Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: GamerLegion vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x896a2cfd38fc5844b62ff4f32e16ebf41e0d00dc5f8eec91ddc6622ba479010c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Yandexof GamerLegion, Team Yandex
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,336
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,336 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf988…d63bbacked GamerLegion | 23c | 3,203$737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$736.69 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -3.9wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x18bb…e5cdbacked GamerLegion | 26c | 3,000$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$779.99 | 130 | 20%26 W · 104 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66fb…9f72backed Team Yandex | 74c | 2,703$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$702.7 | 545 | 56.5%308 W · 237 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Team Yandex | 77c | 2,649$2,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$608.79 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…9d98backed Team Yandex | 73c | 2,317$1,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$616.81 | 201 | 56.7%114 W · 87 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdf3…1bb5backed GamerLegion | 27c | 2,004$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532.91 | 283 | 41%116 W · 167 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed GamerLegion | 27c | 1,850$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.5 | 810 | 29.4%238 W · 572 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Team Yandex | 74c | 1,256$929 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.56 | 568 | 52.5%298 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed GamerLegion | 8c | 906.14$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.8 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacf6…41fcbacked GamerLegion | 24c | 899.99$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 606 | 46.9%284 W · 322 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1b8…9d1fbacked GamerLegion | 25c | 683.24$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.98 | 167 | 25.7%43 W · 124 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…eba1backed GamerLegion | 3c | 650$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 613 | 2.1%13 W · 600 L | -23.4wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed GamerLegion | 19c | 573.76$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.19 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1311…d450backed Team Yandex | 76c | 570.44$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.91 | 211 | 46.9%99 W · 112 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7cf…a603backed Team Yandex | 72c | 519.96$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.59 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | -6.4wins | -0.10per pick | 59cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7627…4404backed GamerLegion | 8c | 384.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 148 | 32.4%48 W · 100 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x913c…39b3backed GamerLegion | 27c | 346.85$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.65 | 714 | 54.5%389 W · 325 L | +55.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa5…a51abacked Team Yandex | 73c | 341.8$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.8 | 366 | 54.1%198 W · 168 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed Team Yandex | 77c | 303.9$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.9 | 547 | 53.6%293 W · 254 L | +22.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x62f2…07f8backed Team Yandex | 71c | 246.38$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.4 | 142 | 53.5%76 W · 66 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72be…c534backed GamerLegion | 29c | 241.38$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 577 | 35%202 W · 375 L | -14.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6cc…72afbacked GamerLegion | 9c | 200$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 54 | 25.9%14 W · 40 L | -7.3wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8a96…3087backed Team Yandex | 73c | 195$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.65 | 138 | 50%69 W · 69 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed Team Yandex | 74c | 150$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.5 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe375…dadfbacked GamerLegion | 28c | 145.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 129 | 48.1%62 W · 67 L | -9.3wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed GamerLegion | 24c | 134.34$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.46 | 1,034 | 16.3%169 W · 865 L | -158.1wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x0d27…bd5abacked Team Yandex | 76c | 131.92$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.92 | 468 | 72.2%338 W · 130 L | +36.5wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6cc8…67f7backed Team Yandex | 77c | 130.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.38 | 191 | 62.8%120 W · 71 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked GamerLegion | 11c | 128$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.08 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62bd…3dfbbacked GamerLegion | 27c | 126.68$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.67 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3c1e…9514backed GamerLegion | 28c | 125.71$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 864 | 51.7%447 W · 417 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked GamerLegion | 11c | 108.16$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8849…9a83backed Team Yandex | 77c | 100.48$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 106 | 59.4%63 W · 43 L | +9.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked GamerLegion | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 702 | 36.6%257 W · 445 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f8…e913backed Team Yandex | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07f9…1513backed Team Yandex | 71c | 86$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.94 | 151 | 47.7%72 W · 79 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5dab…f602backed GamerLegion | 29c | 86$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.94 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -5.2wins | -0.16per pick | 44cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8057…b7f1backed GamerLegion | 12c | 84.32$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdd36…873bbacked GamerLegion | 20c | 68.52$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 405 | 39.3%159 W · 246 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9120…ae70backed Team Yandex | 74c | 67.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.57 | 210 | 62.4%131 W · 79 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ac2…e183backed Team Yandex | 79c | 63.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 249 | 55.4%138 W · 111 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Team Yandex | 73c | 60.01$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 1,013 | 45.5%461 W · 552 L | -46.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0a…07fdbacked GamerLegion | 26c | 54.89$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.27 | 243 | 49%119 W · 124 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb150…236dbacked GamerLegion | 28c | 53.57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed Team Yandex | 74c | 51$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.26 | 647 | 44.4%287 W · 360 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0702…e5eabacked GamerLegion | 25c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 407 | 45.5%185 W · 222 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…e798backed GamerLegion | 25c | 48.13$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 720 | 35.1%253 W · 467 L | -24.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…56efbacked GamerLegion | 25c | 43.2$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 565 | 42.8%242 W · 323 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe725…2b00backed Team Yandex | 75c | 43.2$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe4…dd93backed GamerLegion | 28c | 41.38$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.59 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74a0…1be2backed Team Yandex | 76c | 39.47$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.47 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Team Yandex | 80c | 35$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8979…9428backed Team Yandex | 74c | 33.78$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.78 | 86 | 61.6%53 W · 33 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb11…8f3fbacked Team Yandex | 70c | 25.09$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.53 | 105 | 51.4%54 W · 51 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ba…fc0ebacked Team Yandex | 73c | 20.55$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.55 | 201 | 49.8%100 W · 101 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2eda…4498backed Team Yandex | 74c | 17.04$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.43 | 105 | 62.9%66 W · 39 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: GamerLegion vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: GamerLegion vs Team Yandex (BO2) - ESL One Birmingham Group ATeam Yandex won
- Dota 2: GamerLegion vs Team Yandex - Game 1 WinnerTeam Yandex won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.