Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: GamerLegion vs Team Yandex (BO2) - ESL One Birmingham Group A
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9401de61b46f745a7f6f988a1d33b0f451b6b3fc1b317439a22a5db0b63db77d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Yandexof GamerLegion, Team Yandex
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,864
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,864 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 78 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x66fb…9f72backed Team Yandex | 72c | 4,164$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,164.3 | 545 | 56.5%308 W · 237 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99e4…e4c4backed Team Yandex | 69c | 3,267$2,254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,012.75 | 115 | 47%54 W · 61 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Team Yandex | 72c | 2,306$1,662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$644.11 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a8c…f872backed Team Yandex | 73c | 2,136$1,558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$577.98 | 81 | 64.2%52 W · 29 L | +7.0wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x67b6…00bcbacked GamerLegion | 28c | 2,000$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 98 | 39.8%39 W · 59 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked GamerLegion | 27c | 1,500$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405 | 399 | 36.8%147 W · 252 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed GamerLegion | 29c | 1,489$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.24 | 229 | 45.9%105 W · 124 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked GamerLegion | 29c | 1,464$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.37 | 605 | 42.6%258 W · 347 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d58…9a15backed GamerLegion | 36c | 1,379$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.61 | 148 | 40.5%60 W · 88 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed Team Yandex | 68c | 1,265$863 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.64 | 466 | 49.8%232 W · 234 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked GamerLegion | 29c | 1,121$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.82 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5132…020dbacked GamerLegion | 20c | 1,100$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.99 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -2.6wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1064…f153backed GamerLegion | 28c | 1,000$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda5f…2e9bbacked Team Yandex | 75c | 921.94$693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.5 | 115 | 57.4%66 W · 49 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked GamerLegion | 30c | 880.46$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.54 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecfa…3c6fbacked GamerLegion | 28c | 768.22$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.1 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16db…ac64backed GamerLegion | 13c | 422.71$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.95 | 84 | 39.3%33 W · 51 L | +6.0wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xae10…d0d9backed Team Yandex | 73c | 399.99$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109 | 173 | 53.2%92 W · 81 L | +8.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x65a0…2a86backed Team Yandex | 75c | 389.4$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 75cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc33…aa3ebacked Team Yandex | 75c | 333.47$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.47 | 75 | 60%45 W · 30 L | +9.1wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed GamerLegion | 31c | 320.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 187 | 39%73 W · 114 L | -9.5wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x209e…8bb4backed Team Yandex | 68c | 237.99$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.16 | 805 | 44.6%359 W · 446 L | -25.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed GamerLegion | 27c | 200$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 894 | 40.3%360 W · 534 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked GamerLegion | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 56 | 39.3%22 W · 34 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0d…c021backed GamerLegion | 28c | 200$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdf3…1bb5backed GamerLegion | 12c | 180.17$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.62 | 283 | 41%116 W · 167 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea49…434fbacked Team Yandex | 74c | 170.14$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 71 | 57.7%41 W · 30 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x675f…aa0bbacked GamerLegion | 15c | 170$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.55 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -24%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x75f3…0e78backed GamerLegion | 32c | 150$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 412 | 48.8%201 W · 211 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb2…0b31backed GamerLegion | 32c | 147.65$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.34 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed GamerLegion | 23c | 146.55$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.87 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6aa7…db93backed Team Yandex | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 32 | 75%24 W · 8 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb897…e44ebacked GamerLegion | 37c | 134.61$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed GamerLegion | 11c | 123.47$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.58 | 647 | 44.4%287 W · 360 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae9a…7ceabacked GamerLegion | 15c | 119.93$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.99 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd236…cafdbacked GamerLegion | 28c | 113$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0a…07fdbacked GamerLegion | 27c | 107.41$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 243 | 49%119 W · 124 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x586d…c5dcbacked Team Yandex | 72c | 104.17$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.17 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x639e…a9d4backed GamerLegion | 29c | 103.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.27per pick | 39cpaid | -81.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x81fc…f616backed Team Yandex | 74c | 100.14$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.34 | 27 | 74.1%20 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 71cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed GamerLegion | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 502 | 47.6%239 W · 263 L | +31.6wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed GamerLegion | 28c | 93.95$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.22 | 1,034 | 16.3%169 W · 865 L | -158.1wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9d…9b0ebacked GamerLegion | 28c | 89.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 311 | 26%81 W · 230 L | -17.5wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc2…7ed7backed GamerLegion | 32c | 78.13$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -4.3wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5dab…f602backed GamerLegion | 32c | 75$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -5.2wins | -0.16per pick | 44cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2a6c…0c81backed Team Yandex | 73c | 68.37$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa633…1cf7backed Team Yandex | 72c | 55.56$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.56 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x00f7…4476backed GamerLegion | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb020…92f3backed Team Yandex | 72c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 85 | 54.1%46 W · 39 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2045…c77cbacked Team Yandex | 72c | 48.61$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.61 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.26per pick | 57cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac06…f93dbacked GamerLegion | 22c | 48.22$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.44 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd11…79a5backed Team Yandex | 79c | 47.59$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.99 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x563c…0dbfbacked GamerLegion | 29c | 47$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.63 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Team Yandex | 72c | 43.06$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.06 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd752…7b4fbacked Team Yandex | 72c | 41.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.67 | 354 | 61.3%217 W · 137 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5050…892ebacked Team Yandex | 72c | 40.28$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.28 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.15per pick | 74cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0fe…1538backed Team Yandex | 72c | 40.15$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.24 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10ad…827cbacked GamerLegion | 29c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 311 | 43.4%135 W · 176 L | +7.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa6…03ebbacked GamerLegion | 26c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 200 | 46%92 W · 108 L | +13.2wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc869…bc8dbacked GamerLegion | 38c | 39.47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 374 | 41.2%154 W · 220 L | -17.2wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6d5…214ebacked Team Yandex | 72c | 36$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5579…b689backed Team Yandex | 72c | 34$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Team Yandex | 74c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 164 | 56.7%93 W · 71 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1cd…4fbcbacked Team Yandex | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f5…57e2backed Team Yandex | 72c | 28.94$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 508 | 55.5%282 W · 226 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf994…8f7ebacked Team Yandex | 72c | 28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 62cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x997b…641bbacked Team Yandex | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 98 | 53.1%52 W · 46 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd22b…58c3backed Team Yandex | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb28…02bbbacked Team Yandex | 59c | 26.83$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 93 | 52.7%49 W · 44 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe84…54ddbacked Team Yandex | 63c | 26.59$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.84 | 80 | 56.3%45 W · 35 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe92e…1e38backed Team Yandex | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x37d6…d8d8backed Team Yandex | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…eeb8backed Team Yandex | 74c | 22$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.72 | 27 | 81.5%22 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 75cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfe0…192abacked Team Yandex | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 71cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6312…f94ebacked Team Yandex | 78c | 19.23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.23 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x155b…d7babacked Team Yandex | 78c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.96 | 149 | 62.4%93 W · 56 L | +21.8wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xc63a…26a0backed Team Yandex | 74c | 15.41$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.01 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 59cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x02e3…b2c8backed Team Yandex | 72c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: GamerLegion vs Team Yandex (BO2) - ESL One Birmingham Group Athis page
- Dota 2: GamerLegion vs Team Yandex - Game 1 WinnerTeam Yandex won
- Dota 2: GamerLegion vs Team Yandex - Game 2 WinnerTeam Yandex won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.