TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x1760…aeb2

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
47
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Middle East, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 56 out of 100; worst Earnings at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT2665.4%17 W · 9 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: LYON vs JD Gaming (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group Dbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$20.45
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$10.42
LoL: Gen.G vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+25%+$7.5
LoL: Gen.G vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$9.86
LoL: G2 Esports vs Team Secret Whales - Game 2 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$10.54
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - First Stand Group Abacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$16.15
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+75.4%+$15.09
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 3 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$10.65
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 4 Winnerbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+117.4%+$17.61
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Versus Playoffsbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+64%+$27.65
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp - Game 4 Winnerbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$14
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 Winnerbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$10
LoL: GIANTX vs Karmine Corp - Game 1 Winnerbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+56.3%+$5.63
LoL: G2 Esports vs Movistar KOI (BO5) - LEC Versus Playoffsbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+75.4%+$18.85
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Team Vitality - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$26
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Team Vitality (BO3) - LEC Versus Playoffsbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+42.9%+$32.19
LoL: GIANTX vs Team Heretics (BO3) - LEC Versus Playoffsbacked GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+61.3%+$20.23
LoL: Karmine Corp vs GIANTX (BO3) - LEC Versus Playoffsbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+35.1%+$17.57
LoL: Team Heretics vs G2 Esports (BO3) - LEC Versus Playoffsbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+28.2%+$16.92
LoL: Karmine Corp vs GIANTX (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+35.1%+$5.21
LoL: Los Ratones vs G2 Esports (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$35.08
LoL: Team Heretics vs Los Ratones (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked Team Heretics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$30
LoL: Team Vitality vs Team Heretics (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$23.21
LoL: Shifters vs Movistar KOI (BO1)backed Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$30
LoL: Los Ratones vs Karmine Corp (BO1)backed Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+25%+$25.43
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+58.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST475%3 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.39per pick36cpaid+165.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Middle East — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+108.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-30.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Earnings Inactivelast resolved Nov 19, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Earnings — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.