacked Team Yandex73c1,753$1,280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$473.4211535.7%41 W · 74 L-6.7wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-24.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb4f9…32b1backed GamerLegion31c1,700$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$525.4431245.8%143 W · 169 L+10.2wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed Team Yandex72c1,569$1,130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$439.471,03647.2%489 W · 547 L+15.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-9.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x66fb…9f72backed Team Yandex72c1,382$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$382.3454556.5%308 W · 237 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf3ce…a57abacked Team Yandex73c1,308$958 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$350.131,20259.3%713 W · 489 L+64.6wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x567e…e8fbbacked Team Yandex72c1,303$938 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36518746.5%87 W · 100 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-9.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Team Yandex72c1,292$934 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$357.191,52137.9%576 W · 945 L-57.8wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-26.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x16ce…eba1backed GamerLegion4c1,201$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.526132.1%13 W · 600 L-23.4wins-0.04per pick6cpaid-76.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8929…733ebacked GamerLegion28c869.9$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2403528.6%10 W · 25 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-33.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xed8f…5aa7backed Team Yandex72c809.82$583 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.756650%33 W · 33 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc5a…bf71backed GamerLegion28c800.71$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22546649.8%232 W · 234 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-12.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe76d…5a75backed GamerLegion27c799.99$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2161,24844.4%554 W · 694 L+17.0wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x26ac…a735backed GamerLegion25c785.12$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004841.7%20 W · 28 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f3d…cfffbacked Team Yandex75c742.5$557 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.6236759.1%217 W · 150 L+5.8wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdca4…1c68backed GamerLegion28c703.03$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20064149.9%320 W · 321 L+1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86b1…c094backed GamerLegion14c633.33$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8865625.6%168 W · 488 L+14.7wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed GamerLegion27c601.71$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.912,82843.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L-39.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x64a8…7bc3backed GamerLegion24c524.11$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.114661%89 W · 57 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick59cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x95f0…67c9backed Team Yandex72c500$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1401233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.6wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-45.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xca1f…ed28backed Team Yandex72c500$359 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.7560552.6%318 W · 287 L+15.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc42e…0fd9backed GamerLegion27c500$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.25per pick53cpaid-58.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed GamerLegion9c499.99$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4513027.7%36 W · 94 L-9.3wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-35.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x006a…14edbacked Team Yandex70c488.76$343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.9611960.5%72 W · 47 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick58cpaid-1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xccf5…42f2backed Team Yandex74c445.01$331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.9257455.4%318 W · 256 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ab6…078ebacked Team Yandex72c438.89$316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.8911955.5%66 W · 53 L+10.3wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+20.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked GamerLegion26c420.67$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.160542.6%258 W · 347 L-14.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x26d6…56efbacked GamerLegion25c406.67$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.6756542.8%242 W · 323 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbaa5…a51abacked Team Yandex75c400$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10036654.1%198 W · 168 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd306…463dbacked Team Yandex75c399.01$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.0115461.7%95 W · 59 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick64cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x69bf…0c5dbacked Team Yandex72c321.99$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.1636547.7%174 W · 191 L-1.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x986a…f294backed GamerLegion27c320$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.41464.3%9 W · 5 L+2.7wins+0.19per pick45cpaid+35.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0eb7…cbf0backed Team Yandex72c320$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.6944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-20.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x82bf…de71backed Team Yandex72c318.7$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.754753.6%293 W · 254 L+22.9wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbb3…76a9backed Team Yandex68c305.44$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.7451751.3%265 W · 252 L+21.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe44c…f15cbacked Team Yandex73c275.73$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.452343.5%10 W · 13 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-21.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x72be…c534backed GamerLegion28c250$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7057735%202 W · 375 L-14.0wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ae1…c891backed Team Yandex75c240$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.433549.9%167 W · 168 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x61fa…7f62backed Team Yandex72c238.99$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.1446451.5%239 W · 225 L-12.1wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x24eb…75eebacked GamerLegion29c224.7$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.165251.9%27 W · 25 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd3f…44f1backed Team Yandex73c220.55$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.554450%22 W · 22 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb6c…d38ebacked Team Yandex73c212.25$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.312065%13 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick66cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed GamerLegion28c211.52$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.251,27245%572 W · 700 L-40.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-17.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x56fc…affbbacked GamerLegion29c187$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.6625547.8%122 W · 133 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-14.