NBA · resolved market

Mavericks vs. Celtics: O/U 225.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x947f50bd91250688593a5200d69224acfe3ba8b7935c561e0dd4309bb3b7a947

Rebuilt 1 hour ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Mar 6, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $608,173

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $608,173 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 263 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x4924…3782backed Over	49c	286,525$140,408 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140,407.66	874	51.5%450 W · 424 L	+15.8wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Under	51c	134,966$68,832 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$66,133.18	662	48.5%321 W · 341 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Under	51c	70,000$35,700 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34,300	1,044	47.5%496 W · 548 L	-12.8wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93ab…9723backed Over	50c	53,294$26,751 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26,751.06	603	51.4%310 W · 293 L	+16.3wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under	51c	37,591$19,047 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18,544.54	4,682	49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L	+27.2wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under	50c	28,823$14,412 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14,411.55	4,781	50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L	+20.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under	50c	15,364$7,746 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,617.73	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa084…bb99backed Under	50c	12,515$6,257 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,257.83	24	45.8%11 W · 13 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6e12…20e9backed Under	52c	9,615$5,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,615.38	293	47.4%139 W · 154 L	-5.4wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x48e2…2a5fbacked Under	51c	8,712$4,443 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,268.65	175	50.9%89 W · 86 L	+3.9wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Under	50c	7,000$3,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,500	1,194	48.8%583 W · 611 L	-22.7wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaca2…b9a1backed Under	50c	6,000$3,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,000.1	328	46.6%153 W · 175 L	-7.6wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under	50c	6,000$3,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,999.99	1,820	52.1%948 W · 872 L	+48.5wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Over	50c	5,610$2,805 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,805	4,878	48%2,341 W · 2,537 L	+61.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x339a…1eaebacked Over	51c	5,000$2,550 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,550	1,759	61.7%1,085 W · 674 L	+127.5wins	+0.07per pick	54cpaid	+12.7%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x34cd…9675backed Over	50c	4,794$2,397 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,396.71	226	48.2%109 W · 117 L	-5.5wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x777d…5143backed Under	49c	4,591$2,250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,341.43	197	54.3%107 W · 90 L	+12.3wins	+0.06per pick	48cpaid	+20.7%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3860…0efcbacked Under	52c	4,539$2,361 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,178.94	129	50.4%65 W · 64 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Under	50c	3,900$1,950 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,950.1	657	50.1%329 W · 328 L	+10.8wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Under	53c	3,743$1,972 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,770.94	807	37.7%304 W · 503 L	-33.9wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Over	51c	3,402$1,735 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,734.93	513	54.2%278 W · 235 L	+9.2wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Over	44c	3,077$1,360 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,360.19	1,096	40.9%448 W · 648 L	+34.3wins	+0.03per pick	38cpaid	-17%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf1ef…8cd6backed Under	51c	3,000$1,530 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,470	433	48.5%210 W · 223 L	+11.0wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x99e0…5052backed Under	51c	3,000$1,530 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,470	88	39.8%35 W · 53 L	-7.0wins	-0.08per pick	48cpaid	-18.1%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed Under	51c	2,941$1,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,441.18	564	53.9%304 W · 260 L	+6.7wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Under	50c	2,475$1,245 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,229.94	1,908	54.5%1,040 W · 868 L	+53.7wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Under	50c	2,381$1,185 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,195.92	2,468	50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L	+38.4wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Over	50c	2,177$1,081 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,080.92	2,435	49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L	+30.3wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Under	50c	2,101$1,057 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,044.08	2,078	53.6%1,113 W · 965 L	+44.6wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa1f3…d99cbacked Over	50c	2,000$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	485	46.4%225 W · 260 L	-14.6wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under	51c	1,996$1,018 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$978.04	5,053	50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L	+110.9wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x57b1…4b99backed Under	51c	1,961$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$960.89	108	47.2%51 W · 57 L	-3.6wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xad15…ee7fbacked Under	51c	1,516$768 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$748.32	140	61.4%86 W · 54 L	+3.4wins	+0.02per pick	59cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x901f…74e9backed Over	50c	1,399$700 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$699.52	100	46%46 W · 54 L	+3.9wins	+0.04per pick	42cpaid	+27%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Under	53c	1,373$725 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$648.41	1,197	48.9%585 W · 612 L	-14.8wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Over	48c	1,320$634 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$633.52	2,666	48%1,279 W · 1,387 L	