TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Rockets vs. Spurs: O/U 222.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$157,534

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $157,534 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 122 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdd92…6b2abacked Under51c40,347$20,463 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,463.4212639.7%50 W · 76 L-6.4wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Over50c20,440$10,130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,309.812,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Under50c20,000$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,0001,12448.6%546 W · 578 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c3a…020bbacked Over49c19,988$9,794 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,193.6429055.5%161 W · 129 L+15.8wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+8.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over50c13,025$6,572 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,453.439,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x91fd…1cdebacked Under49c10,000$4,880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,880.4977348.5%375 W · 398 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2fcb…78cfbacked Under49c8,500$4,165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,164.9521653.7%116 W · 100 L+6.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdf05…291bbacked Over52c7,693$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,692.62744.4%12 W · 15 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over51c7,000$3,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,4001,82052.1%948 W · 872 L+48.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over50c6,757$3,393 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,363.694,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5e1…5ad0backed Under50c5,478$2,739 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,738.7729748.1%143 W · 154 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xeb75…aaf9backed Over53c5,000$2,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,3507759.7%46 W · 31 L+5.5wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+10.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over50c5,000$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,5002,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf93f…f94bbacked Over51c4,000$2,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,96016633.7%56 W · 110 L-11.6wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-26.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Over51c3,040$1,554 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,48665750.1%329 W · 328 L+10.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x83ab…3d56backed Under50c2,222$1,111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1119343%40 W · 53 L-4.7wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-17.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x339a…1eaebacked Over51c2,200$1,122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,077.991,75961.7%1,085 W · 674 L+127.5wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7a30…8abdbacked Under51c2,041$1,041 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,04150754.2%275 W · 232 L+13.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xebba…383cbacked Over53c2,000$1,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94024050.8%122 W · 118 L+0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x33dd…ef8abacked Over53c2,000$1,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94013954.7%76 W · 63 L+7.8wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+12.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Under50c2,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00064944.7%290 W · 359 L-9.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Under49c1,838$901 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$900.52,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under49c1,321$648 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$648.216,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Under49c1,200$586 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$585.9980737.7%304 W · 503 L-33.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-16.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc5ac…2a18backed Under49c1,113$545 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$545.417850%89 W · 89 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf6de…95e8backed Over51c1,000$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49023047%108 W · 122 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x889c…e375backed Under49c1,000$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49050954.8%279 W · 230 L+14.8wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x773c…cf18backed Under49c979.66$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48018448.9%90 W · 94 L-13.3wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-14.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Over51c821.49$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$401.741,19748.9%585 W · 612 L-14.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2271…8170backed Under49c800$392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$391.918147%85 W · 96 L-8.6wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-10.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under48c679.96$328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$328.184,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x622b…5a4abacked Under48c657.1$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$315.4110940.4%44 W · 65 L-4.9wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3920…23e7backed Under49c630$309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308.730452.6%160 W · 144 L-7.6wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-2.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Over51c581.75$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$286.961,43347.2%676 W · 757 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda6e…1a11backed Under50c581.59$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.74850%4 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Over50c564$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2822,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2fa4…9a4cbacked Under48c500$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24016148.4%78 W · 83 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under49c405.83$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.714,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over68c384.04$261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.253,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under47c371.83$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.383,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Over51c369$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.811,66752.7%878 W · 789 L+45.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x28b9…7e01backed Under33c344$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.5260%0 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6495…6cd7backed Under49c306.12$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1505257.7%30 W · 22 L+4.7wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+16%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x24a5…5d07backed Under49c300$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1475156.9%29 W · 22 L+3.8wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+21.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under47c252$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.445,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under49c247.73$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.33,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b17…03b2backed Over49c220$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.221243.4%92 W · 120 L+9.9wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xec56…dd09backed Over51c200$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9828348.8%138 W · 145 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbefe…2d45backed Over51c196.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.087841%32 W · 46 L-9.0wins-0.12per pick53cpaid-30.