CS2 · resolved market
LoL: FLY vs VKS
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeb74636443ab050411a880e03205c765b783f1348e5ae66798bdd9fed07866e7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FLYof FLY, VKS
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $55,703
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $55,911
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $55,703 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5d34…7c8cbacked VKS | 16c | 15,000$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400 | 219 | 24.2%53 W · 166 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed VKS | 17c | 14,689$2,466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,466.23 | 882 | 42.3%373 W · 509 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88b9…0fc9backed VKS | 17c | 9,321$1,579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,579.05 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65f4…7d1abacked VKS | 2c | 2,622$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.19 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed VKS | 14c | 2,000$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288 | 5,876 | 37.7%2,213 W · 3,663 L | +71.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa1…99ffbacked VKS | 19c | 1,962$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365 | 51 | 29.4%15 W · 36 L | -6.2wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf92c…60e7backed VKS | 4c | 1,090$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.7 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6777…2612backed VKS | 19c | 1,055$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 110 | 30.9%34 W · 76 L | -11.3wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -23%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfb09…0f04backed VKS | 20c | 1,003$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.04 | 132 | 23.5%31 W · 101 L | -10.5wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5159…d7aebacked FLY | 79c | 785.71$621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 121 | 45.5%55 W · 66 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fce…28f8backed VKS | 12c | 756$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.72 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48e3…c148backed VKS | 18c | 600$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 55 | 30.9%17 W · 38 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2353…45eabacked VKS | 7c | 572.89$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5a…7618backed VKS | 3c | 531.1$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.43 | 121 | 31.4%38 W · 83 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9a…4e25backed VKS | 3c | 500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 141 | 48.9%69 W · 72 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c3f…676cbacked FLY | 79c | 486.19$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 102 | 61.8%63 W · 39 L | +7.8wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a68…6525backed VKS | 13c | 265$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 92 | 15.2%14 W · 78 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x829f…3486backed FLY | 78c | 254.55$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 88 | 33%29 W · 59 L | -8.4wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x671f…af9cbacked VKS | 20c | 247.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.55 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf671…3dd7backed VKS | 16c | 150$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 233 | 51.5%120 W · 113 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32f0…564cbacked VKS | 20c | 125$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5dc…ec43backed VKS | 18c | 85.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 243 | 50.6%123 W · 120 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c5…bf7abacked FLY | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.