-8.2wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under	50c	1,281$642 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$639.44	2,346	48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L	-14.3wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8bee…a369backed Under	52c	1,235$642 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$592.78	81	48.1%39 W · 42 L	-1.4wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ca5…73bcbacked Under	50c	1,200$600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$600	404	51.5%208 W · 196 L	-7.4wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc935…2579backed Under	73c	1,134$829 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$305.07	68	72.1%49 W · 19 L	+5.1wins	+0.08per pick	64cpaid	+13%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xabde…d41fbacked Over	51c	1,065$543 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$542.99	419	47.7%200 W · 219 L	-4.1wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Over	42c	1,022$428 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$427.75	1,645	47.5%782 W · 863 L	+40.9wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over	49c	1,012$496 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$495.76	4,325	47%2,031 W · 2,294 L	-69.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xccbd…f1b7backed Over	50c	1,000$503 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$503.26	46	69.6%32 W · 14 L	+3.7wins	+0.08per pick	62cpaid	+12.6%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6814…d83abacked Under	51c	1,000$510 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$490	87	47.1%41 W · 46 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	+12.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3704…0e84backed Over	50c	1,000$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	259	51.4%133 W · 126 L	+3.9wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3242…0e0bbacked Over	51c	990.2$505 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$505	212	47.2%100 W · 112 L	-5.5wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x597e…cd70backed Under	51c	980.39$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$480.39	41	43.9%18 W · 23 L	-2.1wins	-0.05per pick	49cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb917…02c6backed Under	51c	980.39$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$480.39	179	40.2%72 W · 107 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x691a…d113backed Under	50c	978.99$489 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$489.5	544	43%234 W · 310 L	-18.0wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x11a7…2c03backed Under	77c	928.03$712 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$215.71	144	56.3%81 W · 63 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	57cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under	50c	919.32$461 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$458.79	3,285	49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L	+5.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x69fc…17fbbacked Under	54c	912.06$493 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$419.55	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.12per pick	62cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over	43c	910.28$390 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$389.66	2,949	51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L	+119.4wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xffd1…4649backed Under	60c	851.32$507 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$344.32	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	-0.6wins	-0.07per pick	40cpaid	-42.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under	51c	837.66$423 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$414.64	2,736	46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L	-67.4wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4c9…617dbacked Over	50c	834$417 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$417	113	51.3%58 W · 55 L	+2.5wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Over	46c	791.83$361 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$361.19	402	43.8%176 W · 226 L	-3.5wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-12.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3100…9bc9backed Under	51c	750$383 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$367.5	180	43.3%78 W · 102 L	-9.4wins	-0.05per pick	49cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over	50c	700$350 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$349.9	6,213	50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L	+53.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x889c…e375backed Under	57c	680.7$388 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$292.7	509	54.8%279 W · 230 L	+14.8wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over	45c	616.71$274 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$274.49	3,668	41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L	-70.7wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0307…7ab8backed Over	35c	614.06$214 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$213.64	454	52%236 W · 218 L	+11.9wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb51…d2f5backed Under	50c	600$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$300.1	41	56.1%23 W · 18 L	+2.4wins	+0.06per pick	50cpaid	+39.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Under	50c	556.06$278 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$278.06	475	42.3%201 W · 274 L	-3.1wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Over	50c	526.27$263 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$263.13	1,667	52.7%878 W · 789 L	+45.5wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Over	32c	506.39$163 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$163.47	3,551	46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4818…fde0backed Under	49c	500$245 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$255	517	53.8%278 W · 239 L	+11.6wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ccc…e7e8backed Over	51c	500$255 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$255	539	51.6%278 W · 261 L	+20.3wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+8.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc443…359bbacked Over	52c	480.77$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	238	45%107 W · 131 L	-8.7wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Over	45c	448$202 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$201.64	1,150	49.5%569 W · 581 L	-12.7wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x99fa…97a9backed Under	56c	446.43$250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$196.43	37	56.8%21 W · 16 L	+1.8wins	+0.05per pick	52cpaid	+12.