NHL · resolved market
Will Sweden win the 2026 IIHF World Junior Championship?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x24dc53bc2ec843b848cc2a0c693106e32414166378f82b6d2ed3e347343bc77f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $58,504
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $60,907
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $58,504 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa810…62e2backed Yes | 28c | 10,235$2,866 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,369.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +166.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8e…f023backed Yes | 34c | 7,964$2,692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,272.61 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | -6.0wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x54f0…7a91backed Yes | 33c | 3,953$1,286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,666.41 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -28%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b73…d297backed No | 72c | 3,666$2,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,639.52 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa21…1438backed No | 71c | 3,647$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,600 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x36c0…67d5backed No | 72c | 3,300$2,376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,376 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb958…00a2backed No | 72c | 3,269$2,354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,353.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed No | 9c | 2,727$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.33 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Yes | 53c | 2,192$1,163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,028.83 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb5…5ed9backed No | 68c | 1,934$1,311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,311 | 104 | 56.7%59 W · 45 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 58c | 929.8$543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$543.41 | 338 | 37.9%128 W · 210 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2936…7be9backed Yes | 27c | 822.79$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$601.45 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 15cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a4…3ee9backed Yes | 14c | 809.87$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700.49 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7381…5b63backed Yes | 12c | 689.96$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$609.26 | 600 | 42.8%257 W · 343 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78fa…d5c3backed Yes | 54c | 599.99$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.29per pick | 51cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7ef7…fba9backed Yes | 9c | 483.28$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.85 | 35 | 20%7 W · 28 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79c1…497dbacked No | 63c | 471.82$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.36 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e1e…aeacbacked Yes | 18c | 444.09$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.09 | 55 | 67.3%37 W · 18 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +20%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x323c…c6f2backed Yes | 28c | 434.66$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.72per pick | 28cpaid | +259.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe3…e366backed Yes | 35c | 372.46$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.46 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7602…2775backed No | 48c | 342.71$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.09 | 143 | 47.6%68 W · 75 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9120…102cbacked Yes | 33c | 304.61$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.61 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +52.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e31…454dbacked Yes | 60c | 291.59$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.74 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -41%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x927f…e7e7backed Yes | 55c | 250$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 101 | 24.8%25 W · 76 L | -11.2wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa01b…eaeebacked Yes | 61c | 245.43$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +64%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e1a…baf0backed Yes | 33c | 231.27$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.76 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | +6.4wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +144.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x72ab…1a3ebacked No | 62c | 219.67$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.6 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3927…70a1backed Yes | 16c | 208.85$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.84per pick | 16cpaid | +532.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b90…2194backed No | 45c | 203.63$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.44 | 157 | 49.7%78 W · 79 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9557…6f2bbacked No | 48c | 203.63$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.97 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 63cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9fb7…3297backed Yes | 13c | 199.98$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 18cpaid | +284.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba45…87f3backed Yes | 10c | 199.98$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.98 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +135.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dcd…8cabbacked Yes | 14c | 181.33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.86per pick | 14cpaid | +625.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8b…cbbdbacked Yes | 58c | 171.92$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +71.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdbf…c569backed Yes | 59c | 170.42$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +70.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x860d…6071backed Yes | 41c | 159.37$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.37 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f07…63f3backed Yes | 18c | 152.65$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.65 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9d…527bbacked Yes | 43c | 150.01$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.68 | 137 | 53.3%73 W · 64 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa97f…07c2backed Yes | 55c | 150$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.5 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a91…736bbacked Yes | 14c | 144.53$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.53 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +105.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89a4…7060backed Yes | 13c | 144$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 16cpaid | +152.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes | 51c | 118.41$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.3 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e35…1a6cbacked Yes | 11c | 114.12$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.57 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb4b…9f92backed Yes | 55c | 106$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.7 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +6.8wins | +0.24per pick | 45cpaid | +71.2%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x1f5e…3871backed Yes | 50c | 103.48$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.71 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe131…174abacked Yes | 12c | 101.22$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.62 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -3.5wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xad4d…a35abacked Yes | 20c | 100.91$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.91 | 142 | 48.6%69 W · 73 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26fd…f89ebacked Yes | 14c | 97.64$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.86per pick | 14cpaid | +597.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a8c…3ce6backed Yes | 52c | 95.76$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f13…bde5backed Yes | 23c | 91.3$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.77per pick | 23cpaid | +334.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd622…8b56backed Yes | 18c | 90.9$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.14 | 108 | 46.3%50 W · 58 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…1383backed Yes | 36c | 74.59$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.43 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 31c | 73.55$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.75 | 607 | 41%249 W · 358 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe403…3d50backed No | 46c | 70$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.2 | 112 | 52.7%59 W · 53 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Yes | 53c | 69.09$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.79 | 601 | 41.9%252 W · 349 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 22c | 64.37$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.27 | 225 | 16.4%37 W · 188 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc1c…74e8backed Yes | 33c | 59.76$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +198.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1900…e0a8backed Yes | 57c | 57.43$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +74%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b86…3010backed Yes | 80c | 57$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d91…db63backed Yes | 54c | 55.26$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +84.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8616…3bb0backed Yes | 55c | 50.27$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.53 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4659…4da9backed Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebd5…094cbacked Yes | 31c | 46$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.74 | 308 | 45.8%141 W · 167 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09fe…76eebacked No | 63c | 40.18$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.28 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed Yes | 31c | 39.35$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.15 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x866b…00e2backed Yes | 36c | 36.69$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.59 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 16cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ae7…411fbacked Yes | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 64c | 31.81$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.39 | 740 | 54.5%403 W · 337 L | +22.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c76…c033backed Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb2e…e2a2backed Yes | 50c | 28.22$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.11 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6de0…af02backed No | 48c | 27.9$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.52 | 59 | 61%36 W · 23 L | +6.8wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +28%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa39c…f89cbacked Yes | 57c | 26.32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Yes | 51c | 25.39$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.44 | 749 | 51.8%388 W · 361 L | +18.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x113a…ae84backed Yes | 45c | 22.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.17 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba3…6286backed No | 73c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9473…ad17backed Yes | 57c | 18.74$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked No | 68c | 18.53$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 254 | 35.4%90 W · 164 L | -22.6wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Sweden win the 2026 IIHF World Junior Championship?this page
- Will Canada win the 2026 IIHF World Junior Championship?No won
- Will Czechia win the 2026 IIHF World Junior Championship?No won
- Will Finland win the 2026 IIHF World Junior Championship?No won
- Will Latvia win the 2026 IIHF World Junior Championship?No won
- Will Slovakia win the 2026 IIHF World Junior Championship?No won
- Will Switzerland win the 2026 IIHF World Junior Championship?No won
- Will United States win the 2026 IIHF World Junior Championship?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.