Earnings · resolved market
Will General Mills (GIS) beat quarterly earnings?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf5f54f9fd01dd6904e50b1aac8727ca80b08e8fddd62d2e258caa34d9f461ec3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Earningsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,119
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,681
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,119 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Earnings is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Earnings | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaa11…9c49backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf6…8bc6backed No | 44c | 2,636$1,151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,484.9 | 12 | 91.7%11 W · 1 L | +4.0wins | +0.33per pick | 59cpaid | +68%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc5a0…5254backed Yes | 79c | 1,192$943 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$943.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd98e…3c54backed No | 74c | 1,184$874 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.35 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfce…80c7backed Yes | 13c | 1,110$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.36 | 344 | 37.2%128 W · 216 L | +22.2wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x701e…9013backed No | 70c | 845.15$591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.18 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4230…252ebacked No | 20c | 818$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$654.4 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +157.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x36c8…350ebacked Yes | 14c | 800$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f0f…4f31backed Yes | 38c | 790.7$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.73 | 356 | 35.1%125 W · 231 L | +17.1wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a5f…0bfcbacked Yes | 27c | 770.38$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.46 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3eae…5e6dbacked No | 55c | 499.15$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.82 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x607b…4f98backed Yes | 16c | 312$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.92 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked Yes | 80c | 300$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 761 | 37.6%286 W · 475 L | +35.5wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf60…79c5backed Yes | 33c | 283.46$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48ec…8f36backed Yes | 41c | 243$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.63 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f6…451cbacked No | 18c | 228$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.96 | 171 | 37.4%64 W · 107 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca75…05a6backed Yes | 56c | 227$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9eae…98a5backed Yes | 45c | 221.65$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.27 | 107 | 40.2%43 W · 64 L | -7.2wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a0…36aabacked Yes | 18c | 216.39$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 15c | 204.33$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.97 | 463 | 14.3%66 W · 397 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a6…644bbacked No | 63c | 192.08$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.09 | 67 | 25.4%17 W · 50 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…1383backed Yes | 16c | 182.98$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.21 | 218 | 20.2%44 W · 174 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x520c…c42dbacked Yes | 22c | 162$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.64 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc6…2707backed Yes | 23c | 150$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.48 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe381…3ba9backed No | 10c | 104.54$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.87 | 251 | 25.5%64 W · 187 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked Yes | 14c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 79 | 39.2%31 W · 48 L | -6.5wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9f…624cbacked Yes | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 31 | 16.1%5 W · 26 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yes | 22c | 98.09$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.85 | 110 | 32.7%36 W · 74 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f65…c9bbbacked Yes | 20c | 86.53$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b79…6f9dbacked Yes | 78c | 85.18$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.44 | 263 | 50.2%132 W · 131 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe013…764fbacked No | 63c | 83.47$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.51 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fe5…91aabacked Yes | 24c | 82.1$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed No | 17c | 76.44$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.46 | 330 | 25.2%83 W · 247 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 32c | 73.33$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.88 | 56 | 12.5%7 W · 49 L | -5.1wins | -0.09per pick | 22cpaid | -52.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Yes | 16c | 70.94$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 22cpaid | -73%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae01…0c40backed Yes | 18c | 69.13$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.33 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd00b…8dd3backed Yes | 31c | 65.49$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1211…2c42backed Yes | 19c | 61.26$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e0e…4419backed Yes | 71c | 50$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.5 | 187 | 51.3%96 W · 91 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e76…95cdbacked No | 67c | 49.85$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1029…9b36backed Yes | 29c | 41.64$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.28 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -10%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dc9…0b92backed Yes | 80c | 40$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 66c | 36.49$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.97 | 579 | 39%226 W · 353 L | -25.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6f7…1f33backed Yes | 49c | 28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.72 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b96…7f2dbacked No | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 71cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c49…1d27backed No | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 71cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Yes | 76c | 26.2$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7a6…bfc7backed Yes | 50c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe64d…5e09backed Yes | 57c | 22.51$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0318…d067backed No | 79c | 19.99$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.3 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 77cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Earnings and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.