TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Rockets vs. Spurs: 1H Moneyline

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Spursof Rockets, Spurs
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$18,356

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,356 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1f09…9312backed Spurs64c4,602$2,945 inWon+$1,656.89547.4%45 W · 50 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Rockets36c4,305$1,550 inLost-$1,549.985,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Rockets37c2,600$950 inLost-$95026353.6%141 W · 122 L+10.7wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x30f4…8c1ebacked Spurs65c2,549$1,649 inWon+$900.455759.6%34 W · 23 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+0.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8de5…2b04backed Spurs60c1,198$713 inWon+$485.264367.4%29 W · 14 L+6.3wins+0.15per pick53cpaid+25.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Rockets36c972$350 inLost-$349.922,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec15…9b0cbacked Rockets21c476.15$100 inLost-$10028536.8%105 W · 180 L-10.4wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-10%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9140…17e0backed Spurs61c244.16$149 inWon+$95.221643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.11per pick55cpaid-17.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0b87…9414backed Rockets36c138.88$50 inLost-$5097049.5%480 W · 490 L-11.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Rockets36c100$36 inLost-$362,65749.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L+42.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcc8b…8925backed Rockets39c83.83$33 inLost-$32.691060%6 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x851e…d153backed Rockets39c81.07$32 inLost-$31.62944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ed8…6b7fbacked Rockets39c79.53$31 inLost-$31.021764.7%11 W · 6 L+2.2wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+22.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7baa…03b7backed Rockets43c54.42$23 inLost-$23.433159.2%196 W · 135 L+10.5wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x94bb…c320backed Rockets37c48.31$18 inLost-$17.9937845%170 W · 208 L-7.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Rockets43c35.63$15 inLost-$15.321,75848.7%856 W · 902 L+28.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c16…4b37backed Rockets43c35.19$15 inLost-$15.1329352.6%154 W · 139 L+14.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+26%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5599…326dbacked Rockets40c25$10 inLost-$101637.5%6 W · 10 L-3.0wins-0.19per pick56cpaid-33.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.