TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Chess · resolved market

Will Javokhir Sindarov win the 2025 FIDE World Cup?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Chessevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$11,121
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$11,705

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,121 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Chess is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Chess
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7aa5…6292backed No58c2,655$1,527 inLost-$1,526.72313%3 W · 20 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick20cpaid-66.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd986…1320backed Yes48c2,503$1,205 inWon+$1,297.935232.7%17 W · 35 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-36.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c4b…8a81backed Yes62c500$310 inWon+$1901421.4%3 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick19cpaid-44.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef46…f872backed Yes40c250$100 inWon+$150540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-22.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Yes17c243.2$41 inWon+$202.57441.9%31 W · 43 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-11.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x36bf…2864backed Yes10c219.9$21 inWon+$198.911631%36 W · 80 L+7.6wins+0.07per pick24cpaid+8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb098…1038backed Yes47c212.77$100 inWon+$112.77119.1%1 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick15cpaid-80.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc23d…82c8backed Yes48c200$96 inWon+$1042860.7%17 W · 11 L+1.9wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4959…a6f5backed No47c177.62$84 inLost-$83.55750.9%29 W · 28 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb52c…450cbacked Yes41c164.15$68 inWon+$96.391361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.9wins+0.15per pick47cpaid+20.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7cc7…c424backed Yes42c145.9$61 inWon+$84.62250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+19%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1dc7…302dbacked Yes44c145.58$64 inWon+$81.521442.9%6 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes19c131.78$26 inWon+$106.131757.4%13 W · 162 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick7cpaid-42.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xd547…f7a8backed Yes47c100$47 inWon+$532100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick49cpaid+106.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0213…f7e3backed Yes47c70.21$33 inWon+$37.21250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick24cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5025…dd30backed Yes43c50$21 inWon+$28.5742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.11per pick32cpaid+11.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9fd8…01f0backed Yes46c47.02$22 inWon+$25.39366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.29per pick37cpaid+43%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0cf2…423abacked Yes45c44.44$20 inWon+$24.442100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+87.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x478e…324dbacked Yes47c42.55$20 inWon+$22.55425%1 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick22cpaid-46.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d10…76e4backed No57c35.09$20 inLost-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x78b1…f58fbacked Yes43c30$13 inWon+$17.11100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfbd7…1778backed No57c30$17 inLost-$171346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.11per pick57cpaid-19.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6149…8a58backed Yes43c29.21$13 inWon+$16.654553.3%24 W · 21 L+2.9wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+28.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Chess and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.