NBA · resolved market
Clippers vs. Celtics: O/U 220.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x35b50e8dd5fb8aecfc4c5720911871d8ebd58e7896cf9bbd0104367eda17b489
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,748
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,470
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,748 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 51c | 5,124$2,619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,618.94 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf5d…7253backed Over | 48c | 3,500$1,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,820 | 112 | 42.9%48 W · 64 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74d3…0332backed Under | 51c | 1,277$651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$651.45 | 346 | 45.4%157 W · 189 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Under | 50c | 1,276$634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$634.24 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4439…585fbacked Under | 50c | 1,014$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -50%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeb6b…943abacked Over | 50c | 1,002$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502 | 154 | 61.7%95 W · 59 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…e803backed Over | 52c | 851.92$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.92 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0fb5…cdb0backed Over | 52c | 851.92$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.92 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -4.2wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x685e…6f30backed Over | 47c | 600$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318 | 107 | 57.9%62 W · 45 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96ec…fcc4backed Over | 49c | 510$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.1 | 272 | 47.8%130 W · 142 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Under | 48c | 443.96$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.1 | 226 | 56.6%128 W · 98 L | +13.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe962…663abacked Over | 49c | 400$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204 | 843 | 42.9%362 W · 481 L | -39.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb20a…2de4backed Over | 52c | 230.77$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.77 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Over | 50c | 204.46$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.23 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Over | 50c | 197.96$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.15 | 801 | 48.3%387 W · 414 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x068f…4594backed Under | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 80 | 45%36 W · 44 L | -5.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 50c | 119.48$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.48 | 603 | 46.4%280 W · 323 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…c6d8backed Over | 52c | 105.15$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.47 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Under | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x792f…cb67backed Over | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d45…1ba7backed Over | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 112 | 64.3%72 W · 40 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46c8…6239backed Over | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d17…bc4cbacked Over | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd53…a861backed Under | 53c | 80$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.4 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02a6…9347backed Over | 50c | 60.53$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.53 | 61 | 55.7%34 W · 27 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 50c | 55.94$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.97 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b88…748cbacked Over | 52c | 50.29$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.14 | 74 | 54.1%40 W · 34 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b33…1e7fbacked Over | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd35…c85ebacked Over | 48c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 73 | 47.9%35 W · 38 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6f7…f858backed Over | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 73 | 61.6%45 W · 28 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e2c…e2fdbacked Over | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 90 | 48.9%44 W · 46 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7181…1b0abacked Over | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 249 | 55%137 W · 112 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 47c | 37.74$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.74 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78a4…05afbacked Over | 47c | 37$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.61 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a4…aeb8backed Over | 47c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.25 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Clippers vs. Celtics: O/U 220.5this page
- Clippers vs. CelticsCeltics won
- Clippers vs. Celtics: 1H MoneylineCeltics won
- Clippers vs. Celtics: O/U 218.5Over won
- Clippers vs. Celtics: O/U 219.5Over won
- Clippers vs. Celtics: O/U 221.5Over won
- Spread: Celtics (-3.5)Clippers won
- Spread: Celtics (-4.5)Clippers won
- Spread: Celtics (-5.5)Clippers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.