NBA · resolved market

Rockets vs. Spurs: O/U 223.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd5233a59bf8aa3bb4ef529dca07f25934e4b4942a5d38a4d8ea8acf44e744c46

Rebuilt 8 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Overof Over, Under
Resolved: Mar 9, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $91,146

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $91,146 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Under	54c	46,514$25,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25,000	365	49.6%181 W · 184 L	-1.8wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-3%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over	47c	31,015$14,487 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16,528.44	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over	49c	4,905$2,392 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,512.79	1,820	52.1%948 W · 872 L	+48.5wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Over	47c	4,472$2,102 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,370.14	2,666	48%1,279 W · 1,387 L	-8.2wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over	46c	4,000$1,840 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,160	4,325	47%2,031 W · 2,294 L	-69.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over	49c	3,238$1,586 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,651.33	4,781	50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L	+20.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Under	52c	2,562$1,321 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,320.8	807	37.7%304 W · 503 L	-33.9wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over	46c	2,286$1,059 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,227.12	4,682	49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L	+27.2wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x83ab…3d56backed Under	52c	2,222$1,155 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,155.44	93	43%40 W · 53 L	-4.7wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5c3a…020bbacked Over	47c	2,182$1,026 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,156.61	290	55.5%161 W · 129 L	+15.8wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+8.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2579…9d48backed Under	51c	1,912$975 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$975	193	59.6%115 W · 78 L	+14.1wins	+0.07per pick	52cpaid	+14%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xace8…4624backed Over	49c	1,800$882 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$918.15	21	33.3%7 W · 14 L	-3.1wins	-0.15per pick	48cpaid	-30.9%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Over	49c	1,780$872 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$907.8	657	50.1%329 W · 328 L	+10.8wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2fcb…78cfbacked Under	51c	1,500$765 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$765	216	53.7%116 W · 100 L	+6.8wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+6.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Over	46c	1,258$582 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$676.39	2,507	48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L	+19.8wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Over	46c	1,168$539 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$628.94	3,285	49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L	+5.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x901f…74e9backed Under	53c	1,131$600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$599.58	100	46%46 W · 54 L	+3.9wins	+0.04per pick	42cpaid	+27%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Under	52c	1,067$555 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$554.73	2,078	53.6%1,113 W · 965 L	+44.6wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over	45c	1,015$457 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$558.25	5,053	50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L	+110.9wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe962…663abacked Over	49c	799.99$392 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$408	843	42.9%362 W · 481 L	-39.1wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over	46c	760$350 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$410.4	6,213	50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L	+53.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over	72c	674.89$487 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$188.05	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Over	47c	510.64$240 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$270.64	813	49.4%402 W · 411 L	+5.5wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1fe9…987ebacked Over	48c	475.1$228 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$247.05	36	22.2%8 W · 28 L	-8.3wins	-0.23per pick	45cpaid	-55.7%equal weight	35-0.14 edge/pick
0x2a31…2edfbacked Over	48c	418$201 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$217.36	8	62.5%5 W · 3 L	+1.4wins	+0.17per pick	45cpaid	+43.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6b17…03b2backed Over	45c	416.11$188 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$228.3	212	43.4%92 W · 120 L	+9.9wins	+0.05per pick	39cpaid	+6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x28b9…7e01backed Under	33c	387.99$128 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$128.04	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-1.9wins	-0.32per pick	32cpaid	-100%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Under	51c	387$197 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$197.37	1,150	49.5%569 W · 581 L	-12.7wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x81ea…8b9abacked Under	51c	300$153 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$153	156	50%78 W · 78 L	-1.9wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe170…afacbacked Under	53c	269.75$143 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$142.97	18	55.6%10 W · 8 L	+1.0wins	+0.06per pick	50cpaid	+9.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf5aa…4464backed Under	51c	248.29$127 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$126.63	201	54.2%109 W · 92 L	+5.6wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+5.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Over	49c	229.36$112 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$117.81	1,433	47.2%676 W · 757 L	-12.8wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Over	48c	203.96$98 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$106.14	1,197	48.9%585 W · 612 L	-14.8wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x87b8…29dcbacked Under	52c	200$104 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$104	35	34.3%12 W · 23 L	-4.5wins	-0.13per pick	47cpaid	-29%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0xbf8f…8bbabacked Under	5c	200$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	80	27.5%22 W · 58 L	-4.3wins	-0.05per pick	33cpaid	+10.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd355…e402backed Under	51c	196.08$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	45	40%18 W · 27 L	-4.4wins	-0.10per pick	50cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under	51c	188.05$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95.93	3,902	47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L	-17.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x4e35…0d7fbacked Over	48c	188$90 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$97.76	5	80%4 W · 1 L	+1.2wins	+0.24per pick	56cpaid	+44.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x44f0…432cbacked Over	48c	187.5$90 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$97.5	401	46.9%188 W · 213 L	-3.2wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb836…3cddbacked Over	49c	180$88 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$91.8	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+0.9wins	+0.24per pick	51cpaid	+61.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd454…b47fbacked Under	52c	141.33$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73.45	272	51.1%139 W · 133 L	+2.5wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0682…63e0backed Over	49c	133$65 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$67.83	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	+1.0wins	+0.16per pick	51cpaid	+39.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe722…57c5backed Under	53c	116.95$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.98	765	52.9%405 W · 360 L	-2.9wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb6e7…884cbacked Under	52c	103.67$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.91	163	38.7%63 W · 100 L	-11.4wins	-0.07per pick	46cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6932…6878backed Over	48c	100$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52	224	53.1%119 W · 105 L	+29.4wins	+0.13per pick	40cpaid	+29.6%equal weight	63+0.12 edge/pick
