CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: RUSTEC vs ex-RUBY (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #4 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc058baf389dfe1a52e63e06d87c8327faa911893cb9c55ccf9ab77aa1a5bbac3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- RUSTECof RUSTEC, ex-RUBY
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $52,908
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $62,415
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $52,908 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked ex-RUBY | 2c | 3,905$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.79 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6832…831fbacked ex-RUBY | 28c | 2,101$582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$582.23 | 149 | 47.7%71 W · 78 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x196b…4151backed ex-RUBY | 1c | 1,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 108 | 0.9%1 W · 107 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0656…4d9bbacked ex-RUBY | 1c | 1,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 194 | 3.6%7 W · 187 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xceb1…bd4fbacked ex-RUBY | 1c | 1,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 31 | 0%0 W · 31 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3d…f757backed ex-RUBY | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed RUSTEC | 56c | 792.34$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.56 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed ex-RUBY | 47c | 610.19$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.73 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed ex-RUBY | 33c | 578.42$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.79 | 1,579 | 29.7%469 W · 1,110 L | -86.9wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed RUSTEC | 56c | 572.7$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.44 | 640 | 46.3%296 W · 344 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked ex-RUBY | 32c | 494.42$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.82 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked ex-RUBY | 55c | 493.13$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.89 | 2,349 | 42.5%998 W · 1,351 L | -72.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed RUSTEC | 42c | 482.69$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.76 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x548a…e58abacked RUSTEC | 66c | 462.95$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.4 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 59cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5471…a236backed RUSTEC | 57c | 457.86$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.06 | 250 | 42.8%107 W · 143 L | -9.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked RUSTEC | 55c | 398.88$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.62 | 389 | 42.4%165 W · 224 L | -15.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked RUSTEC | 52c | 383.15$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.38 | 1,710 | 52.3%895 W · 815 L | -73.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked RUSTEC | 40c | 333.13$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.11 | 249 | 39.8%99 W · 150 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22d2…82d7backed ex-RUBY | 41c | 313.76$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.54 | 141 | 37.6%53 W · 88 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed ex-RUBY | 46c | 279.11$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.64 | 1,216 | 40.1%488 W · 728 L | -65.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed ex-RUBY | 45c | 267.3$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.3 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed ex-RUBY | 26c | 221.79$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.74 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc5…d36ebacked ex-RUBY | 52c | 186.77$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.12 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -5.7wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -27%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5b45…db25backed RUSTEC | 67c | 183.74$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.72 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a21…ba51backed ex-RUBY | 53c | 183.43$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.22 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked ex-RUBY | 38c | 166.18$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.41 | 104 | 42.3%44 W · 60 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec69…6fbabacked ex-RUBY | 18c | 152.77$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.69 | 664 | 46.4%308 W · 356 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked ex-RUBY | 15c | 139$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.28 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9feb…bd88backed RUSTEC | 42c | 138.34$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…f729backed ex-RUBY | 58c | 134.86$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.22 | 188 | 50%94 W · 94 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked ex-RUBY | 26c | 126.93$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.56 | 270 | 15.2%41 W · 229 L | -41.9wins | -0.16per pick | 31cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed ex-RUBY | 45c | 116.32$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.16 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd067…9b9abacked ex-RUBY | 44c | 113.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.57 | 456 | 63.6%290 W · 166 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked RUSTEC | 52c | 111.54$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.04 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed RUSTEC | 53c | 110$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.7 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked RUSTEC | 48c | 100.92$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.48 | 719 | 51%367 W · 352 L | +28.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6617…29bdbacked ex-RUBY | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 80 | 51.3%41 W · 39 L | +7.9wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf348…e543backed RUSTEC | 77c | 97$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.05 | 230 | 72.6%167 W · 63 L | +27.8wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3d28…87b5backed RUSTEC | 74c | 91.71$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.69 | 84 | 75%63 W · 21 L | +6.0wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed ex-RUBY | 12c | 88.98$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.61 | 1,547 | 33.9%524 W · 1,023 L | -73.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4177…a2b4backed ex-RUBY | 57c | 80.33$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.79 | 1,248 | 41.3%516 W · 732 L | +5.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed RUSTEC | 49c | 78.54$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.8 | 799 | 51.7%413 W · 386 L | +25.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…2ca5backed ex-RUBY | 37c | 75.2$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.91 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked ex-RUBY | 59c | 69.65$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.77 | 1,630 | 43.2%704 W · 926 L | -32.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18c6…8e8fbacked ex-RUBY | 57c | 67.8$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.98 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49ac…2f1ebacked ex-RUBY | 41c | 63.65$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.89 | 277 | 51.6%143 W · 134 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc63b…6e4ebacked RUSTEC | 46c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 363 | 34.2%124 W · 239 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb379…28fabacked ex-RUBY | 41c | 47.05$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.29 | 72 | 34.7%25 W · 47 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked RUSTEC | 52c | 45.39$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.81 | 1,181 | 22.5%266 W · 915 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb30e…5ecebacked RUSTEC | 74c | 44.41$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.53 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82b9…dd00backed RUSTEC | 69c | 42.67$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.23 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 74cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1db7…e4b0backed RUSTEC | 52c | 41.72$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.03 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1b6…44a5backed RUSTEC | 58c | 41.5$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.51 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed RUSTEC | 49c | 40.24$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.66 | 2,362 | 46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f36…2819backed ex-RUBY | 36c | 40.2$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.42 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe245…3bc8backed ex-RUBY | 56c | 40.06$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 217 | 56.7%123 W · 94 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed RUSTEC | 48c | 39.97$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.59 | 965 | 43.5%420 W · 545 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked ex-RUBY | 46c | 38.27$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.64 | 406 | 35.7%145 W · 261 L | -33.0wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -31%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x43f5…40d0backed ex-RUBY | 57c | 34.2$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -3.1wins | -0.22per pick | 58cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf020…0d4fbacked RUSTEC | 66c | 30.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ad…68c9backed ex-RUBY | 59c | 30.01$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.7 | 240 | 51.7%124 W · 116 L | -10.4wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa79a…d72abacked ex-RUBY | 51c | 28.37$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.56 | 265 | 46.8%124 W · 141 L | -18.5wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1791…3e87backed ex-RUBY | 57c | 25.57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.57 | 399 | 46.4%185 W · 214 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked RUSTEC | 51c | 20.54$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.06 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8772…982dbacked ex-RUBY | 57c | 18.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 137 | 53.3%73 W · 64 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked ex-RUBY | 60c | 17.53$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.44 | 445 | 63.8%284 W · 161 L | +19.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd84d…cc32backed RUSTEC | 68c | 14.9$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.82 | 330 | 48.8%161 W · 169 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: RUSTEC vs ex-RUBY (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #4 Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: RUSTEC vs ex-RUBY - Map 1 WinnerRUSTEC won
- Counter-Strike: RUSTEC vs ex-RUBY - Map 2 Winnerex-RUBY won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.