MLB · resolved market
Mariners vs. Phillies
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x712487eee35d5a3d1d2da067b28ade906d82aec75bbc21476e5c9e7a756acb1b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Philliesof Mariners, Phillies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $886,463
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $961,790
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $886,463 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 204 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf29b…dd4cbacked Mariners | 44c | 549,298$241,416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241,415.57 | 380 | 43.4%165 W · 215 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7abe…b47ebacked Phillies | 56c | 191,000$106,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84,039.84 | 228 | 52.2%119 W · 109 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Phillies | 56c | 64,732$36,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,481.9 | 234 | 55.6%130 W · 104 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9d…02c7backed Phillies | 56c | 48,474$27,145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,328.56 | 359 | 52.4%188 W · 171 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked Phillies | 56c | 37,415$20,952 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,462.6 | 452 | 48.2%218 W · 234 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Phillies | 57c | 36,332$20,557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,774.72 | 163 | 47.9%78 W · 85 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a14…e79fbacked Phillies | 56c | 32,511$18,206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,304.84 | 62 | 58.1%36 W · 26 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Phillies | 58c | 23,699$13,745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,953.6 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Phillies | 57c | 23,583$13,557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,026.09 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Phillies | 56c | 22,728$12,727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,000.1 | 171 | 56.1%96 W · 75 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed Phillies | 56c | 22,652$12,734 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,917.61 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x081c…f010backed Phillies | 56c | 22,298$12,513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,785.2 | 76 | 59.2%45 W · 31 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Phillies | 56c | 18,000$10,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,920 | 550 | 53.6%295 W · 255 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Mariners | 42c | 17,337$7,281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,281.44 | 269 | 49.4%133 W · 136 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Phillies | 56c | 15,000$8,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,600 | 387 | 51.9%201 W · 186 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Phillies | 56c | 15,000$8,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,600 | 302 | 55.6%168 W · 134 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37be…c646backed Mariners | 43c | 14,316$6,156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,155.92 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x88a2…d974backed Phillies | 56c | 14,164$8,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,164.4 | 196 | 49.5%97 W · 99 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f8…56b6backed Phillies | 57c | 13,501$7,665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,835.8 | 217 | 47%102 W · 115 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Mariners | 41c | 12,495$5,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,169.89 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x578d…fbb3backed Mariners | 46c | 12,407$5,648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,647.86 | 338 | 45.9%155 W · 183 L | -15.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Mariners | 44c | 10,000$4,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,399.99 | 564 | 51.1%288 W · 276 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56fc…733ebacked Mariners | 47c | 9,021$4,223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,223.47 | 92 | 55.4%51 W · 41 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Phillies | 58c | 8,014$4,658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,356.05 | 543 | 45.5%247 W · 296 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Phillies | 57c | 7,777$4,433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,344.1 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Phillies | 56c | 7,594$4,253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,341.36 | 208 | 50%104 W · 104 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb142…cd11backed Mariners | 44c | 6,816$2,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,998.95 | 187 | 48.1%90 W · 97 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Phillies | 57c | 6,588$3,762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,825.93 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…5b15backed Phillies | 56c | 6,566$3,668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,898.05 | 342 | 45%154 W · 188 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9599…be88backed Mariners | 0c | 6,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 255 | 11.8%30 W · 225 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Mariners | 17c | 5,625$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980.28 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e7…12febacked Phillies | 56c | 5,213$2,922 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,291.16 | 83 | 56.6%47 W · 36 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb63d…9dd6backed Mariners | 42c | 5,004$2,102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,101.68 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +4.8wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +46.8%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x477f…19aabacked Phillies | 56c | 5,000$2,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,200 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Mariners | 1c | 4,998$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.97 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Phillies | 57c | 4,440$2,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,920.45 | 733 | 52.4%384 W · 349 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Phillies | 56c | 3,879$2,172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,706.71 | 482 | 54.4%262 W · 220 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Mariners | 25c | 3,874$978 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$978.07 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb31…cd36backed Phillies | 58c | 3,744$2,172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,572.48 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -4.0wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd0fd…a7dabacked Mariners | 49c | 3,469$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,700 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffb…a834backed Phillies | 56c | 3,333$1,866 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,466.52 | 115 | 53%61 W · 54 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +38%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Phillies | 56c | 3,048$1,721 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,327 | 254 | 53.5%136 W · 118 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c4…6ea5backed Mariners | 44c | 2,955$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb653…85a4backed Phillies | 56c | 2,907$1,628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,279.18 | 141 | 48.2%68 W · 73 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Mariners | 43c | 2,400$1,032 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,032 | 312 | 48.4%151 W · 161 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5555…d3d0backed Phillies | 65c | 