NBA · resolved market
Clippers vs. Celtics: O/U 221.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x83dc102317e08181be6b26714119b4a10a213d3073f09cd1e5fcc560a72bbcd4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,557
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,816
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,557 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4278…0e92backed Under | 52c | 2,320$1,206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,206.4 | 416 | 52.2%217 W · 199 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4517…f700backed Over | 45c | 1,907$858 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,049.02 | 171 | 47.4%81 W · 90 L | +13.7wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Over | 48c | 1,667$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$866.66 | 724 | 50.7%367 W · 357 L | +13.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 53c | 1,573$833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$833.08 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0da5…5adfbacked Over | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.41 | 125 | 50.4%63 W · 62 L | -7.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6bd…270cbacked Under | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 124 | 52.4%65 W · 59 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x426f…e76bbacked Over | 48c | 814.33$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.53 | 176 | 44.9%79 W · 97 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Over | 48c | 545$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.4 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 52c | 533.8$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.58 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Under | 51c | 502.04$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.04 | 841 | 50.3%423 W · 418 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x817b…3c25backed Over | 49c | 500$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 1,048 | 41.1%431 W · 617 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Under | 52c | 496$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.92 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e13…732fbacked Under | 56c | 313$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.28 | 66 | 48.5%32 W · 34 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1033…d851backed Over | 50c | 302.04$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.04 | 274 | 43.1%118 W · 156 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Over | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 417 | 42%175 W · 242 L | -16.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Over | 46c | 174.67$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.19 | 801 | 48.3%387 W · 414 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked Over | 47c | 150$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.5 | 377 | 50.4%190 W · 187 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7740…cd28backed Over | 50c | 140.86$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.43 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Under | 53c | 105$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.65 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Under | 48c | 103$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.44 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Over | 51c | 102.17$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.65 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x860d…3c72backed Over | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 266 | 51.1%136 W · 130 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9b…bc4abacked Under | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 378 | 50.3%190 W · 188 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 53c | 85.75$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.09 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f5f…2348backed Under | 56c | 62.5$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -5.4wins | -0.19per pick | 57cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x27ec…ad73backed Under | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 194 | 51.5%100 W · 94 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa709…8d1dbacked Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 89 | 55.1%49 W · 40 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Under | 34c | 31.81$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.91 | 353 | 52.4%185 W · 168 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2886…0e62backed Over | 64c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e62…06f9backed Over | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 118 | 44.1%52 W · 66 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf275…7050backed Under | 51c | 25.49$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 79 | 55.7%44 W · 35 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Under | 50c | 23.92$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.96 | 226 | 56.6%128 W · 98 L | +13.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x209e…8bb4backed Under | 51c | 20.41$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.41 | 160 | 53.1%85 W · 75 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae2…356bbacked Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 116 | 34.5%40 W · 76 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd10a…91e9backed Under | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 78 | 62.8%49 W · 29 L | +5.0wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd49f…33a4backed Under | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.11per pick | 59cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Clippers vs. Celtics: O/U 221.5this page
- Clippers vs. CelticsCeltics won
- Clippers vs. Celtics: 1H MoneylineCeltics won
- Clippers vs. Celtics: O/U 218.5Over won
- Clippers vs. Celtics: O/U 219.5Over won
- Clippers vs. Celtics: O/U 220.5Over won
- Spread: Celtics (-3.5)Clippers won
- Spread: Celtics (-4.5)Clippers won
- Spread: Celtics (-5.5)Clippers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.