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc869…8a6ebacked Under	51c	433.53$221 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$212.53	129	51.9%67 W · 62 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2de8…1121backed Under	70c	429.14$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$129.14	909	57.6%524 W · 385 L	-1.9wins	0.00per pick	58cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under	58c	428.8$250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$178.51	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2fa4…9a4cbacked Over	49c	400$196 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$196	161	48.4%78 W · 83 L	-3.7wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4694…b6b2backed Under	51c	392.31$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$192.31	106	47.2%50 W · 56 L	+2.3wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb227…8809backed Over	51c	392.16$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	111	57.7%64 W · 47 L	+7.4wins	+0.07per pick	51cpaid	+12.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcb90…c431backed Under	52c	384.62$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$184.62	33	42.4%14 W · 19 L	-2.8wins	-0.09per pick	51cpaid	-26.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb628…fd2bbacked Under	78c	383.29$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$83.29	118	73.7%87 W · 31 L	+7.4wins	+0.06per pick	67cpaid	+10.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1bc6…c936backed Under	52c	376.92$196 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$180.92	155	47.1%73 W · 82 L	+5.3wins	+0.03per pick	44cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbb7c…3a5bbacked Over	51c	358.42$183 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$182.76	140	53.6%75 W · 65 L	+6.0wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb568…14d4backed Under	73c	300.5$218 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$82.18	277	47.7%132 W · 145 L	-20.4wins	-0.07per pick	55cpaid	-17.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3989…27b1backed Under	51c	300$153 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$147	306	41.8%128 W · 178 L	-9.1wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeba1…44dfbacked Over	51c	294.12$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	46	41.3%19 W · 27 L	-4.4wins	-0.10per pick	51cpaid	-20%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over	25c	279.27$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.7	3,341	53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L	+108.9wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under	50c	277.91$140 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$138.39	3,902	47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L	-17.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Over	43c	266.92$115 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$114.78	1,522	49.6%755 W · 767 L	+27.6wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2707…0afabacked Under	64c	249.45$160 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$89.45	359	42.1%151 W · 208 L	-12.9wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9868…907ebacked Over	28c	240.77$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68.23	106	23.6%25 W · 81 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	24cpaid	-13.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbec4…637fbacked Over	46c	221.41$103 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102.93	531	49.3%262 W · 269 L	+5.2wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0644…05debacked Under	45c	209.97$94 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$115.48	178	44.4%79 W · 99 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under	52c	206.41$107 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$99.08	2,507	48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L	+19.8wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b4d…e246backed Under	50c	205.7$103 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$102.85	296	50.3%149 W · 147 L	+3.6wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6a5…e95dbacked Under	50c	200$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100	312	49.4%154 W · 158 L	-3.8wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3582…8fc6backed Over	50c	200$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	73	32.9%24 W · 49 L	-4.8wins	-0.07per pick	39cpaid	-19.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfc23…8283backed Under	50c	200$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100	295	54.6%161 W · 134 L	-4.0wins	-0.01per pick	56cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea22…747abacked Under	50c	200$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100	679	21.4%145 W · 534 L	+32.4wins	+0.05per pick	17cpaid	+33.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7a2b…c97cbacked Under	69c	200$138 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$62	72	52.8%38 W · 34 L	-1.3wins	-0.02per pick	55cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb43…3c74backed Under	50c	200$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100	477	48.8%233 W · 244 L	+1.8wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 32 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Mavericks vs. Celtics: O/U 225.5this page
1H Spread: Celtics (-8.5)Mavericks won
Cooper Flagg: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
Cooper Flagg: Points O/U 16.5No won
Cooper Flagg: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
Daniel Gafford: Points O/U 8.5No won
Daniel Gafford: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
Derrick White: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
Derrick White: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
Jaylen Brown: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
Jaylen Brown: Points O/U 27.5No won
Jaylen Brown: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
Jayson Tatum: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
Jayson Tatum: Points O/U 12.5Yes won
Jayson Tatum: Points O/U 13.5Yes won
Jayson Tatum: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
Jayson Tatum: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
Mavericks vs. CelticsCeltics won
Mavericks vs. Celtics: 1H MoneylineCeltics won
Mavericks vs. Celtics: 1H O/U 114.5Under won
Mavericks vs. Celtics: 1H O/U 115.5Under won
Mavericks vs. Celtics: 1H O/U 116.5Under won
Mavericks vs. Celtics: O/U 221.5Under won
Mavericks vs. Celtics: O/U 222.5Under won
Mavericks vs. Celtics: O/U 223.5Under won
Mavericks vs. Celtics: O/U 224.5Under won
Neemias Queta: Points O/U 8.5Yes won
Neemias Queta: Rebounds O/U 7.5Yes won
Nikola Vučević: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
Payton Pritchard: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
Spread: Celtics (-14.5)Celtics won
Spread: Celtics (-15.5)Celtics won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Mavericks vs. Celtics: O/U 225.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event