1,813$1,171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$641.89 | 95 | 50.5%48 W · 47 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33cc…66a1backed Phillies | 56c | 1,700$952 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$748 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c3c…946cbacked Mariners | 44c | 1,600$704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$704 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd06…73a2backed Mariners | 44c | 1,600$704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$704 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -13%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5523…51e9backed Mariners | 43c | 1,597$687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$686.8 | 114 | 49.1%56 W · 58 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbea2…41f2backed Phillies | 56c | 1,500$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bce…0445backed Mariners | 44c | 1,340$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$589.6 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc864…97dfbacked Phillies | 57c | 1,332$759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$572.96 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Mariners | 42c | 1,263$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530.46 | 508 | 43.3%220 W · 288 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x696d…ebf8backed Phillies | 56c | 1,255$703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552.2 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…4d41backed Phillies | 56c | 1,245$697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$547.8 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…6e98backed Phillies | 59c | 1,187$701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486.3 | 254 | 54.3%138 W · 116 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde8c…6307backed Mariners | 43c | 1,179$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.82 | 58 | 34.5%20 W · 38 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2cd…d0b5backed Mariners | 44c | 1,160$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510.4 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -3.4wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0fae…3488backed Mariners | 45c | 1,153$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518.87 | 183 | 49.2%90 W · 93 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Mariners | 44c | 1,136$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 280 | 42.1%118 W · 162 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa19…fb67backed Phillies | 56c | 1,083$606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476.52 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.21per pick | 58cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Phillies | 73c | 1,080$786 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.82 | 797 | 40.4%322 W · 475 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x898b…8d76backed Phillies | 57c | 1,070$606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.79 | 99 | 47.5%47 W · 52 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a44…d80abacked Phillies | 57c | 1,043$598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.41 | 197 | 42.6%84 W · 113 L | -13.5wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x76cc…5e4ebacked Phillies | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Phillies | 57c | 958.92$547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.34 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b84…9d3bbacked Mariners | 35c | 939.89$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.85 | 183 | 50.3%92 W · 91 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Mariners | 43c | 899.95$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.98 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a81…64dabacked Phillies | 56c | 864$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.16 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6148…acadbacked Mariners | 42c | 838$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.96 | 245 | 47.3%116 W · 129 L | +21.2wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1331…3d82backed Phillies | 77c | 812.76$624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.25 | 149 | 66.4%99 W · 50 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4950…0031backed Mariners | 43c | 750$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.5 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Mariners | 42c | 714.29$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 630 | 52.7%332 W · 298 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x306a…a733backed Mariners | 44c | 700$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…67eabacked Mariners | 44c | 700$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5e25backed Phillies | 58c | 570$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.4 | 266 | 50.8%135 W · 131 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bbd…606cbacked Mariners | 44c | 568.95$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.34 | 92 | 37%34 W · 58 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed Mariners | 42c | 560$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.2 | 444 | 43%191 W · 253 L | +21.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Phillies | 57c | 547.36$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.36 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Mariners | 20c | 543.47$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.48 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c7…5d54backed Phillies | 56c | 536$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.84 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55d8…b384backed Phillies | 56c | 535$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.4 | 577 | 44.7%258 W · 319 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Phillies | 56c | 535$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.4 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Mariners | 24c | 518.94$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.44 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Mariners | 41c | 483.77$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.35 | 513 | 47%241 W · 272 L | +32.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Mariners | 43c | 477.99$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.29 | 1,466 | 44.1%647 W · 819 L | +44.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Mariners | 39c | 446.5$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.99 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcdc…15cabacked Phillies | 56c | 446.43$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.43 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f70…63b2backed Mariners | 44c | 440$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74c4…4493backed Mariners | 31c | 432.73$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.84 | 178 | 50%89 W · 89 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Mariners | 42c | 418.55$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.75 | 439 | 49.4%217 W · 222 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Phillies | 61c | 418.42$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.93 | 809 | 55.5%449 W · 360 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Phillies | 59c | 403.84$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.32 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Mariners | 44c | 400$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Mariners | 44c | 400$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Mariners | 45c | 378.46$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.82 | 709 | 46.1%327 W · 382 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba56…b1e3backed Mariners | 31c | 374.35$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed Phillies | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.88 | 345 | 50.7%175 W · 170 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Mariners | 44c | 350$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.