0x9ca7…0c48backed Over	47c	100$47 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$53	21	42.9%9 W · 12 L	-1.7wins	-0.08per pick	51cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xefb9…e74fbacked Over	48c	97.64$47 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50.29	140	46.4%65 W · 75 L	-2.1wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Over	46c	92.52$43 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49.63	1,425	47.7%680 W · 745 L	+13.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over	46c	88.53$41 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47.81	1,758	48.7%856 W · 902 L	+28.3wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x88aa…589cbacked Under	52c	80$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.6	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-1.5wins	-0.36per pick	36cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x74af…9c2dbacked Under	53c	74$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.22	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.12per pick	46cpaid	-43.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8776…f2efbacked Over	47c	63.83$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.83	78	47.4%37 W · 41 L	-4.8wins	-0.06per pick	54cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xff0b…3b13backed Under	52c	62$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.24	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.5wins	-0.10per pick	50cpaid	-13%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Under	51c	55.39$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.36	3,551	46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x50e9…5efebacked Over	50c	50$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25	596	50.3%300 W · 296 L	+1.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb524…ac78backed Under	53c	50$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.5	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa5ab…c3acbacked Under	51c	49.02$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	159	53.5%85 W · 74 L	+4.3wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7832…ae96backed Under	52c	46$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.92	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.1wins	-0.54per pick	54cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1015…c873backed Under	51c	45.03$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.97	627	44.5%279 W · 348 L	-12.1wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c39…20eebacked Under	52c	44.08$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.92	358	43.6%156 W · 202 L	-8.0wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x27e2…2b82backed Over	48c	42.65$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.18	11	54.5%6 W · 5 L	+0.3wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x58c2…cf66backed Over	49c	40.82$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.82	58	41.4%24 W · 34 L	-4.1wins	-0.07per pick	48cpaid	-16.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked Over	50c	40$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20	880	57.5%506 W · 374 L	+34.6wins	+0.04per pick	54cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x71b6…4e91backed Under	51c	39.22$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	363	50.1%182 W · 181 L	+5.0wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xccad…46ecbacked Under	52c	38.56$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over	45c	38$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.9	5,844	46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L	+32.7wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa2f8…ed27backed Under	53c	37$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.61	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa0c5…4291backed Under	51c	35$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.85	969	56.3%546 W · 423 L	+26.0wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under	51c	34.01$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.35	2,346	48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L	-14.3wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3387…6634backed Under	53c	34$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.02	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.8wins	+0.16per pick	44cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5337…222bbacked Over	48c	32$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.64	123	31.7%39 W · 84 L	-17.0wins	-0.14per pick	46cpaid	-39.5%equal weight	37-0.11 edge/pick
0x2f3f…179dbacked Under	53c	32$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.96	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-1.6wins	-0.22per pick	51cpaid	-45.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1121…6604backed Under	51c	29$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.79	327	47.4%155 W · 172 L	-3.4wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x15ee…512dbacked Under	51c	29$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.79	620	49%304 W · 316 L	+4.3wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e0a…745dbacked Under	51c	29$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.79	273	45.1%123 W · 150 L	-8.1wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf02…3a63backed Under	51c	29$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.79	329	47.4%156 W · 173 L	-2.3wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe824…65b4backed Under	51c	27.5$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	525	52%273 W · 252 L	+10.0wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe276…a85bbacked Under	53c	26.5$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.05	125	52%65 W · 60 L	+3.3wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Over	47c	26.06$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.81	2,902	38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L	-51.9wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe6e4…22ccbacked Over	49c	25$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.75	377	50.4%190 W · 187 L	+12.6wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2cf6…fbdabacked Under	53c	25$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.25	6	50%3 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Over	47c	24.99$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.22	1,532	42.5%651 W · 881 L	-17.3wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x38ef…8800backed Under	52c	23.5$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.2	78	43.6%34 W · 44 L	-2.6wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaae2…2c71backed Under	53c	23$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.19	7	71.4%5 W · 2 L	+0.8wins	+0.12per pick	60cpaid	+16.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x77b5…203cbacked Under	53c	21$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.13	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.4wins	+0.14per pick	53cpaid	+27.6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b97…ca24backed Over	50c	20$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10	6	50%3 W · 3 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	0%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Rockets vs. Spurs: O/U 223.5this page
Alperen Sengün: Assists O/U 5.5No won
Alperen Sengün: Points O/U 18.5No won
De'Aaron Fox: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 17.5Yes won
Devin Vassell: Points O/U 13.5No won
Julian Champagnie: Points O/U 10.5Yes won
Kevin Durant: Points O/U 25.5No won
Rockets vs. SpursSpurs won
Rockets vs. Spurs: 1H MoneylineSpurs won
Rockets vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 108.5Over won
Rockets vs. Spurs: O/U 221.5Over won
Rockets vs. Spurs: O/U 222.5Over won
Rockets vs. Spurs: O/U 224.5Over won
Spread: Spurs (-4.5)Spurs won
Spread: Spurs (-5.5)Spurs won
Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 24.5Yes won
Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 10.5No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Rockets vs. Spurs: O/U 223.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

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