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x60e3…57b5backed GamerLegion29c174.51$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5034860.1%209 W · 139 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Team Yandex76c173.5$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.232,01244.2%889 W · 1,123 L+36.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb9db…3999backed GamerLegion31c163.55$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504151.2%21 W · 20 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+14.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8717…7bfbbacked Team Yandex75c162.24$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.56887.5%7 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.25per pick63cpaid+44.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2e7c…164dbacked Team Yandex72c160$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.88248.8%40 W · 42 L+3.9wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+5.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x02a4…6854backed Team Yandex72c149.98$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.591,79755.8%1,003 W · 794 L+37.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3ef4…cf3abacked Team Yandex74c135.28$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.28366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid-4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8dd1…5a9bbacked Team Yandex76c131.09$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.0920367%136 W · 67 L+14.8wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+11.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8b9d…9b0ebacked GamerLegion20c129.41$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2631126%81 W · 230 L-17.5wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-37.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0d27…bd5abacked Team Yandex78c128.46$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.4646872.2%338 W · 130 L+36.5wins+0.08per pick64cpaid+11.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed Team Yandex73c114.04$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.7956548%271 W · 294 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-12.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x755d…37e7backed Team Yandex79c111.75$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.756566.2%43 W · 22 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick65cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b05…b133backed Team Yandex73c109.59$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.5911254.5%61 W · 51 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+3.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe3f…0fcfbacked Team Yandex73c93.95$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.3786659.6%516 W · 350 L-8.6wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x07f9…1513backed Team Yandex71c86$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.9415147.7%72 W · 79 L+0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5dab…f602backed GamerLegion29c86$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.943228.1%9 W · 23 L-5.2wins-0.16per pick44cpaid-43.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x0c06…bbeebacked GamerLegion26c77.49$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.873330.3%10 W · 23 L-3.2wins-0.10per pick40cpaid-35.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2a09…daf2backed GamerLegion26c76.92$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201258.3%7 W · 5 L+2.2wins+0.19per pick40cpaid+49.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3ac2…e183backed Team Yandex73c68.49$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.4924955.4%138 W · 111 L-6.1wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x974f…cd80backed Team Yandex73c64.3$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.4655147.5%262 W · 289 L+22.3wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+4.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1b41…2c02backed GamerLegion26c58.76$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.0872637.5%272 W · 454 L+3.4wins0.00per pick37cpaid-4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed GamerLegion26c52.12$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.6618739%73 W · 114 L-9.5wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-18.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed Team Yandex67c50$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.51,57743.9%692 W · 885 L-10.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x72c2…5e74backed GamerLegion33c50$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.579343.6%346 W · 447 L+38.4wins+0.05per pick39cpaid-0.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x848d…9867backed Team Yandex70c50$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1592561.2%566 W · 359 L+53.8wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+3.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7c56…0615backed GamerLegion26c46.96$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126431.3%20 W · 44 L-5.9wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-25.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed GamerLegion29c46.61$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.571,03416.3%169 W · 865 L-158.1wins-0.15per pick32cpaid-51%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x9332…a3dbbacked Team Yandex71c42.16$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.1676048.6%369 W · 391 L+26.2wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc78a…ea34backed Team Yandex74c40$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.43161.3%19 W · 12 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick60cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc5b…f102backed Team Yandex73c38.36$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.3626958.7%158 W · 111 L-6.8wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfbb2…0b31backed GamerLegion28c38.16$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.698246.3%38 W · 44 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8979…9428backed Team Yandex72c34.72$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.728661.6%53 W · 33 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Team Yandex72c29.14$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.162,37847.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L+15.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2698…0958backed Team Yandex71c23.06$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.6913441.8%56 W · 78 L-6.9wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-17.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1608…eeb8backed Team Yandex74c22$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.722781.5%22 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick75cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7a7b…12d8backed Team Yandex70c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.951100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3123…b44dbacked Team Yandex72c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.612568%85 W · 40 L+12.7wins+0.10per pick58cpaid+13.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3be5…e313backed Team Yandex72c18.73$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.241100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fd8…1109backed Team Yandex71c15.79$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.581100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x94ed…2116backed Team Yandex72c15.27$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.281100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4835…9f28backed Team Yandex71c15.21$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.411100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x286f…5c80backed Team Yandex71c14.59$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.231100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8910…1f37backed Team Yandex71c14.4$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.181100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x83c8…3b6cbacked Team Yandex77c13.36$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.0291356.1%512 W · 401 L+16.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.