TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Rockets vs. Spurs: O/U 221.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$26,216

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,216 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 82 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xee61…debfbacked Under46c5,545$2,539 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,538.699,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1fa3…ab9cbacked Over54c3,738$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,737.7317246.5%80 W · 92 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x339a…1eaebacked Over54c3,300$1,782 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,517.961,75961.7%1,085 W · 674 L+127.5wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under47c1,797$841 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$840.714,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Under46c1,121$516 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$515.522,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Under47c1,072$499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.1580737.7%304 W · 503 L-33.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-16.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over55c639$351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.556,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f95…b08bbacked Over54c550.44$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.23250%16 W · 16 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b17…03b2backed Under48c386.54$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.5421243.4%92 W · 120 L+9.9wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4328…11d2backed Over52c384.62$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.6238740.3%156 W · 231 L+0.3wins0.00per pick40cpaid-11.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8fef…5946backed Over55c381.82$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.823151.6%16 W · 15 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0307…7ab8backed Under35c377.15$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.5945452%236 W · 218 L+11.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x22a4…63ebbacked Over55c351.53$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.392058%534 W · 386 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Under5c267.14$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.240243.8%176 W · 226 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-12.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Under27c234.55$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.023,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x79b6…3799backed Over80c221.64$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.391225%3 W · 9 L-3.2wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-66.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x9c39…20eebacked Under47c188.27$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.4935843.6%156 W · 202 L-8.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe8c0…597cbacked Under46c181$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.26580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.29per pick51cpaid+54.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x48cf…c7dfbacked Over53c172.82$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.8236453%193 W · 171 L-17.0wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-8.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3d82…a5b1backed Under46c172$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.1210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c06…fdaabacked Under46c170$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.2633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-37%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf928…7272backed Under46c170$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.2366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+18.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe276…a85bbacked Under48c166.2$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.7812552%65 W · 60 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xab5d…e284backed Under46c161$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.06450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Over52c158.63$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.143,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under24c156.22$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.353,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Over53c129$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.6351354.2%278 W · 235 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb8bd…c55abacked Over55c128.92$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.094557.8%26 W · 19 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe722…57c5backed Under48c128.89$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.8776552.9%405 W · 360 L-2.9wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over60c128.33$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.333,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over53c123.56$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.074,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Over74c116.1$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.631,55437.3%579 W · 975 L-48.1wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf3d3…bd58backed Under46c108.7$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503727%10 W · 27 L-5.5wins-0.15per pick42cpaid-36.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x7634…600dbacked Over53c100$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4728056.8%159 W · 121 L+22.2wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+50.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Over51c100$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4995548.5%463 W · 492 L-3.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c6f…014ebacked Under47c100$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4718345.4%83 W · 100 L-5.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Under46c99$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.541,63448.1%786 W · 848 L+5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa64e…5d27backed Over54c93.15$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.151361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+13%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0b87…9414backed Over54c92.59$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.5997049.5%480 W · 490 L-11.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3f9…0975backed Under48c87.51$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$424231%13 W · 29 L-5.1wins-0.12per pick43cpaid-30.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4bfa…08c3backed Over55c84$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.8560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+26.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdece…897cbacked Over55c83$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.35580%4 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.21per pick59cpaid+39.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1cb5…6be6backed Over49c81.16$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.3915156.3%85 W · 66 L+8.8wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x84cb…4b77backed Over56c80.02$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.0216150.9%82 W · 79 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x14e4…eabbbacked Under46c76.08$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3593145.8%426 W · 505 L-25.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdd63…7185backed Over55c75$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.751100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3fb9…a8b3backed Over55c73.07$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.0723657.2%135 W · 101 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x53f0…fff4backed Over78c70.51$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.514770.2%33 W · 14 L+4.2wins+0.09per pick61cpaid+18.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf30a…61fbbacked Over76c66.98$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.1836154.8%198 W · 163 L+17.7wins+0.05per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9b17…9455backed Over55c66$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.72100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdacc…5814backed Over55c66$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.7560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+23.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf10e…4c13backed Under48c61.66$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.6320949.3%103 W · 106 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdab5…e252backed Over55c59$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.55366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+17.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2496…464bbacked Over55c58$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.14100%4 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+77.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x03a0…a42abacked Over55c57$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.65560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+22.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x133a…f9d1backed Over54c56$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.7695260.2%573 W · 379 L+37.0wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8ef1…5a60backed Over55c54$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.3475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+30%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe64c…c944backed Over55c45$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.25475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+41.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2520…ec19backed Over55c44$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.8475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+44.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Over72c41.31$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.7190357%515 W · 388 L+40.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+2.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Under32c41.25$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131,53242.5%651 W · 881 L-17.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefb9…e74fbacked Under45c41.11$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.5414046.4%65 W · 75 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c20…6fd4backed Over52c40.45$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.315959.3%35 W · 24 L+2.7wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+6.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6682…70f8backed Over55c40$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x898f…e9f2backed Over66c39.36$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.367354.8%40 W · 33 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Over52c38.3$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.31,57353.4%840 W · 733 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Over54c37$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.021,16352.8%614 W · 549 L+22.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6601…1c14backed Over55c37$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.65450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf05f…91d5backed Over55c36.36$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.3612857.8%74 W · 54 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+3.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe824…65b4backed Under46c35.3$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.2452552%273 W · 252 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x011f…2e67backed Over55c32$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.4633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-30.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Over73c30.1$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.131,05549.9%526 W · 529 L+29.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Under49c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.72,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xabdd…2d96backed Over54c30$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.860267.3%405 W · 197 L+46.2wins+0.08per pick60cpaid+11.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0da3…1b45backed Over53c28.3$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.322249.5%110 W · 112 L+0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Over53c27.81$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.071,43347.2%676 W · 757 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc816…4b74backed Over54c27.78$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.786453.1%34 W · 30 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x64a5…826fbacked Over55c26$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.7475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+54.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8441…7925backed Over78c23.72$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.2418261%111 W · 71 L+16.2wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+9.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Under51c22$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.2230840.9%126 W · 182 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4861…4fcabacked Over65c20$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$714858.1%86 W · 62 L+6.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9786…b15cbacked Over52c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.67652.6%40 W · 36 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.