Earnings · resolved market
Will Circle Internet Group (CRCL) beat quarterly earnings?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc81d97e06e367745e63b1b6c0e0a7ef27d73e87c32daaddb4fa703da89f98e6c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Earningsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $66,611
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $71,570
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $66,611 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 140 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Earnings is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Earnings | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee17…6ea1backed No | 17c | 5,461$931 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$930.72 | 60 | 16.7%10 W · 50 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked No | 15c | 3,128$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.81 | 760 | 37.6%286 W · 474 L | +36.0wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 1c | 2,641$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.64 | 463 | 14.3%66 W · 397 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…4f55backed No | 14c | 2,406$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.61 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e88…301cbacked No | 14c | 2,000$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.99 | 471 | 38.6%182 W · 289 L | +20.4wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbcee…0f35backed Yes | 80c | 1,505$1,198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.5 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c9a…553bbacked No | 17c | 1,267$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 139 | 60.4%84 W · 55 L | +14.8wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd618…8d78backed No | 15c | 1,259$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0113…6f26backed No | 27c | 1,152$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.74 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75e7…9080backed No | 22c | 1,088$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.71 | 44 | 27.3%12 W · 32 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabf1…98cbbacked No | 20c | 1,006$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.86 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 13c | 997.57$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.26 | 290 | 24.1%70 W · 220 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed No | 12c | 896.83$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.16 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -22%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a3…32d4backed No | 8c | 888$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.04 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1760…aeb2backed No | 25c | 790.32$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.23 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…71ddbacked No | 16c | 789.92$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb4b…ab60backed No | 22c | 750$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.62 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3b…6ba5backed Yes | 77c | 649.35$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…2cbfbacked Yes | 80c | 571.75$457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d9…087fbacked Yes | 78c | 563.89$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.56 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.25per pick | 61cpaid | +70.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked No | 7c | 539.8$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.5 | 80 | 12.5%10 W · 70 L | -7.5wins | -0.09per pick | 22cpaid | -61.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x30c3…1331backed No | 19c | 522.91$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 45 | 24.4%11 W · 34 L | -3.7wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaec0…b953backed No | 10c | 514.98$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.39 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 24cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x707b…69f2backed Yes | 77c | 500$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -2.9wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe80f…3354backed Yes | 80c | 500$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6828…1056backed No | 12c | 499.95$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.99 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 27cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23ad…5306backed No | 13c | 494.55$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.29 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8911…d388backed No | 17c | 492.18$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.67 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdacf…8d11backed No | 15c | 489.96$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.49 | 85 | 41.2%35 W · 50 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9df7…36cdbacked Yes | 78c | 460$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.06 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.13per pick | 71cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x272f…164fbacked No | 22c | 454.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa15b…30f1backed No | 12c | 449.99$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.5 | 47 | 31.9%15 W · 32 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e5…2244backed No | 11c | 419.98$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.3 | 60 | 8.3%5 W · 55 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c0…be99backed Yes | 76c | 400$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.3 | 72 | 62.5%45 W · 27 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d9d…172fbacked No | 20c | 399.97$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf73…0436backed No | 17c | 392.97$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.99 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xface…9d17backed No | 13c | 379.55$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.7 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb911…a649backed No | 16c | 375$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.5 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcac3…4bdebacked No | 17c | 350$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9379…2e25backed Yes | 80c | 326.64$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.64 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +3.4wins | +0.38per pick | 51cpaid | +133.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed No | 24c | 322.98$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.94 | 330 | 25.2%83 W · 247 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa960…dbebbacked No | 14c | 319.5$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.96 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebad…f22bbacked Yes | 79c | 314.84$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0d5…55b0backed Yes | 75c | 300$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f6…451cbacked No | 8c | 299.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 171 | 37.4%64 W · 107 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x718a…5d86backed Yes | 75c | 292.66$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.47 | 47 | 74.5%35 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 74cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a5d…185dbacked No | 15c | 247.06$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +19%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 15c | 244.01$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.48 | 110 | 32.7%36 W · 74 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1547…d066backed No | 15c | 232.14$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.82 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c66…31e3backed Yes | 76c | 211$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.64 | 118 | 60.2%71 W · 47 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb102…c73dbacked No | 23c | 208.21$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.13 | 77 | 31.2%24 W · 53 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 24c | 200$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 674 | 42.7%288 W · 386 L | -36.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa17…3aa2backed No | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb7…61e9backed No | 23c | 200$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.7 | 90 | 16.7%15 W · 75 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8cb7…4c71backed No | 22c | 199.98$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3474…0571backed No | 21c | 199.98$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.99 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f51…2019backed No | 13c | 197.1$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 174 | 41.4%72 W · 102 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked Yes | 76c | 188.85$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.81 | 155 | 30.3%47 W · 108 L | -20.2wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb5…d37cbacked No | 12c | 179.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -5.7wins | -0.17per pick | 45cpaid | -49%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5567…aeedbacked No | 15c | 173.82$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.41 | 74 | 27%20 W · 54 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3a…9e14backed No | 19c | 170$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…1383backed No | 18c | 163.88$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.91 | 218 | 20.2%44 W · 174 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4745…5916backed Yes | 75c | 163.44$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.86 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -4.4wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 75c | 154.29$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 263 | 34.6%91 W · 172 L | -14.2wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f61…bb12backed No | 19c | 145.06$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc193…7666backed No | 24c | 143.84$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…cfadbacked No | 24c | 139.61$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.16 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca8…94f6backed No | 18c | 139.52$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd0…53b4backed No | 22c | 138.95$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.55 | 86 | 34.9%30 W · 56 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4497…8c81backed No | 12c | 136.98$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.27 | 55 | 7.3%4 W · 51 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 13cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a0a…9229backed Yes | 75c | 133$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.25 | 115 | 66.1%76 W · 39 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea6…87b9backed Yes | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28ef…adecbacked Yes | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45df…ad59backed Yes | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -2.9wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x50aa…70ddbacked Yes | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2510…60adbacked No | 28c | 125.06$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fed…0d78backed No | 13c | 122$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30b2…9e25backed No | 22c | 121.09$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.66 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7b…55cebacked No | 9c | 116.23$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.46 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4130…a35bbacked No | 13c | 115$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.95 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a5d…9ea3backed Yes | 76c | 111$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.64 | 107 | 60.7%65 W · 42 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab2b…0d84backed Yes | 79c | 110.28$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed No | 16c | 110$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.51 | 118 | 31.4%37 W · 81 L | -8.1wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb56…bd17backed No | 23c | 108.7$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf21a…1e6cbacked No | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f41…260ebacked No | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e96…633fbacked No | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.1 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +4.7wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9453…22cfbacked Yes | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b4…2a97backed No | 22c | 99.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x338e…418cbacked Yes | 78c | 96.15$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29dc…8539backed Yes | 80c | 94.15$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddd…53ebbacked No | 16c | 93.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f91…20ccbacked No | 13c | 92$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.96 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd2a…ecf5backed Yes | 76c | 91.89$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa319…ead3backed Yes | 75c | 80.95$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d27…4f3cbacked No | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64d7…4d00backed Yes | 77c | 77.92$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.92 | 213 | 57.3%122 W · 91 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a84…f8a1backed Yes | 78c | 76.92$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.92 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 70cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae2…47fdbacked Yes | 75c | 66.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa8a…7edfbacked Yes | 77c | 64.87$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Earnings and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.