NBA · resolved market
Rockets vs. Spurs: O/U 224.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaeff55da4bd5b4540e433053d2844e1b1e1b9ddac7a85bb9cbc01c3dab17cf43
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $60,173
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $60,173 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5ec1…057cbacked Under | 55c | 9,164$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbec4…637fbacked Under | 2c | 6,359$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.6 | 531 | 49.3%262 W · 269 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 45c | 6,230$2,834 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,396.35 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ef…9e7abacked Over | 54c | 4,056$2,182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,873.95 | 252 | 48.4%122 W · 130 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 45c | 3,674$1,653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,020.86 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 46c | 2,259$1,039 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,039.1 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 45c | 1,807$808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$998.68 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 46c | 1,450$666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$783.86 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 45c | 1,320$594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$726.4 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69ff…0d1dbacked Under | 55c | 1,010$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555.5 | 331 | 46.2%153 W · 178 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 46c | 928.15$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.32 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 64c | 846.97$543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.91 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99a7…87b6backed Under | 54c | 574.76$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.37 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…dbc6backed Under | 54c | 561.11$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303 | 476 | 51.7%246 W · 230 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6eb…5402backed Under | 55c | 545.45$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 111 | 59.5%66 W · 45 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Under | 53c | 499.94$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.97 | 807 | 37.7%304 W · 503 L | -33.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Over | 45c | 466.12$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.98 | 212 | 43.4%92 W · 120 L | +9.9wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28b9…7e01backed Under | 32c | 388.99$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.48 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb90…c431backed Under | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Over | 45c | 355.56$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.56 | 521 | 46.6%243 W · 278 L | -14.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44ca…907cbacked Over | 47c | 299.79$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.89 | 456 | 46.7%213 W · 243 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Over | 68c | 273.58$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.74 | 1,554 | 37.3%579 W · 975 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7573…2c46backed Under | 55c | 236.11$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.86 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Over | 45c | 233$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.15 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 46c | 221.51$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.53 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a48…83c5backed Under | 55c | 219.82$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.9 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x292e…172cbacked Over | 46c | 219.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.44 | 434 | 47.5%206 W · 228 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Under | 56c | 215.36$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 954 | 52.3%499 W · 455 L | -17.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ffb…f9eabacked Under | 55c | 209.23$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.02 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb4…d481backed Under | 54c | 201$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.54 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8849…9a83backed Under | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 561 | 54.5%306 W · 255 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Under | 47c | 191.08$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.88 | 402 | 43.8%176 W · 226 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe403…3d50backed Over | 46c | 186$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.44 | 547 | 47.5%260 W · 287 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72a1…1950backed Under | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 381 | 52.8%201 W · 180 L | +18.2wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28ce…b4eebacked Under | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Over | 44c | 178.29$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.03 | 1,425 | 47.7%680 W · 745 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa13c…7c8ebacked Under | 55c | 175.26$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.39 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…a74ebacked Over | 47c | 150$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.55 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…8848backed Under | 54c | 148.15$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 722 | 50.6%365 W · 357 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3108…8a52backed Under | 11c | 136.36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83ab…3d56backed Under | 53c | 117.42$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.23 | 93 | 43%40 W · 53 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Over | 68c | 103.69$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.04 | 903 | 57%515 W · 388 L | +40.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6932…6878backed Over | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 224 | 53.1%119 W · 105 L | +29.4wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x8f3e…e4a3backed Under | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 410 | 52%213 W · 197 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86a8…d0e7backed Under | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 109 | 55%60 W · 49 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe276…a85bbacked Under | 55c | 89.66$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.31 | 125 | 52%65 W · 60 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a25…bb6bbacked Over | 47c | 74.94$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.72 | 340 | 47.1%160 W · 180 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0644…05debacked Under | 24c | 74.1$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.58 | 178 | 44.4%79 W · 99 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd95…52fbbacked Under | 55c | 72.73$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 139 | 38.8%54 W · 85 L | -14.7wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5f3c…963ebacked Under | 56c | 71.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Over | 46c | 66.96$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.44 | 513 | 54.2%278 W · 235 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Over | 46c | 54$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.16 | 1,163 | 52.8%614 W · 549 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b41…01c7backed Over | 47c | 53$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.09 | 538 | 39.4%212 W · 326 L | -26.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0307…7ab8backed Under | 34c | 41.08$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.84 | 454 | 52%236 W · 218 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb6…fa2cbacked Under | 54c | 38.03$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.54 | 218 | 52.8%115 W · 103 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8441…7925backed Over | 60c | 38$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.33 | 182 | 61%111 W · 71 L | +16.2wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Over | 45c | 36$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 1,715 | 44.5%764 W · 951 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59c3…48e8backed Under | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 59 | 64.4%38 W · 21 L | +4.6wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a38…d420backed Under | 55c | 35$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.25 | 116 | 52.6%61 W · 55 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd9…a643backed Under | 48c | 32.63$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.66 | 101 | 45.5%46 W · 55 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7100…b346backed Under | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 201 | 47.8%96 W · 105 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Over | 45c | 27$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.85 | 464 | 47.8%222 W · 242 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cd…1e2bbacked Over | 49c | 26.74$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.64 | 190 | 51.6%98 W · 92 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6276…7f2ebacked Over | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 191 | 66.5%127 W · 64 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f2…3ca1backed Over | 73c | 23.88$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.45 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 45c | 22.66$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.46 | 1,562 | 47.4%741 W · 821 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc74c…2413backed Under | 55c | 22.16$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.19 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f95…da08backed Under | 56c | 21.52$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.18per pick | 60cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Over | 64c | 21.17$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.61 | 1,532 | 42.5%651 W · 881 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80f2…9671backed Under | 56c | 21$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.85 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Under | 55c | 20.63$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.35 | 1,197 | 48.9%585 W · 612 L | -14.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47e5…9b73backed Under | 57c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 425 | 51.3%218 W · 207 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x117d…6542backed Under | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 564 | 54.3%306 W · 258 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd44d…389dbacked Under | 57c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 413 | 54%223 W · 190 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Rockets vs. Spurs: O/U 224.5this page
- Alperen Sengün: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Alperen Sengün: Points O/U 18.5No won
- De'Aaron Fox: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 17.5Yes won
- Devin Vassell: Points O/U 13.5No won
- Julian Champagnie: Points O/U 10.5Yes won
- Kevin Durant: Points O/U 25.5No won
- Rockets vs. SpursSpurs won
- Rockets vs. Spurs: 1H MoneylineSpurs won
- Rockets vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 108.5Over won
- Rockets vs. Spurs: O/U 221.5Over won
- Rockets vs. Spurs: O/U 222.5Over won
- Rockets vs. Spurs: O/U 223.5Over won
- Spread: Spurs (-4.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-5.5)Spurs won
- Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 24.5Yes won
- Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 10.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.