TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Chess · resolved market

Will Gukesh Dommaraju win the 2025 FIDE World Cup?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Chessevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$8,620
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$7,505

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,620 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Chess is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Chess
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe95f…1a57backed Yes11c1,150$128 inLost-$127.52119.1%1 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick14cpaid-35.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4eb9…9dd7backed Yes7c574.68$43 inLost-$42.75825%2 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-58.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1669…9808backed Yes15c230$34 inLost-$34.5616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick21cpaid-65.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c4b…8a81backed Yes12c220$26 inLost-$25.81421.4%3 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick19cpaid-44.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c6e…e1ddbacked Yes10c200$20 inLost-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6388…2f86backed Yes15c195.16$29 inLost-$28.730%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3771…ba27backed Yes10c191.53$20 inLost-$2030%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf95…7865backed Yes9c166.05$15 inLost-$15.26119.1%1 W · 10 L-2.1wins-0.19per pick28cpaid-80.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1364…d8a4backed Yes15c161.67$24 inLost-$2420%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc424…95c9backed Yes14c143.21$20 inLost-$2040%0 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x31d6…d617backed Yes13c130.91$17 inLost-$17.220%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb098…1038backed Yes13c105.54$14 inLost-$14119.1%1 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick15cpaid-80.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3dc6…3bb9backed Yes10c100$10 inLost-$1010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd45…c05ebacked Yes12c98.81$12 inLost-$11.9220%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x37bd…2a26backed Yes15c86.12$13 inLost-$1310%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes15c86$13 inLost-$12.881757.4%13 W · 162 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick7cpaid-42.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x4d7d…ed6abacked Yes17c80.66$14 inLost-$1410%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Chess and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.