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x4008…2942backed Over52c185.58$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.0818254.4%99 W · 83 L+9.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x22a4…63ebbacked Over52c168.68$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.9692058%534 W · 386 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0acc…717ebacked Under48c146$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.08560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over50c144.15$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.392,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x010b…d744backed Under48c142$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.1630%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1015…c873backed Over52c140$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.3462744.5%279 W · 348 L-12.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c39…20eebacked Under49c124.59$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.0535843.6%156 W · 202 L-8.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe722…57c5backed Under50c123.83$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.8276552.9%405 W · 360 L-2.9wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4694…b6b2backed Under43c115.63$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010647.2%50 W · 56 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe276…a85bbacked Over50c111.8$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.912552%65 W · 60 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x24e4…0478backed Over52c111.46$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.68850%44 W · 44 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9696…2bc3backed Under49c100$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4933949.9%169 W · 170 L-1.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe47b…1b4bbacked Over51c100$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4935739.8%142 W · 215 L-25.0wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-18.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Under48c99$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.521,63448.1%786 W · 848 L+5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0b87…9414backed Over51c98.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.0497049.5%480 W · 490 L-11.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Under44c95.39$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.073,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x92cf…8b35backed Over53c94.52$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.521,11052%577 W · 533 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0dcc…031ebacked Over52c94.34$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.2823349.4%115 W · 118 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdcc0…6872backed Under48c94.34$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.2821743.8%95 W · 122 L-14.2wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-11.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0307…7ab8backed Over48c92.99$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.345452%236 W · 218 L+11.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe6e4…22ccbacked Over52c84.99$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.837750.4%190 W · 187 L+12.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+8.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb8bd…c55abacked Over53c80.28$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.754557.8%26 W · 19 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Over48c73.32$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.1378648.7%383 W · 403 L+6.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Over56c71.92$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.961,57353.4%840 W · 733 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd454…b47fbacked Over50c71.76$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.8827251.1%139 W · 133 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefb9…e74fbacked Over51c64.04$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.4514046.4%65 W · 75 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe76d…5a75backed Over46c60$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.415543.9%68 W · 87 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9382…4ee3backed Under49c56.85$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.87251.4%37 W · 35 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x133a…f9d1backed Over51c55.99$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.4495260.2%573 W · 379 L+37.0wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf10e…4c13backed Over51c54.62$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2720949.3%103 W · 106 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b41…01c7backed Under48c52$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.9653839.4%212 W · 326 L-26.8wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-13.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2482…a721backed Over51c51.77$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.337646.1%35 W · 41 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Over49c51.36$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.192,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf8e1…0317backed Over52c51$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.48580%4 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.25per pick55cpaid+48.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb83d…3aa2backed Under50c50.1$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2524042.9%103 W · 137 L-9.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-8.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x50e9…5efebacked Over52c50$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2459650.3%300 W · 296 L+1.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Over65c49.78$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.421,52249.6%755 W · 767 L+27.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b49…ceb4backed Over52c49$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.52366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+15.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6dc…ab58backed Under49c46$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.5410251%52 W · 50 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc95f…357fbacked Under48c46$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.0816852.4%88 W · 80 L+6.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Under49c45.89$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.4964844.8%290 W · 358 L-32.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfcc3…6656backed Over52c45$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.6475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+34.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x98c1…3d1ebacked Under50c44.09$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222857.1%16 W · 12 L+2.0wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+13.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdd23…e31fbacked Under49c42.4$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.7347354.8%259 W · 214 L+14.2wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa00e…73fabacked Under49c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.5616951.5%87 W · 82 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x769c…fd65backed Over52c38.5$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.524456.8%25 W · 19 L+2.8wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+17.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x78df…c0f9backed Over52c38$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.24250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed Over50c36.61$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.311,26445.8%579 W · 685 L-10.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84cc…3132backed Over50c36$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1811229.5%33 W · 79 L-5.9wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-31.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcc4c…afcebacked Under50c35.61$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.673852.6%20 W · 18 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a66…707fbacked Over52c34$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.32650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-21.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.