TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Chess · resolved market

Will Wei Yi win the 2025 FIDE World Cup?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Chessevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$30,907
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$29,533

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,907 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Chess is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Chess
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa0ba…e7ebbacked Yes1c11,195$87 inLost-$87.495147.1%24 W · 27 L+6.2wins+0.12per pick35cpaid+113.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x36bf…2864backed Yes38c937.98$354 inLost-$354.0811631%36 W · 80 L+7.6wins+0.07per pick24cpaid+8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe4ae…93ecbacked Yes37c660.23$244 inLost-$243.971540%6 W · 9 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick35cpaid-8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0672…19c3backed Yes8c625$50 inLost-$5020%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x705d…f3a9backed Yes31c561.74$174 inLost-$173.8712313%16 W · 107 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick12cpaid-24%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed No59c505.29$296 inWon+$209.237441.9%31 W · 43 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-11.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc1cf…9656backed No62c499.98$310 inWon+$189.991030%3 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-43.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef46…f872backed Yes60c497.09$300 inLost-$300540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-22.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd5a…9042backed No44c444.1$196 inWon+$248.03425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-43.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc23d…82c8backed Yes58c300$173 inLost-$172.82860.7%17 W · 11 L+1.9wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xefde…783dbacked Yes36c300$108 inLost-$108.37735.1%27 W · 50 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-29.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe95f…1a57backed Yes8c290.49$23 inLost-$23.24119.1%1 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick14cpaid-35.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf95…7865backed Yes48c263.16$125 inLost-$125.4119.1%1 W · 10 L-2.1wins-0.19per pick28cpaid-80.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9c4b…8a81backed Yes19c262$51 inLost-$50.761421.4%3 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick19cpaid-44.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc926…8058backed Yes31c260.19$80 inLost-$8010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd45…c05ebacked Yes27c230.67$61 inLost-$61.3320%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7aa5…6292backed Yes56c201.61$114 inLost-$113.532313%3 W · 20 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick20cpaid-66.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb295…4ee4backed No42c196$82 inWon+$114.271040%4 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-19.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f83…6cd9backed Yes37c137.7$51 inLost-$51.472733.3%9 W · 18 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-35.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7cc7…c424backed Yes59c127.28$75 inLost-$74.95250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+19%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe555…782fbacked Yes58c126.59$74 inLost-$73.85633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+666.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4959…a6f5backed No41c104.42$43 inWon+$61.615750.9%29 W · 28 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd547…f7a8backed No50c100$50 inWon+$502100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick49cpaid+106.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4eb9…9dd7backed No51c83.46$43 inWon+$40.59825%2 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-58.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd17c…b09cbacked Yes38c72.76$28 inLost-$27.651040%4 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-40%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed No66c69.29$46 inWon+$23.661233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-45.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf56b…49dbbacked Yes58c58.15$34 inLost-$33.610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc599…0272backed Yes38c57.55$22 inLost-$21.8710%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xab53…c351backed Yes57c54.86$31 inLost-$31.3540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x993f…35cbbacked No67c45.66$31 inWon+$15.03475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbf4…64ecbacked Yes40c45.01$18 inLost-$1810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1867…549ebacked Yes57c43.78$25 inLost-$25837.5%3 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid-19.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x755d…bfd7backed Yes55c36.05$20 inLost-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6f7b…af22backed Yes38c34.97$13 inLost-$13.2910%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ee4…fa88backed No42c32.28$14 inWon+$18.711100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+137.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xae2a…179cbacked Yes38c26.62$10 inLost-$1050%0 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfbd7…1778backed Yes57c20$12 inLost-$11.51346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.11per pick57cpaid-19.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Chess and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.