Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: MIBR vs DRX
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd2784e9518d73d1e0d037d698061138afab4c1f6d3ae8e0c4a6ade38ca49d9f9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- DRXof MIBR, DRX
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $207,310
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $223,677
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $207,310 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcd9b…414dbacked MIBR | 59c | 69,775$41,013 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41,012.83 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6937…085dbacked DRX | 47c | 41,427$19,311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,116.07 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd8…2ee5backed DRX | 46c | 30,403$13,982 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,421.6 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.4wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x96bc…7fb4backed DRX | 48c | 29,000$13,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,080 | 161 | 42.9%69 W · 92 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed MIBR | 53c | 24,869$13,179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,179.13 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4762…ba70backed DRX | 43c | 24,088$10,445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,643.36 | 135 | 58.5%79 W · 56 L | +11.3wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x988d…9899backed MIBR | 54c | 14,263$7,732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,732.1 | 96 | 44.8%43 W · 53 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b1d…74ccbacked DRX | 47c | 8,843$4,148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,695.11 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed MIBR | 59c | 8,152$4,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,800.01 | 128 | 35.9%46 W · 82 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed DRX | 34c | 7,911$2,654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,256.37 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +2.7wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa1…99ffbacked MIBR | 55c | 7,535$4,122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,122.09 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.8wins | +0.22per pick | 48cpaid | +56.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa613…d494backed MIBR | 53c | 5,000$2,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,650 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 57cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6304…e570backed MIBR | 53c | 4,733$2,508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,508.3 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | -4.5wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb875…68a8backed MIBR | 54c | 4,127$2,219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,219.16 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -4.2wins | -0.33per pick | 56cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed MIBR | 60c | 2,930$1,768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,768 | 173 | 32.4%56 W · 117 L | -11.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -16%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb99…5d0fbacked MIBR | 53c | 2,067$1,088 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,088 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked MIBR | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5cf…8cc5backed MIBR | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,060 | 285 | 41.1%117 W · 168 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked MIBR | 53c | 1,778$941 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$941.16 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd62b…86d0backed DRX | 37c | 1,585$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$995.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked MIBR | 54c | 1,462$789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$789.48 | 337 | 53.1%179 W · 158 L | +16.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked MIBR | 56c | 1,264$705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$704.9 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -5.4wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -15%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab0…955fbacked DRX | 36c | 1,060$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$681.49 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.27per pick | 29cpaid | +125.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd470…783ebacked MIBR | 53c | 1,052$558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$557.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4992…6f5cbacked MIBR | 65c | 1,000$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8191…8a35backed MIBR | 66c | 863.55$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572.2 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +13%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbb…050cbacked DRX | 41c | 829.61$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.51 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa97…494fbacked MIBR | 48c | 824.79$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.41 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64ad…3050backed MIBR | 70c | 799.99$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560.99 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 68cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31b5…6128backed MIBR | 80c | 700$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.26per pick | 69cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed DRX | 42c | 700$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xacdf…0ec4backed MIBR | 55c | 640.06$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.75 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09ce…ddd7backed MIBR | 53c | 550$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4627…7c23backed DRX | 49c | 537.16$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.61 | 229 | 55%126 W · 103 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf967…8cd4backed DRX | 20c | 500$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x101c…7df8backed MIBR | 53c | 461.23$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.45 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x300f…d366backed MIBR | 55c | 449.09$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.5wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb758…dd73backed MIBR | 54c | 369.49$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.87 | 253 | 47%119 W · 134 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38ce…5431backed MIBR | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25ad…46fcbacked MIBR | 47c | 356.58$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.35 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked DRX | 46c | 353.86$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.48 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4b…8a81backed DRX | 47c | 350$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185 | 621 | 56.4%350 W · 271 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc759…51edbacked DRX | 28c | 285.71$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.71 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x504f…3ddcbacked MIBR | 54c | 277.78$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e18…3082backed DRX | 73c | 272.13$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.29 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56bb…8e6bbacked DRX | 65c | 255.14$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +57.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc70e…7cd6backed MIBR | 45c | 253.99$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.3 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed MIBR | 54c | 244.21$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.87 | 64 | 57.8%37 W · 27 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2353…45eabacked MIBR | 41c | 243.76$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.94 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4da…3e14backed MIBR | 58c | 227.99$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.84 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +47.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x807a…2047backed MIBR | 69c | 212.77$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.63 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -4.1wins | -0.41per pick | 61cpaid | -71.6%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed MIBR | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -5.3wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -24%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdf15…62a7backed MIBR | 54c | 185.94$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.41 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf060…b07abacked MIBR | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +15%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd773…549ebacked MIBR | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0c…2265backed MIBR | 61c | 130.55$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.99 | 104 | 55.8%58 W · 46 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb877…a13fbacked MIBR | 33c | 120$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.64 | 247 | 32%79 W · 168 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb841…3cfbbacked MIBR | 53c | 113.4$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked MIBR | 53c | 113.21$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 867 | 47.5%412 W · 455 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed MIBR | 53c | 106.89$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.65 | 321 | 41.7%134 W · 187 L | -16.1wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3149…9762backed DRX | 76c | 106.58$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.58 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -19%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1918…9568backed DRX | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dc4…306fbacked MIBR | 31c | 102$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.62 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1974…29edbacked MIBR | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -66%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7753…73cebacked MIBR | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8af…4900backed MIBR | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +18%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a68…6525backed MIBR | 34c | 79.41$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.16per pick | 30cpaid | +65.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5113…f0babacked DRX | 55c | 76.72$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.52 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb581…fa4ebacked MIBR | 54c | 74.07$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -14%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb6b…604ebacked MIBR | 52c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 339 | 47.8%162 W · 177 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf859…a183backed DRX | 29c | 49$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.01 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26e3…0b75backed DRX | 65c | 46.36$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 105 | 51.4%54 W · 51 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a71…f9c9backed MIBR | 54c | 40.22$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.72 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd3…8715backed MIBR | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -64%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc5…ee5abacked MIBR | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c5…bf7abacked MIBR | 49c | 26.74$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.