TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Celtics (-5.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Clippersof Celtics, Clippers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$29,735
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$29,996

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,735 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x16b2…a881backed Clippers50c5,235$2,593 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,642.252,29851.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L+65.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Clippers47c5,164$2,427 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,736.984,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Celtics53c4,792$2,532 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,532.188,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Celtics50c4,000$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0001,13948.3%550 W · 589 L+3.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x74d3…0332backed Clippers49c4,000$1,960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,04034645.4%157 W · 189 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x41b7…f6babacked Celtics51c4,000$2,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,039.9880146.4%372 W · 429 L-1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Celtics51c3,566$1,819 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,818.681,21248.3%586 W · 626 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe6ee…b3aabacked Clippers49c3,000$1,470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,53036248.9%177 W · 185 L-6.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4278…0e92backed Clippers52c1,669$868 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80141652.2%217 W · 199 L+1.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Celtics50c1,507$755 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75565339.5%258 W · 395 L-24.6wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Clippers50c1,088$542 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$545.599,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6bd…270cbacked Celtics52c1,032$535 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$535.312452.4%65 W · 59 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc2e2…9b0cbacked Clippers50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5001838.9%7 W · 11 L-2.0wins-0.11per pick50cpaid-12.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4f97…13d2backed Celtics53c818.87$434 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4341070%7 W · 3 L+2.1wins+0.21per pick49cpaid+42.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x67a9…8447backed Clippers48c818.75$393 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$425.751668.8%11 W · 5 L+3.2wins+0.20per pick49cpaid+31.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4f3f…bb7cbacked Clippers49c816.33$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$416.331850%9 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7da6…4ff3backed Clippers52c710$369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.822845.2%103 W · 125 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2bcc…4324backed Clippers46c613.36$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$331.2152844.7%236 W · 292 L+1.8wins0.00per pick44cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Clippers50c600$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3002,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Celtics50c546$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27385742.6%365 W · 492 L-15.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeddf…a953backed Celtics50c400.74$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20036143.5%157 W · 204 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x45d6…36cbbacked Celtics54c370.37$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20024533.9%83 W · 162 L-19.1wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-23.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Celtics50c358$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.921,02848.5%499 W · 529 L+27.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed Celtics48c346.15$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.1559347%279 W · 314 L-7.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca38…460bbacked Celtics53c300$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1593545.7%16 W · 19 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid+10.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5ad4…3c1abacked Celtics47c271.32$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.527748.1%37 W · 40 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8f5…1caabacked Celtics50c265$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.7880148.3%387 W · 414 L-3.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb22…808abacked Clippers53c250$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.595641.7%399 W · 557 L+1.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x64db…325bbacked Clippers49c204.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.081,25948.7%613 W · 646 L+1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc711…d3c6backed Celtics50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-44.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1dc4…48aebacked Clippers76c167.22$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.222857.1%16 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-5.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xbe80…e0a6backed Celtics54c166.67$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$903250%16 W · 16 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Celtics51c160.58$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.193,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd0e0…4d8fbacked Celtics50c139.74$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.8765950.8%335 W · 324 L+15.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x02c5…1f4cbacked Celtics51c138.24$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.5450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Celtics50c121.71$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.862,36148.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L-41.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd8f…a3dcbacked Clippers50c120$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$605949.2%29 W · 30 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4215…f03abacked Celtics50c118$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.988142%34 W · 47 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Celtics50c118$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.9871747.6%341 W · 376 L+18.7wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Clippers48c105.58$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.96,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Clippers52c102.36$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.132,51249.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L+6.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1cd0…4516backed Clippers49c102.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.044944.9%22 W · 27 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid+12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b9b…bc4abacked Celtics51c100$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5137850.3%190 W · 188 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x45d1…7017backed Celtics48c100$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4835447.7%169 W · 185 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3576…8117backed Celtics52c96.15$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5020444.6%91 W · 113 L-9.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-13.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Celtics50c89.82$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.8962349.6%309 W · 314 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Clippers49c80.5$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.273,12044.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L-7.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Clippers48c76.92$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$402,79650.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L+27.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5bb4…7cedbacked Celtics52c76.92$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40850%4 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-14.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6f5f…2348backed Clippers49c75.51$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.512937.9%11 W · 18 L-5.4wins-0.19per pick57cpaid-29.9%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked Celtics50c73$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.4873445.5%334 W · 400 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed Celtics50c70$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.9831754.6%173 W · 144 L+16.9wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+12.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed Celtics50c70$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.9834254.1%185 W · 157 L+16.5wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Celtics50c70$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.9834451.5%177 W · 167 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed Celtics50c69.99$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.9834053.8%183 W · 157 L+16.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+10.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0c2d…2570backed Celtics50c68$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.8811741.9%49 W · 68 L-9.4wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-18.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Celtics48c64.51$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.962,26543.4%982 W · 1,283 L-26.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed Celtics50c58$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.9827150.2%136 W · 135 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8328…0a5cbacked Celtics51c52.75$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.936842.4%156 W · 212 L-8.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf1a3…0c69backed Celtics49c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.515838.6%61 W · 97 L-11.1wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-27.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe45d…f77ebacked Celtics53c49.43$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.225336.8%93 W · 160 L-10.2wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-15%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3f1f…f56bbacked Celtics50c48$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.9827350.9%139 W · 134 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa48d…b023backed Celtics50c48$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.9827251.1%139 W · 133 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa800…cc71backed Celtics50c48$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.9825250.8%128 W · 124 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0ee5…96c2backed Celtics50c48$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.9827353.8%147 W · 126 L+11.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2418…34fabacked Clippers52c46.15$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.151172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.9wins+0.17per pick56cpaid+30.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Celtics50c46$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd07…cb4ebacked Clippers49c40.82$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.8220143.3%87 W · 114 L-12.4wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-13.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x94a2…0c1abacked Celtics50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010447.1%49 W · 55 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-1.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa1e5…5a2cbacked Clippers48c39.97$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.7924653.3%131 W · 115 L+10.5wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+14.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcda0…6d11backed Celtics51c39.22$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204963.3%31 W · 18 L+5.2wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+17.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7f2a…845bbacked Celtics53c37.52$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208557.6%49 W · 36 L+5.1wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+13.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x01e2…2494backed Clippers52c32.69$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.692263.6%14 W · 8 L+2.1wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+19.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x31ce…88cdbacked Celtics50c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1524552.7%129 W · 116 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed Celtics50c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1545251.1%231 W · 221 L+20.2wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+12.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Celtics50c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1531250.3%157 W · 155 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7cae…bf8abacked Celtics50c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1515352.3%80 W · 73 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed Celtics50c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1536651.4%188 W · 178 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe9ea…810abacked Celtics50c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1526040%104 W · 156 L-7.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-2.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Celtics50c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1547948%230 W · 249 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed Celtics50c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1531551.1%161 W · 154 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b82…2d2abacked Celtics50c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1515953.5%85 W · 74 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed Celtics50c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1533147.4%157 W · 174 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd2a2…004abacked Celtics50c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1526648.5%129 W · 137 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Celtics50c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1587647.5%416 W · 460 L+3.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe6df…22a9backed Celtics50c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1525150.2%126 W · 125 L-1.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5825…af22backed Celtics50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104643.5%20 W · 26 L-4.6wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-19%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.