TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Chess · resolved market

Will Rameshbabu Praggnanandhaa win the 2025 FIDE World Cup?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Chessevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$41,560
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$39,835

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,560 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Chess is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Chess
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa0ba…e7ebbacked Yes1c7,258$67 inLost-$66.535147.1%24 W · 27 L+6.2wins+0.12per pick35cpaid+113.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd986…1320backed Yes1c4,010$36 inLost-$35.615232.7%17 W · 35 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-36.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cf9…b4cabacked Yes16c2,283$359 inLost-$359.37140%0 W · 14 L-3.4wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes9c1,007$87 inLost-$86.611757.4%13 W · 162 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick7cpaid-42.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x0213…f7e3backed Yes2c672.5$13 inLost-$13.45250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick24cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6dd7…4233backed Yes14c403.74$55 inLost-$5510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a3c…a060backed Yes6c384.67$25 inLost-$25540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-41.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe95f…1a57backed Yes13c347.52$46 inLost-$45.7119.1%1 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick14cpaid-35.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507c…4166backed Yes12c307$37 inLost-$36.8410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xaa04…66e7backed Yes7c300$21 inLost-$2120%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c4b…8a81backed Yes12c220$27 inLost-$27.21421.4%3 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick19cpaid-44.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1669…9808backed Yes14c219.99$31 inLost-$30.8616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick21cpaid-65.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb098…1038backed Yes8c211.57$16 inLost-$16.02119.1%1 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick15cpaid-80.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a1f…1a9fbacked Yes11c194.41$22 inLost-$21.750%0 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc994…833dbacked Yes16c186.32$30 inLost-$3010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb166…7ba1backed Yes10c185.09$19 inLost-$18.71450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.11per pick39cpaid-26.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3771…ba27backed Yes11c181.82$20 inLost-$2030%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf95…7865backed Yes10c155.79$16 inLost-$15.86119.1%1 W · 10 L-2.1wins-0.19per pick28cpaid-80.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6388…2f86backed Yes17c148.98$26 inLost-$25.9530%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3cc5…df10backed Yes11c131.52$15 inLost-$1510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21b3…1ddfbacked Yes13c100$13 inLost-$12.51020%2 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick27cpaid-23.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5a1b…7818backed Yes14c71.94$10 inLost-$1020%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Chess and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.