College Football · resolved market
Spread: Georgia (-3.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x25c081f3613d304dcaa46592b7f8accc9ff608cf80f3c297221de4ef027ca26b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Georgiaof Georgia, Auburn
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $67,601
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $67,134
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $67,601 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Georgia | 53c | 25,092$13,249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,843.22 | 818 | 47.9%392 W · 426 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9249…4f16backed Auburn | 47c | 15,000$7,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,050 | 100 | 46%46 W · 54 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb2f…eca9backed Auburn | 48c | 14,020$6,698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,697.96 | 95 | 40%38 W · 57 L | -6.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeb1e…88d5backed Georgia | 54c | 12,007$6,484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,523.22 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…cdaabacked Auburn | 46c | 11,250$5,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,175 | 157 | 45.2%71 W · 86 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Auburn | 46c | 10,000$4,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,600 | 526 | 41.8%220 W · 306 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Georgia | 53c | 7,500$3,975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,525 | 272 | 46%125 W · 147 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Auburn | 47c | 6,102$2,868 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,867.88 | 154 | 51.9%80 W · 74 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc8…39efbacked Georgia | 51c | 4,271$2,198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,072.85 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Auburn | 47c | 2,719$1,278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,277.84 | 104 | 48.1%50 W · 54 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x637a…6d23backed Georgia | 53c | 1,890$1,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$888.3 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d45…9054backed Auburn | 46c | 1,104$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512.39 | 80 | 40%32 W · 48 L | -5.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Auburn | 50c | 605.92$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.92 | 756 | 51.9%392 W · 364 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43cd…1863backed Georgia | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8d7…c17bbacked Auburn | 49c | 300$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed Auburn | 47c | 210$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.7 | 91 | 54.9%50 W · 41 L | +6.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x44a0…c3b9backed Auburn | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 117 | 35.9%42 W · 75 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Georgia | 53c | 190$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.3 | 568 | 44.5%253 W · 315 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46ed…cfa6backed Georgia | 56c | 177.51$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.51 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Auburn | 47c | 170.21$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 302 | 53%160 W · 142 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Auburn | 44c | 115.88$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.67 | 134 | 50.7%68 W · 66 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Georgia | 51c | 107.02$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.27 | 859 | 47.7%410 W · 449 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Auburn | 46c | 100.38$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.17 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Georgia | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 632 | 43.7%276 W · 356 L | +34.8wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +138.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7dd1…009bbacked Georgia | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Auburn | 49c | 93$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.57 | 115 | 41.7%48 W · 67 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…b46fbacked Auburn | 46c | 76$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.96 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa5f8…1affbacked Georgia | 54c | 74.07$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.07 | 86 | 45.3%39 W · 47 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47f1…876bbacked Georgia | 53c | 47.39$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.39 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22b8…7b6ebacked Auburn | 47c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…4f2abacked Georgia | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 219 | 41.6%91 W · 128 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6dc…8c92backed Georgia | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -8.1wins | -0.18per pick | 49cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xcf9d…3ea9backed Auburn | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c5…bf7abacked Georgia | 54c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfca9…cb3dbacked Georgia | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 43 | 27.9%12 W · 31 L | -7.1wins | -0.16per pick | 44cpaid | -46%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd519…0b54backed Georgia | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Georgia (-3.5)this page
- Georgia vs. AuburnGeorgia won
- O/U 46.5Under won
- Spread: Georgia (-4.5)Georgia won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.