Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5a3694edfb9ed7610af7cbe03a2e7127af5bc1b7ab0142080e7175bccfb80dde
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,787
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,593
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,787 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbdac…f7e2backed Under | 46c | 4,831$2,202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,202 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x098c…1c67backed Under | 35c | 1,823$635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$635.35 | 1,035 | 47.2%489 W · 546 L | +26.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8180…208bbacked Over | 66c | 1,440$950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.38 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 43c | 1,205$516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$689.52 | 2,406 | 42.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L | +21.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7acb…8c1dbacked Over | 65c | 1,172$762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.09 | 91 | 57.1%52 W · 39 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x042b…bbf1backed Over | 55c | 999.99$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.99 | 120 | 55%66 W · 54 L | -6.0wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed Over | 56c | 600.38$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.17 | 541 | 29.9%162 W · 379 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Over | 2c | 590.38$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576.47 | 898 | 10.7%96 W · 802 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc04…f726backed Under | 75c | 557.44$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.47 | 757 | 38.6%292 W · 465 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Over | 25c | 484$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363 | 2,226 | 37.5%834 W · 1,392 L | -29.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4cd…e2abbacked Over | 53c | 465.11$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.6 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Under | 42c | 400$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe265…7069backed Over | 53c | 400$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed5d…bc81backed Over | 66c | 363.64$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.64 | 72 | 50%36 W · 36 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c9c…bcfcbacked Over | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.14 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd397…5052backed Under | 58c | 346.43$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | -11.0wins | -0.15per pick | 66cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa5dc…ec43backed Over | 61c | 312.85$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.01 | 596 | 47.7%284 W · 312 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfacf…44adbacked Under | 35c | 300$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 75 | 44%33 W · 42 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee14…8055backed Under | 47c | 284.47$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.7 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce6f…778fbacked Over | 26c | 225.77$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.07 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 70cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe666…14f5backed Under | 73c | 200$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf36c…440abacked Over | 42c | 200$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1351…bebcbacked Over | 57c | 200$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 124 | 50%62 W · 62 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6149…8a58backed Over | 56c | 200$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.5wins | +0.21per pick | 37cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 56c | 189.78$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.68 | 1,224 | 48.3%591 W · 633 L | +26.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd142…5c9ebacked Under | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 259 | 42.1%109 W · 150 L | -12.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 101 | 36.6%37 W · 64 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Over | 62c | 173.87$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.53 | 955 | 51.7%494 W · 461 L | -12.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0b…b9f8backed Over | 65c | 167.69$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.69 | 30 | 73.3%22 W · 8 L | +3.9wins | +0.13per pick | 60cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf2…423abacked Over | 24c | 166.67$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.67 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Over | 55c | 160$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.4 | 1,356 | 51.1%693 W · 663 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Over | 22c | 160$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.5 | 704 | 43.9%309 W · 395 L | -15.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…3b6cbacked Over | 61c | 159.99$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.4 | 216 | 52.3%113 W · 103 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Over | 58c | 139.03$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.39 | 1,609 | 48.4%779 W · 830 L | +24.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Over | 18c | 131$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.19 | 169 | 34.3%58 W · 111 L | -9.4wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff5…50eabacked Under | 39c | 102.56$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.26per pick | 46cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4615…5866backed Over | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09e3…cf81backed Over | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x243c…9ae0backed Over | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99d1…1ea7backed Over | 24c | 100$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +126.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf54a…e25dbacked Over | 52c | 95.85$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.85 | 152 | 36.2%55 W · 97 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31b9…b28abacked Under | 66c | 90$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.36 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Under | 48c | 81.92$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.32 | 1,241 | 34.7%431 W · 810 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba48…907cbacked Over | 52c | 76.39$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.39 | 981 | 63.8%626 W · 355 L | +10.3wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 53c | 55.65$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.16 | 159 | 45.3%72 W · 87 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04bd…39a0backed Over | 24c | 53.52$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.52 | 1,229 | 45.1%554 W · 675 L | +48.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3414…067abacked Over | 42c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 771 | 31.8%245 W · 526 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x181d…c7e8backed Over | 65c | 47.91$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.77 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0af…5490backed Over | 65c | 43.08$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.08 | 122 | 42.6%52 W · 70 L | -7.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Over | 45c | 39.99$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.99 | 506 | 43.1%218 W · 288 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b95…b23ebacked Over | 64c | 32$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.38 | 1,024 | 45%461 W · 563 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked Over | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 84 | 38.1%32 W · 52 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e24…b31fbacked Under | 75c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 71cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Over | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 257 | 52.1%134 W · 123 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5309…c6c7backed Over | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 147 | 63.3%93 W · 54 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b0e…7e25backed Over | 64c | 16.97$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +55.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0599…3c6abacked Under | 75c | 15.87$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 821 | 61%501 W · 320 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 3.5this page
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Over won
- LoL: Dplus KIA vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5)Hanwha Life Esports won
- LoL: Dplus KIA vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 WinnerHanwha Life Esports won
- LoL: Dplus KIA vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 WinnerHanwha Life Esports won
- LoL: Dplus KIA vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 3 WinnerDplus KIA won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.