NHL · resolved market
Will Czechia win the 2026 IIHF World Junior Championship?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0c26bfc56555f989700d11703881e3472c845a2b4066642fe07b400bf15eeff2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $73,813
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $77,561
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $73,813 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes | 6c | 11,421$717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$717.39 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44b9…0598backed Yes | 51c | 7,858$4,036 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,036 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebd5…094cbacked Yes | 1c | 7,431$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.74 | 308 | 45.8%141 W · 167 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Yes | 45c | 6,476$2,893 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,892.83 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Yes | 10c | 5,149$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513.4 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes | 9c | 2,552$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.87 | 338 | 37.9%128 W · 210 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed No | 52c | 2,357$1,229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,128.15 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2936…7be9backed Yes | 8c | 2,306$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.55 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 15cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7381…5b63backed Yes | 18c | 1,221$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.42 | 600 | 42.8%257 W · 343 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bb7…44f2backed Yes | 4c | 872.02$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.88 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | -70.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 6c | 862.33$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.81 | 23 | 4.3%1 W · 22 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 8cpaid | -91.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1059…6a2dbacked Yes | 7c | 815.63$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.62 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad4d…a35abacked Yes | 7c | 689.36$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 142 | 48.6%69 W · 73 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a4…3ee9backed Yes | 5c | 652.06$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.57 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 4c | 627.81$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.28 | 225 | 16.4%37 W · 188 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26b7…68a2backed Yes | 5c | 605.03$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.1 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9557…6f2bbacked Yes | 28c | 508.81$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 63cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc5cf…c503backed Yes | 4c | 500$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 137 | 49.6%68 W · 69 L | +7.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec3c…d68ebacked Yes | 6c | 398.69$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.62 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe73f…facfbacked Yes | 29c | 376.17$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ef7…fba9backed Yes | 5c | 371.74$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.73 | 35 | 20%7 W · 28 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x476c…ce52backed Yes | 6c | 370.43$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.84 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +3.0wins | +0.34per pick | 44cpaid | +105%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8dba…dd96backed Yes | 7c | 364.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -68.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e35…1a6cbacked Yes | 6c | 303.87$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.37 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…4d2dbacked Yes | 6c | 299.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 20 | 0%0 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 6c | 299.97$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.45 | 439 | 44.6%196 W · 243 L | +16.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x866b…00e2backed Yes | 8c | 285.47$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 16cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc752…2d15backed Yes | 7c | 273.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x373a…f4c1backed Yes | 17c | 270.74$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.25 | 83 | 39.8%33 W · 50 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x302b…4dd1backed Yes | 8c | 248.66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb288…fa0fbacked Yes | 9c | 217.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb4b…9f92backed Yes | 38c | 216.69$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.05 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +6.8wins | +0.24per pick | 45cpaid | +71.2%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c6…75adbacked Yes | 20c | 215.13$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.91 | 401 | 52.4%210 W · 191 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe131…174abacked Yes | 7c | 212.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -3.5wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7602…2775backed No | 54c | 206.29$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.94 | 143 | 47.6%68 W · 75 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9394…45e5backed Yes | 6c | 204.16$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.64 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…26f0backed No | 15c | 200$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.88per pick | 12cpaid | +759.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed Yes | 10c | 195.22$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.7 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 20cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e7…caa8backed No | 15c | 154.76$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.54 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 6cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe02f…669fbacked No | 15c | 150$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.5 | 100 | 45%45 W · 55 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe403…3d50backed Yes | 46c | 135$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.1 | 112 | 52.7%59 W · 53 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f9f…d101backed Yes | 46c | 128.32$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 52c | 120$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.4 | 601 | 41.9%252 W · 349 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a8c…3ce6backed Yes | 21c | 117.37$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee75…ffe9backed Yes | 47c | 105.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ee…1391backed Yes | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb2e…e2a2backed Yes | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1894…d362backed Yes | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.9 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad89…f6e1backed Yes | 25c | 93.34$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x860d…6071backed Yes | 47c | 92.99$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.87 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb12d…318abacked Yes | 46c | 75.22$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc471…8064backed Yes | 15c | 71.39$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfaf…0a61backed Yes | 41c | 55.85$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb410…7736backed Yes | 40c | 50.03$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.09 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb5…5ed9backed Yes | 46c | 47.83$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 104 | 56.7%59 W · 45 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79d7…4d2abacked Yes | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x227e…c78abacked Yes | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09fe…76eebacked No | 77c | 40.19$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.33 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42a0…3762backed No | 54c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Czechia win the 2026 IIHF World Junior Championship?this page
- Will Canada win the 2026 IIHF World Junior Championship?No won
- Will Finland win the 2026 IIHF World Junior Championship?No won
- Will Latvia win the 2026 IIHF World Junior Championship?No won
- Will Slovakia win the 2026 IIHF World Junior Championship?No won
- Will Sweden win the 2026 IIHF World Junior Championship?Yes won
- Will Switzerland win the 2026 IIHF World Junior Championship?No won
- Will United States win the 2026 IIHF World Junior Championship?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.